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Turkey's gold price spread shrinks as demand increases

Turkey's gold price spread shrinks as demand increases
Turkey's gold price spread shrinks as demand increases

After a period when the global gold price surged in the fall, the spread between the physical gold prices in Turkey, and the global market level has shrunk sharply, traders reported.

The spread between gold prices in Turkey denominated in TL and their global equivalents peaked at over 5%. The spread between the TL-denominated price of physical gold in Turkey and the TL equivalent of global prices peaked at more than 5%.

Traders said that the wide spread had affected the lira during the fall as the surge in gold demand was met by imports. Retail flows in Turkey have seen a decrease in demand for gold and foreign currency, but an increase of gold supply.

In recent weeks, this shift has relieved pressure on Turkey’s external balances as well as the lira.

The reversal is due to a number of factors, including a drop in FX protected deposit (KKM), the end of soaring global gold prices and the decline in local demand, which was strong in the summer months.

The value of KKM deposit has dropped to $600m from its peak of $140billion in August 2023.

The FX and Gold supply for client-based transactions has also increased significantly over the last week, especially in Istanbul's Grand Bazaar. The dollar/TL rate remained steady at around 42,5 during this time.

One FX trader stated that the local sharp demand for Gold has stopped. He added that gold supply has been increasing since late November.

Turkey's central bank estimates the country's gold reserves - stored in metal at home or "under-the mattress" - to be almost $500 billion. In Turkey, physical gold has been the preferred investment to combat high inflation.

Gold spot prices have risen from $3,500 per ounce in early September, to $4,378 an ounce in October, a 25% increase, before dropping to $4,200 currently. (Reporting and editing by Jonathan Spicer, Daren Butler and Nevzat Dvranoglu)

(source: Reuters)