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Gold's price drops after a brief rise above $4,000/oz due to Trump's China Tariff Warning

Gold lost some of its gains after briefly rising above $4,000 per ounce for the second time in this week, as U.S. president Donald Trump's warnings about possible new tariffs against China accelerated a rush to safe-haven investments.

As of 1:40 pm, spot gold rose 0.4% to $3,989.49 an ounce. ET (1740 GMT). This week, the metal saw a 2.7% increase.

U.S. gold futures for December delivery settled 0.7% higher at $4,000.40.

Donald Trump, the U.S. president, said that there was no reason for him to meet China's President Xi Jinping as scheduled in South Korea in two weeks. In a Truth Social posting, Trump said that the U.S. was calculating a massive rise in tariffs for Chinese imports.

Gold briefly broke the $4,000/oz barrier, reaching a high of $4 022.52 in the session.

Tai Wong, a metals trader and independent said that escalating the trade war would cause the dollar to tank. This will be good for safe havens.

Bullion priced in greenbacks is now cheaper for foreign buyers.

The markets are also closely watching the risks associated with the possible collapse of the French Government and the ongoing shutdown of the United States government.

Investors expect the U.S. Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in both October and December by 25 basis points.

Bullion that does not yield, which reached a record-high of $4,059.05 Wednesday, has traditionally been considered a hedge in times of uncertainty.

Gold's recent rally has been attributed to geopolitical risk, central bank purchases of gold, inflows of exchange-traded fund, U.S. interest rate cuts and tariff-related economic uncertainty.

"Overall, there's a risk that gold prices will fall in the short term given how rapidly they have risen over the past few weeks." Over the next two years, however, it is likely that gold prices will continue to rise," said Hamad Hussain of Capital Economics.

Silver also benefits from the same factors that are driving the gold rally, along with concerns about the supply deficit and increasing demand for the metal.

Silver rose by 2.1%, to $50.13 an ounce. This is a day after it reached a record-high of $51.22. This year, it has risen by more than 73%.

Silver futures for December 2025 on Comex were trading at $47.32.

"Silver’s backwardation sends a loud message -- physical demand is crushing the paper supply... Alex Ebkarian said that if the backwardation continues and physical demand rises, breaking and maintaining silver above $50 is a very realistic goal.

Backwardation occurs when the spot price of a commodity is higher than its forward price.

Palladium, meanwhile, rose 12.6% in a week, despite a 0.3% decline.

(source: Reuters)