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Venezuela's sovereign, PDVSA bonds drop after contested election outcome

Venezuela's bonds and those of state oil firm PDVSA fell deeper into distressed area on Monday, after both President Nicolas Maduro and opposition rival Edmundo Gonzalez claimed election victory.

The majority of Venezuelan bonds were down a minimum of one cent in rate, with the 2019 and 2038 maturities down 1.75 cents each, according to LSEG information. The PDVSA 2022 was bid at 14.6 cents on the dollar, down more than two cents on the day.

Venezuela's national electoral authority stated early on Monday that Maduro had won a third term in power with 51% of the vote regardless of exit polls pointing to an opposition win. The United States said it had severe concerns about the outcome, which was likewise called into question by regional democracies.

The developments took few by surprise, nevertheless, given Maduro's 2018 reelection was also thought about fraudulent by the United States, to name a few.

So far whatever remains in line with expectations, said KNG Securities analyst Bruno Gennari. Maduro has actually revealed that he has won (the election) and the opposition has challenged it ... This scenario, for me, was 99% expected.

Bond rates had actually risen in anticipation of the vote, with polls having revealed a comfy lead by the opposition. A. routine change is seen by lots of analysts as necessary for the. removal of U.S. sanctions that presently make a debt. restructuring all but impossible.

With Maduro set to stay in office, prospects for the sort. of transformative change that would have likely followed an. opposition success would appear to have actually vanished; a minimum of for. now, said Stuart Culverhouse, chief economic expert and international head. of fixed earnings research study at Tellimer in London.

To the extent that rates had actually marked down some possibility of. regime modification that would be positive for the bonds, we expect. there could be down pressure on prices in the near term as. some financiers lose perseverance and in specific tourist financiers. look to exit.

(source: Reuters)