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US durable goods orders surge on aircraft bookings during March

US durable goods orders surge on aircraft bookings during March

In March, orders for durable U.S. manufactured products surged on the back of strong demand for aircraft. However, activity elsewhere was muted as businesses exercised caution in light of a bleak economic outlook due to tariffs.

The Commerce Department's Census Bureau reported on Thursday that orders for durable goods, which include toasters and aircraft designed to last at least three years, increased by 9.2% in March after a slightly revised 0.9% increase in February.

Economists surveyed by predicted durable goods orders would increase 2.0%, after an earlier reported 1.0% rise in February.

China and the United States are involved in a trade dispute after President Donald Trump increased tariffs on Chinese imports up to 145%. This prompted retaliation by Beijing. Trump imposed an additional 10% tariff on all trading partners, and threatened to impose a 25% duty for imported auto parts.

Other goods such as lumber, automobiles, steel, and aluminum have also been subject to a slew of tariffs.

Trump sees the tariffs to be a way to generate revenue in order to pay for his tax cuts, and to revitalize a U.S. industry that has been declining. The domestic manufacturing industry is heavily dependent on imported raw materials, and economists warn that the tariffs will disrupt supply chains.

Transport equipment orders increased by 27.0%. This was boosted 139.0% by an increase in commercial aircraft orders. Commercial aircraft orders are notoriously volatile. Boeing announced on its website that they had received 192 orders for aircraft in March. This is up from just 13 in February.

China ordered this month that its airlines stop taking Boeing jets. Some airline CEOs said they were willing to defer plane delivery rather than pay duty, which could harm the plane maker's recovery after a devastating strike last year.

Recently, two Boeing planes bound for China were returned. Boeing CEO Kelly Ortberg said, however, that on Wednesday, the company avoided further damage from tariffs, and that it could redirect jets towards other airlines who have "asked for additional aircraft."

The non-defense capital goods order, which excludes aircraft and is closely watched as a proxy for the business's spending plans, rose 0.1% in march after a revised 0.3% decline in February. These core capital goods orders had been reported to have decreased by 0.2% in February.

The shipment of capital goods has increased by 0.3%, after a 0.7% increase in the previous month. These shipments are used to calculate the equipment component of gross domestic product. The fourth-quarter decline in business investment in equipment was due to a decrease in the number of new purchases.

The growth estimates for the quarter January-March are mostly below 0.5% annualized and the chances of a contraction is high. The fourth quarter saw the economy grow at a pace of 2.4%. Reporting by Lucia Mutikani, Editing by ChizuNomiyama

(source: Reuters)