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Meme stock squeezes and brand-new tariffs shake up US solar sector: Maguire

A slew of U.S. solar stocks jumped to life this week amidst a renewal in retail investor buying socalled meme stocks and news that the Biden administration is enforcing brand-new tariffs on Chinese solar equipment that might support U.S. makers.

Share rates in U.S.-listed solar firms including Sunpower Corp, Maxeon Solar and Sunnova Energy all jumped more than 20%. today as they benefited from a wave of investor buying of. stocks that have been battered for the previous year approximately.

The Biden administration's new tariffs on numerous China-made. Items consisting of electrical automobiles and solar parts. enlivened trading activity in related stocks.

ECLIPSED

Solar equities might do not have the profile of meme stock behemoth. GameStop, which rallied to its greatest because 2021 this. week as posts from Roaring Cat Keith Gill raised chatter. about the return of the central figure behind the 2021 meme. stock frenzy.

However, stocks tied to firms primarily participated in the U.S. residential solar sector have taken a drubbing and seen a rise. in short-seller interest given that 2022 as increasing rate of interest. slowed demand for domestic solar systems.

SunPower, Maxeon and Sunnova share rates all plunged. approximately 90% between mid-August 2022 and May 1,2024, and until. this week looked set to face continued headwinds in 2024 on a. higher for longer interest rate outlook.

Nevertheless, the downbeat tone pervading the solar space has. been overthrown this week by the one-two punch of the meme stock. revival along with the heightened focus on the solar area from. Biden's fresh tariffs and accompanying rhetoric about supporting. U.S. organizations.

OVERSOLD?

Stocks in SunPower have actually been among the most active in the. solar space this week, publishing a record one-day gain of roughly. 60% on May 14 as a buying craze took hold.

The maker and installer of large scale planetary systems. has racked up significant losses because California enacted brand-new. net-metering charges a year ago that greatly lowered the appeal. of home planetary systems in the state.

The business's dismal stock cost performance over the past. year or so reflected the ugly operating conditions, and the firm. announced a major restructuring last month.

Nevertheless, the stock has actually likewise been a preferred amongst. short-sellers during much of its descent, with brief interest. representing over 90% of the total quantity of shares offered to. the general public since April 30, according to LSEG.

Such lopsided investor positioning left the stock vulnerable. to a brief covering rally on any unexpected shift in market. belief, such as seen today.

UNCLEAR OUTLOOK

A lot of the obstacles that have beleaguered U.S. solar business. over the past year remain in location, including high interest. rates that have actually dispatched the appeal of financing the. installation of rooftop planetary systems.

And the new tariffs troubled Chinese elements this week. might in fact intensify market conditions for some companies which rely. on imported parts.

After a roughly 90% collapse in the rate of. some solar company shares considering that 2022, there was arguably only. limited room for additional stock price weakness moving forward,. and lots of scope for a rebound.

Now that a significant rebound has occurred, numerous opportunistic. financiers will no doubt have actually positioned fresh short-sided bets on. solar stocks, on the assumption that costs will revert to their. sag once the short covering melee runs its course.

But provided how aggressive the upside price relocations have actually been. this week, many short-sellers will stay mindful about placing. huge bearish bets, and will be ready to relax positions. if the market runs against them.

That change in sentiment might take a few of the pressure off. the solar sector in basic over the near term, and may permit. stock costs to creep higher still on any upbeat news products or. earnings reports.

And if U.S. rates of interest are deemed most likely to come down. later in 2024 - making the financing of solar systems more. palatable - some investors with a long-lasting outlook might start to. view the beaten-down solar area as a bit of a bargain.

Such a belief swing would have been considered as outlandish. just a few weeks earlier.

Now that ratings of short-sellers have been battered and. pushed out by today's bull run, a modification in the frame of mind of. solar stock holders is on the cards, and a brighter outlook. can't be dismiss.

The opinions revealed here are those of the author, a columnist. .

(source: Reuters)