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Investors brace themselves for US data as gold prices rise on bets of rate cuts

The gold price rose on Friday as the market increased its bets that interest rates will be cut in the United States. Markets are now focused on inflation data due out next week, ahead of Federal Reserve policy meeting.

As of 1208 GMT spot gold was up 0.5% at $4,226.99 an ounce. However, it was still on course for a weekly decline of 0.1%.

U.S. Gold Futures for February Delivery edged up 0.3% to $4,257.40 an ounce.

Lukman Otunuga is a senior research analyst with FXTM. He said that market bets on the Fed cutting rates next week have kept gold prices somewhat elevated.

The data released on Wednesday shows that the private payroll fell by 32,000 during November, which is the largest drop in over two-and-a half years.

More than 100 economists surveyed by predict that the Fed will lower its key interest rate at its meeting on December 9-10 by 25 basis points.

Gold is a non-yielding asset that tends to be favoured by lower interest rates.

Investors will be watching the September PCE inflation numbers due today. This is the last data release before the FOMC meeting next week.

Gold prices in India rose to near a record high this week. This slowed down the physical demand, as buyers waited on a correction in price. Demand in China was also relatively low. Despite the volatility of the spot gold price market and its high prices, physical demand for gold in China remained low.

Silver increased 1.9% to 58.20 per ounce. This is up 3.2% in one week, after reaching a record of $58.98 an ounce on Wednesday.

Otunuga said that silver is on course for a second week of gains thanks to the strong inflows made into exchange-traded fund. Rate cut expectations, as well as a weaker dollar, have also fueled the upward trend.

Silver prices have risen by about 101% this year due to a structural shortage, concerns over liquidity and the addition of silver to the U.S. Critical Minerals List.

Palladium rose 1.3% to 1,466.70, but the week was expected to be lower. Platinum gained 0.5%, to $1654.06, and was on track for a modest weekly gain. (Reporting Pablo Sinha from Bengaluru, Editing by Elaine Hardcastle & Leroy Leo).

(source: Reuters)