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As markets consider rate cuts, stocks are higher and the dollar's losing streak will continue.
The dollar fell and was poised to lose its 10th consecutive day against a basket major currencies, fueled by expectations of a U.S. interest rate cut. The benchmark S&P500 was flat in the early morning trade, after two sessions of gains. The biggest losses were in healthcare, consumer discretionary, and materials stocks, while real estate and financials were on the rise. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 0.09%. The S&P 500 slipped 0.06%. And the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.14%. STOXX 600 in Europe was up by 0.42%, and is still on track for a modest gain each week. The FTSE 100 index in London was up 0.16%, while the DAX in Germany gained 0.45%. MSCI's global stock index rose by 0.18%. Japanese stocks rose sharply following an auction of government debt that attracted strong demand from investors. This helped set the tone for a broader equity market. The Nikkei rose 2.33%. Michael Farr, CEO of investment advisory firm Farr, Miller & Washington, in Washington, said: "After a 5% drop in stocks in late November, they have recovered and are trading near their pre-pullback highs." BIG DROP IN US PAYROLLS DATA POST The gains were made after the U.S. data on private payrolls posted its biggest drop in over two and a half years. Also, a survey conducted in the services sector showed that activity in November was stable while hiring decreased. Markets may be disappointed if they reduce rates by a quarter point, then pause. This is what every Fed speaker said. Farr added that if they do not cut rates and instead say we will wait until the next Fed meeting, then markets may be disappointed. Fed funds futures have a 90% probability of a quarter point cut at the Fed's meeting on December 10 compared to an 83.4% a week earlier, according CME Group’s FedWatch tool. According to LSEG, the dollar index tracks the performance of the U.S. dollar against six other currencies. It was down 0.08% last day and is on track for its 10th consecutive daily decline. This will be the longest losing streak since at least 1970. The yield on the US Treasury 10-Year Bond has increased by 3.4 basis points The yield of the 10-year Treasury Bond in the United States was at last up 3.4 basis point to 4.092%. The Financial Times reported Wednesday that bond holders had voiced concerns to the U.S. Treasury about Kevin Hassett's potential to aggressively reduce interest rates in order to match President Donald Trump’s preferences. Farr stated that the Trump administration had chosen to announce the President's choice of a new Fed Chairman in a way that would be perceived - whether correctly or incorrectly - as more dovish during this meeting, to appear to be an antidote for the message. The government debt sale in Japan attracted the highest demand for more than six year, helping to calm investor nerves over the long-term financial health of the country, which has stoked fears about similar concerns about other economies. The dollar is down by 0.28% to 154.8 yen, and the yen is on track for its biggest weekly gain in two months against the U.S. dollar. A report that said the Bank of Japan is likely to increase interest rates in December, with the government tolerating such a move, citing sources within the government familiar with deliberations. In Hong Kong, offshore trading, the yuan weakened a bit, resulting in a dollar gain of 0.18%, or 7.070 yuan. On Wednesday, the Chinese currency reached its highest level against dollar in over a year. After a recent run of hot metals, precious metals have cooled. Silver fell 2.4%, to $57.03 per ounce after reaching a record high on Tuesday of $58.98. Gold dropped 0.28%, at $4,195. Brent crude rose 0.06% to $62.71 per barrel.
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Gold stable as rising yields offset dollar weakening; PCE data is in focus
Gold prices were mostly unchanged on Thursday as rising U.S. Treasury rates offset support from the weaker dollar. Markets awaited Friday's U.S. Inflation data to get clues about Federal Reserve policy ahead of their December meeting. As of 1611 GMT, spot gold rose 0.1% to $4.211.19 an ounce. U.S. Gold Futures for February Delivery rose by 0.3% to $4,243.70 an ounce. Edward Meir, Marex analyst, said: "Higher yields keep a little cap on gold's upside. The general dollar index provides some support." The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury rate rose by 1%. Meanwhile, the U.S. Dollar Index hit a new low for a month, making gold more accessible to overseas buyers. The latest data on Thursday shows that the number of new U.S. unemployment benefits claims fell to 191,000 in the past week, which is lower than it has been for over three years. This figure was also well below what economists had predicted at 220,000. ADP's report on Wednesday showed that private payrolls in the United States fell by 32,000 during November. This was the largest drop in over two and half years. Over 100 economists surveyed by predicted that the Federal Reserve would reduce its key rate by 25 basis point at its policy meeting on December 9-10, as it seeks to support the cooling labor market. Gold is a non-yielding asset that benefits from lower interest rates. Investors will be watching the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation indicator, the Personal Consumption Expenditures report (PCE), due on Friday. Meir said that the markets will remain relatively unchanged between now and next Monday. As for gold, we are likely to be in a trading range which is fairly uneventful. Silver fell 2.5%, to $56.99, after reaching a record-high of $58.98. The metal has risen by 97% in this year due to a structural shortage, market liquidity concerns and its inclusion on the U.S. Critical Minerals list. Palladium fell 1.8% to $1433.50, while platinum dropped 1.1% to $1652.17.
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Shell and Petrobras buy two areas at Brazil's oil auction
In an auction of crude oil held by the state-run PPSA on Thursday, a consortium of Petrobras (Petroleum) and Shell (Shell) secured two offshore fields in Brazil's Tupi & Atapu oilfields. The consortium was the sole bidder at the auction. It offered 7.79 billion reais (1.47 billion dollars) for the Tupi region, which is 2% higher than the minimum price. For the Atapu region, it offered 1 billion reais, or 16% more. The Mero field's third area did not receive any bids. The auction included stakes in fields that were already producing oil but had not been contracted. This gave the companies the right to profit off of additional production. Brent crude prices are falling, and the auction results did not meet the Brazilian government's target of at least 10,2 billion reais in order to increase revenue. Petrobras announced in a filing that it would pay 6.97 billion reais to cover the transactions. The contracts for these transactions are expected be signed before March 2026. It said that the disbursement had been planned. Although volumes were not forecasted, they should fall within a margin set by a production curve projected in its business plan for 2026-2030, published last week. Santander analysts warned that the payment would affect dividends in 2026, despite the positive outlook they had for Petrobras and its increased exposure to highly productive presalt areas. Petrobras preferred shares listed in Sao Paulo rose 1% at midday, while Bovespa's benchmark index rose 1.5%.
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Gold stable as rising yields offset dollar weakening; PCE data is in focus
Gold prices were mostly unchanged on Thursday, as rising U.S. Treasury rates offset support from the weaker dollar. Markets awaited Friday's U.S. Inflation data to get clues about Federal Reserve policy ahead of their December meeting. As of 1505 GMT, spot gold was down 0.2% at $4,195.69 an ounce. U.S. Gold Futures for February Delivery were down 0.2% to $4,224.10 an ounce. Edward Meir, Marex analyst, said: "Higher yields keep a little cap on gold's upside. The general dollar index provides some support." Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury Yields rose by 0.8%. The U.S. Dollar Index hit a new low for a month, making gold more accessible to overseas buyers. The latest data on Thursday shows that the number of new U.S. unemployment benefits claims fell to 191,000 in the past week, which is lower than it has been for over three years. This figure was also well below what economists had predicted at 220,000. ADP's report on Wednesday showed that private payrolls in the United States fell by 32,000 during November. This was the largest drop in over two and half years. Over 100 economists surveyed by predicted that the Federal Reserve would reduce its key rate by 25 basis point at its policy meeting on December 9-10, as it seeks to support the cooling labor market. Gold is a non-yielding asset that benefits from lower interest rates. Investors will be watching the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation indicator, the Personal Consumption Expenditures report (PCE), due on Friday. Meir said that the markets will remain relatively unchanged between now and next Monday. As for gold, we are likely to be in a trading range which is fairly uneventful. Silver fell 3.3%, to $56.54, after reaching a record-high of $58.98. Silver is up 96% in this year due to a structural shortage, market liquidity concerns and inclusion on the U.S. Critical Minerals list. Palladium fell 2.1%, to $1430.38, while platinum dropped 2.2%, to $1634.15. (Reporting from Anmol Choubey and Naveen Thkral in Singapore, with editing by Leroy Leo.)
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US fuel efficiency rule could bring back station wagons
Trump's administration claims that its proposed fuel-economy rollback could allow automakers resume building station wagons – a popular family vehicle in the 1970s and 1980s. Sean Duffy, Transportation Secretary at CNBC said: "This rule allows you to bring the 1970s Station Wagon back -- maybe with a little wood paneling along the side." "We can give consumers more choice. The minivan may be cool, but the station wagon might also be." In its proposal on Wednesday, the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration of the Transportation Department said that fuel efficiency regulations had led manufacturers to change the market in unexpected ways. "For example, almost eliminating station wagon production." Detroit Three automakers stopped producing full-size wagons by the mid-1990s, but smaller wagons were still produced by U.S. automobile manufacturers until 2008. Trucks are subject to more stringent regulations than cars. Station wagons fall under the category of passenger cars, while minivans and crossover utility vehicle are classified as light trucks. Jonathan Morrison, NHTSA Administrator, raised the issue of Station Wagons separately in a phone call earlier this week with automakers. NHTSA announced on Wednesday that it would significantly reduce the fuel efficiency requirements for model years 2022-2031. The average mileage requirement will be reduced to 34.5 miles per galon by 2031 from 50.4 (21,4 km per liter). NHTSA estimates that the proposed rule will reduce average vehicle costs up front by $930 but increase fuel consumption around 100 billion gallons by 2050. This could cost Americans an additional $185 billion in fuel and increase CO2 emissions by 5%. Transportation is the largest contributor to U.S. emissions of greenhouse gases. Trump signed legislation earlier this year that eliminated fuel economy penalties for automobile manufacturers. The NHTSA also said automakers would not be fined going back to 2022. (Reporting and editing by Chizu Nomiyama and Alexandra Hudson.
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Edison CEO: Group accelerates green investments; EDF eyes minority stake sale
Edison's green investment will increase the Italian utility’s borrowings, said its CEO. EDF, the parent company, plans to sell a majority stake in the unit, to avoid an increase in its debt. The Italian utility announced earlier on Thursday that it will begin working on renewable projects in Italy with a combined power of more than 500 megawatts. Edison CEO Nicola Monti said in an interview that "EDF had many investments to be made in France, particularly in the nuclear sector. The intention to open (our) capital – only for a minor stake – is to allow Edison implement its development plans without burdening EDF’s consolidated debt." Monti stated that EDF advisers were currently studying how to reduce Edison's parent company's stake in Edison Capital. Monti added that EDF has not changed its plan to retain the majority of the Italian unit. Italian media reported recently that the national infrastructure fund F2i might form a consortium with investors to acquire Edison's majority. Monti stated that the EDF management has repeatedly stated that the company would only be interested in a minority stake. Edison reported revenues in the amount of 18.4 billion euros (15.4 billion euros) and a core profit of 1.7 milliards euros. State-owned EDF, under the leadership of its new CEO Bernard Fontana has selected Intesa Sanpaolo IMI Lazard and Lazard as partners. Review your assets Two sources familiar with the situation said that EDF may end up selling about 30% of its Italian subsidiary. Edison will accelerate the development of renewable energy in Italy. It aims to double its current green capacity from 2 gigawatts to 4-5 GW by 2030, Monti stated. He added that Edison would continue to take part in auctions in order to receive government incentives in Italy for green power. Monti, the Italian minister of energy, said that Italy completed its first auction, under the FER X incentive program, on Monday, by awarding 400 Megawatts (MW) of renewable power to Edison.
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Sources say that Indian fertiliser companies will sign a deal with Uralchem for the establishment of a Russian plant.
Three sources say that Indian firms will sign a joint venture agreement with Uralchem, Russia's largest potash and ammonium-nitrate producer during the visit of President Vladimir Putin to New Delhi on Friday to build a urea factory in Russia. Sources said that the project, which aims to strengthen India's fertiliser security over the long term, will see India Potash Ltd and Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilisers Ltd holding each a 22,5% stake in a joint venture. National Fertilizers Ltd. will own a 5% share, while Uralchem holds the remainder and will lead the project. India, Asia’s third largest economy, depends heavily on imported crop nutrition to support its vast agricultural sector. This sector employs approximately 40% of the labor force and contributes about 15% of its $4 trillion GDP. India's imports of fertilisers from Russia increased by more than threefold from 2021 to $1.7 billion, reaching a peak of $2.7 billion in the year 2022. In April-October 2025, the total amount of fertiliser imported increased by 82% on an annual basis to $10 billion. One source said that the new plant would run on natural gases and will follow a similar model to India's long-standing overseas fertiliser joint enterprise in Oman. Uralchem and the Indian companies did not respond immediately to our queries. New Delhi is working to diversify, stabilise and increase the supply of fertilisers amid volatile markets and increasing geopolitical tensions. India imported 5.6 millions metric tons (MT) of urea during the fiscal year 2024/25 ending in March. This is down from 9.8 MT in 2020/21 as domestic capacity increased and sourcing patterns changed. Uralchem, the planned deal to be signed by Putin during his two-day visit to India, is expected deepen India's long term fertiliser cooperation with Moscow, even though Russian trade remains subject to Western sanctions. India imports urea also from Oman and Qatar. It imported 5,9 million tons of agricultural-grade urea between April and October 2025. This is up from 2.5 million tons the previous year. (Reporting and editing by Elaine Hardcastle; Nidhi verma)
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Niger accuses France’s Orano of uranium pollution as the uranium dispute deepens
Niger accused French nuclear fuel company Orano, of "predatory behaviour" and environmental crimes. This escalated a bitter dispute about control of the West African country's uranium mining. Orano, the military-led government, could be prosecuted for "mass crime" after 400 barrels radioactive core were found in Madaouela near Arlit where Orano operated its uranium mining operations. Orano, 90% owned in France by the state, denied that it was operating in Madaouela and said it did not receive any official notification of legal action. In a written answer to questions, the company stated that it did not have an operating license at the Madaouela location and had never conducted any operations there. Justice Minister Alio Daouda stated that the radiation levels in the area were much higher than usual -- approximately 7 to 10 microsieverts an hour, as opposed to the normal 0.5 microsieverts. Two substances were also detected that could cause breathing problems or be harmful for people. ORANO HAS NOTICE OF NIGER'S LEGAL ACTION BUT NO ACTIVITY FROM ORANO Orano lost 63.4% of its stake in the Somair Mine when Niger nationalized it in June. Niger started transporting uranium last week. It said it was exercising its sovereignty right, despite an order from a World Bank Tribunal barring it access to the stockpile. Orano called the move illegal and warned that the shipment was a serious risk to safety and the environment, claiming it did not have any evidence that the transport met international standards. Niger is a major producer of cancer treatment materials and nuclear fuel. France, which relies 70% on nuclear energy for its electricity, purchased about 15% of the uranium it needed from Niger during its peak mining period. The expropriation by Niger of Orano shares reflects a regional shift in which military-led governments are asserting greater control over resources. Previous reports stated that around 1,500 metric tonnes of uranium was stockpiled at Somair. Potential buyers included Turkish, Iranian, and Russian interests. Reporting by Niger Newsroom in Dakar and Maxwell Akalaare Adombila; Editing by Felix Bate, Tomaszjanowski and Tomasz Bate
UN report: Major Rwandan coltan supplier bought smuggled Congolese mineral minerals
A forthcoming UN report claims that Rwandan-based Boss Mining purchased coltan from Congo.
Mineral trade is used to finance M23 rebels in eastern Congo
Boss, Rwanda and other countries deny any involvement in the smuggling of goods from Congo
Reade Levinson and David Lewis, Sonia Rolley
According to a report reviewed by the United Nations, a Rwandan company called Boss Mining Solution purchased minerals that were smuggled out of rebel-held areas in neighboring Congo. This helped fund an insurgency there. This is the first time that the U.N. has publicly named a company accused of being complicit in the trafficking of minerals looted in Congo after M23 insurgents took over a major mining area in the country last year. Boss Mining is named in a U.N. document that documents how recent territorial gains by M23 in Congo have further destabilized an area beset by decades-long conflict. U.N. accuses the heavily armed rebels of plundering Congo’s natural resources, and of committing atrocities on civilians. They are backed by Rwanda's government. The report stated that illegal mining and smuggling minerals into Rwanda from M23-controlled zones had "reached unprecedented heights". Diplomats said that the report, which was presented to the U.N. Security Council's sanctions committee for Congo at the beginning of May, will be published shortly. M23 has not responded to our requests for comment. Corporate records show that Eddy Habimana is a Rwandan entrepreneur who runs Boss Mining. U.N. investigators had identified Habimana as a minerals trafficker a decade earlier, with ties to rebels fighting in the eastern Congo. Habimana refused to comment on allegations made in an unpublished U.N. Report. According to Rwandan corporate records, two Russian-born mining executives also own Boss Mining. Yolande Makolo said on Wednesday that the U.N. Report "misrepresents Rwanda’s longstanding concerns about security" regarding Hutu groups who have attacked ethnic Tutsis both in Rwanda and Congo. This threat "requires a defense posture in our borders." The Congolese government spokesperson did not respond immediately to our questions, but officials in the Democratic Republic of Congo have accused Rwanda of fomenting conflict to plunder Congo’s mineral wealth. Mineral sales have been crucial to M23's funding. Insurgents swept through large areas of eastern DRC this year, including mines that produce gold, copper and tin, as well as the largest coltan mining operation in the world. An analysis of 2024 customs records revealed that Boss Mining was one of several Rwandan companies exporting significant volumes of coltan, despite the fact Rwanda produces very little of this metallic ore. Rubaya is the Congolese mine area, now controlled by the M23 group, which produces 15% of all the coltan in the world. The ore can be processed into tantalum, a heat resistant metal that is in demand by manufacturers of mobile phones, computer systems, and other electronics, aerospace, and medical applications. M23 insurgents took control of the two main crossings to Rwanda when they seized Bukavu, a border city located on the Congolese side, and Congo. According to a forthcoming U.N. Report, smuggled Congolese mineral are transported to Rwanda through these cities. They do so at night to "avoid detection." According to the report, 195 tons were discovered in just the last week of march. The report stated that Boss Mining purchased some of the minerals. Habimana responded to previous questions in June about Boss Mining operations by saying that his company had "never purchased coltan" from Rubaya. "All materials we purchase are in compliance with international guidelines designed to ensure mining doesn't fund armed group or contribute to abuses of human rights," he added. M23's rapid advance in eastern Congo has reignited a conflict that dates back to the Rwandan genocide of 1994 and has caused millions of people to be displaced. The rebels are determined to topple the Congolese Government. The Rwandan government has denied for years that it is involved in the trade of coltan looted by its neighbor, or that it supports M23. Rwanda's ruling Tutsi majority party shares the same concern as M23 about the alleged threat of rival Hutu groups in eastern Congo. According to a confidential U.N. document, Rwanda had 1,000 troops in Congo as of April. Rwanda and Congo signed on Friday a peace agreement mediated by the United States that will see Rwandan troops withdrawn from Congo. The agreement does not include the M23. The rebel group is a part of an independent, parallel mediation that Qatar leads to try and end hostilities. Success in these talks is crucial to any lasting peace.
MURKY SUPPLY CHAINS An analysis of customs data revealed that Boss Mining exported 150 metric tonnes of coltan in 2024, worth at least $6.6 million. This figure represented 6.5% of all Rwandan coltan exports in 2024. Boss Mining was the sixth largest exporter of ore for the year. According to a Boss Mining worker who requested anonymity because he wasn't authorized to speak with the media, Boss Mining doesn't mine its own coltan, but instead buys it from Speck Minerals and other sellers. According to an employee of Boss Mining and a database online from the Rwanda Mining Board, the company has a mining license in Rwanda's Burera District where they mine wolframite. According to maps and the mining industry press, there are no major coltan mines in that area. According to reports from the Rwanda Mining Association, and the Rwandan mining press, Habimana also represents Speck Minerals. According to a publication from the 2024 Rwanda Mining Association, Habimana also uses this number for Boss Mining. Boss Mining's employee said that Speck operated two mines, in the Gakenke district and Muhanga district of Rwanda. These mines produce a total of 18 tons of colltan per month. In a 2018 audit conducted by a Thai smelter of the Muhanga Mine, the site owner was listed as Eddy Habimana and the mine name was listed as Speck. According to the audit, the production was 2.3 tons per month at that time. Habimana, in response to questions last month about Boss Mining in text messages, described the two mines in Muhanga & Gakenke as being part of Boss Mining operations. Was unable to verify current production at either mine. Habimana refused to answer any questions regarding Speck, or the employee's claims about production. U.N. investigators as well as non-governmental organisations and sources from the mining industry have accused M23 and their Rwandan supporters of smuggling minerals from Congo illegally for more than a decade. According to a U.N. Report published in December 2024, the scale of the trade increased after M23 took Rubaya. The rebels established a parallel government that controlled mining, trade, transportation, and taxation on minerals produced in the area. U.N. 2024 report stated that the rebels had taken Rubaya and established a parallel administration to control mining activities, trade, transport, and taxation of the minerals produced there. U.N. experts said that the resulting mixing of Congolese coltan with Rwandan production is "the most significant contamination of supply chain" to date. According to the report 2024, M23 received $800,000 per month in taxes from the coltan mines in eastern Congo. Mining experts claim that official statistics on Rwanda's production of coltan are not reliable. In May 2024, the central bank of Rwanda suspended publishing export statistics shortly after M23 had seized Rubaya. An analysis of the customs records revealed that Rwanda exported 2,300 tons ore coltan last year. Eleven geologists and mining experts who are based in the area said that Rwanda exports much more coltan than it produces. They have all visited mines and found that the Congo has a much larger mine site and more miners. Bill Millman, a mineral consultant based in the UK, said that Rwanda's coltan exports for 2024 are "totally implausible". Rwanda's government has not commented on its coltan output. In January, the DRC cut diplomatic ties with Rwanda after M23 took over the Congolese capital of Goma. Congo's army has repeatedly struggled to quell Rwanda-backed revolts. Kigali, however, has benefited for years from the corruption in the Congolese minerals trade and the lack of regulation.
RUSSIAN CONNECTION Rwandan records of company show that Boss Mining, which was established in 2013, is owned by Habimana. The managing director denied buying Congolese colltan. These records reveal that Boss Mining also has two other owners, Yuriy tolmatchev (the managing director who denied purchasing Congolese coltan) and Alexander Konovalchik. According to UK and Russian company records, and Russian mining press reports, both men are dual citizens of the UK and Russia and have worked in the mining sector for decades. Now they live and work in Britain. According to corporate records, the two men own other companies which buy the coltan from Boss Mining. They are also directors of Metarex Ltd., according to Cyprus corporate records. According to corporate records from the United Arab Emirates provided by corporate intelligence firm Diligencia, Metarex is 100% owner of Novacore FZE. Tolmatchev manages Novacore, which according to corporate records and an analysis of customs data, purchases all the coltan produced by Boss Mining. Tolmatchev declined to comment on Novacore’s purchases. He stated that Boss Mining was the smallest exporter of coltan in Rwanda but refused to give more details. He said he had no idea what local traders were doing in North Kivu, the Congo province where the Rubaya mine is located. Tomaltchev responded that the company does not buy material from Congo. Konovalchik was not able to comment on the U.N. Report. He said that all minerals purchased by Boss Mining are "from Rwandan Sources". He then referred any further questions to Habimana. He said, "I don't control day-to-day operations." Reade Levinson reported from London, David Lewis from Nairobi, and Sonia Rolley from Paris. Filipp Lebedev contributed additional reporting from London. Marla Dickerson, Silvia Aloisi and Marla Dickerson edited the article.
(source: Reuters)