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Silver hits record high as dollar falls on expectations of rate cuts; gold gains 1%

The dollar was under pressure as the expectation of a rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve next week grew. Silver prices also reached a new record high.

At 10:44 am, spot gold was up by 1.1% at $4,255.59 an ounce. ET (1544 GMT) and was on course for a weekly gain of 0.5%.

U.S. Gold Futures for February Delivery were up 1% at $4,286.90 an ounce.

Bart Melek is the global head of commodity strategies at TD Securities. He said that "the market is increasingly confident the central bank will cut (rates)." In response, the U.S. currency has weakened a bit, which is a positive for gold.

Gold became more appealing to buyers who use other currencies after the U.S. Dollar Index fell by 0.1%. Gold tends to be more attractive when interest rates are lower, as it does not provide a yield.

The U.S. Economic data revealed that the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCEPI) rose by 0.3% in September. This is a slowdown from the 2.9% annual increase in August.

Last month, private payroll data revealed the largest decline in more than two and a half years.

The Fed's dovish comments have further fuelled expectations of monetary ease.

CME's FedWatch indicates that there is an 87.2% chance of a rate cut of 25 basis points at the Fed meeting on December 9-10.

Alex Ebkarian said that gold is expected to trade between $4200 and $4500 this year and between $4500 and $5,000 in the future, depending on Fed decisions.

In India and China, the physical gold demand has slowed this week while buyers await a correction of spot prices.

Silver increased 3.6%, to $59.19 per ounce. This is up 4.7% on the week after reaching a record high of $59.32 an ounce earlier.

Melek stated that "silver is following the path of gold, and many investors believe that silver is still quite cheap relative to gold," citing structural deficits as well as a rising demand for electricty.

The white metal is up 104% in this year due to supply shortages and its inclusion on the U.S. Critical Minerals List.

Palladium rose by 0.8%, to $1460, and platinum was up 0.2%, to $1648.85. Anmol Choubey reports from Bengaluru. (Editing by Leroy Leo, Mark Potter and Mark Potter.)

(source: Reuters)