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India oil demand driven by consumers rather than industry: Kemp

India's oil intake increased by 3.7 million tonnes (4.8%) in the first 4 months of 2024 compared with the very same period in 2023, according to data from the federal government's Petroleum Preparation and Analysis Cell.

Increased domestic consumption was equivalent to an additional 220,000 barrels per day (bpd), just slightly slower than growth of 235,000 bpd in the first four months of 2023 and 241,000 bpd in the very same period in 2022.

Development was broadly in line with the OPEC secretariat's. projection for a full-year average boost of 230,000 bpd. ( Month-to-month oil market report, OPEC, May 14)

Chartbook: India petroleum usage

India is turning into one of the most crucial drivers of. worldwide petroleum consumption and anticipated to surpass China as. the single most important source of growth by 2030.

The switchover is still in the future. OPEC. forecasts India will represent one-tenth of worldwide development this. year, the second-highest share of any nation, but still well. behind practically one-third coming from China.

BIKES, CARS AND COOKING

Two-thirds of India's petroleum intake is attributable. to simply three products - diesel (39%), gas (16%) and. liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) (13%).

Much smaller sized shares are attributable to petroleum coke (9%),. naphtha (6%), bitumen (4%), jet fuel (4%) and other items.

Diesel is mainly utilized by freight hauliers, makers and. mines, with little amounts in agriculture and power. generation, and intake has actually risen at a typical yearly rate. of a little under 3% over the last decade.

The fastest growth has actually originated from gas, rising at an. typical rate of 8% annually, as home incomes have actually driven a. fast increase in motorcycle and automobile ownership.

The variety of signed up motorcycles and passenger cars more. than doubled in the years as much as 2020, according to the most. current available data from the Ministry of Roadway Transport and. Highways.

The second-fastest growth has actually come from LPG, increasing more. than 6% annually, as more homes turn to bottled gas to. replace kerosene for cooking.

Homes represent nearly 90% of the country's LPG. intake and it has practically entirely replaced kerosene in the. last twenty years.

Growth led by gasoline and LPG rather than diesel is. constant with other information revealing the nation's economic. expansion is being driven primarily by intake rather than. industrial deepening.

Associated columns:

- India to become primary chauffeur of incremental oil use by 2030. ( Jan. 24, 2024)

- China and India battle to suppress fossil fuels (Oct. 19,. 2023)

- India's new motorcycle owners drive gasoline boom (Sept. 16, 2016)

- India's mobility transformation is driving global oil need. ( May 16, 2016)

John Kemp is a market analyst. The views revealed. are his own. Follow his commentary on X https://twitter.com/JKempEnergy.

(source: Reuters)