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Gold falls as Hormuz Blockade boosts dollar and dents Fed rate-cut bets

Gold fell to a new low of?nearly one week? on Monday as a stronger dollar and a surge in oil prices above $100 following the U.S. move to blockade Iranian port fuelled inflation fears, prompting traders back off their expectations of Federal Reserve rate reductions this year.

As of 0735 GMT spot gold was down 0.4% to $4,730.75 an ounce. It had hit its lowest level since April 7 earlier that day, at $4643. U.S. Gold Futures for June Delivery fell 0.7% to $ 4,753.30.

The dollar gained 0.3% after the?U.S. The Navy prepared to blockade the Strait of Hormuz, which could limit Iranian oil shipments following the collapse of?peace negotiations between the U.S.

The Iranian Revolutionary Guards warned that any military vessel approaching the Strait would be considered a breach of ceasefire and treated harshly and firmly.

Tim Waterer is the chief market analyst for KCM Trade. He said that "Ceasefire Optimism?has unraveled following the failure of the peace talks. The dollar and oil price have pushed up, and this has pushed gold backwards."

Since the U.S. and Israel war against Iran began late in February, spot gold has dropped more than 11%. Gold's appeal is usually boosted by inflation and geopolitical risks, but high interest rates are a drag on this non-yielding precious metal.

The greenback price of bullion is also more expensive for holders other currencies.

Waterer stated that "as soon as oil prices?return above $100, the focus quickly shifts to possible central bank rate increases to curb inflation. This interest rate outlook is what is affecting gold's performance."

The traders now see very little chance for a 'U.S. Rate cuts are unlikely this year as the higher energy prices could feed into inflation, limiting the scope for "monetary easing".

Investors priced in two Fed rate reductions for 2026 before the start of war.

(Reporting by Noel John in Bengaluru; Editing by Rashmi Aich, Subhranshu Sahu and Sonia Cheema) (Reporting and editing by Rashmi aich, Subhranshu Sahu, Sonia Cheema).

(source: Reuters)