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Europe's long-term LNG volumes could exceed demand by 2027-2030 - EU's ACER

Longterm contracted volumes of melted natural gas (LNG) will exceed the European Union's predicted supply needs and could leave the bloc in an overcontracted position by 20272030, a report by the EU company of energy regulators revealed on Friday.

In its very first edition of an LNG market keeping track of report, the Company for the Cooperation of Energy Regulators (ACER) stated that Europe became the world's most significant importer of LNG in 2023, exceeding China, however it expects LNG need from EU countries to reach a peak this year.

WHY IT is essential

EU nations have actually raced to replace Russian fuel following Moscow's intrusion of Ukraine in 2022 and LNG imports have been important in changing a substantial share of Russian gas pipeline products.

Acer forecasts are made based upon EU Commission projections of gas demand under a strategy to minimize reliance on Russian fossil fuels called REPowerEU. The complete application of that strategy would cause an additional need reduction of around 100 bcm of gas by 2030.

CRUCIAL QUOTE

From 2023 and up until 2026, the existing long-lasting agreements for delivery in Europe are assessed as insufficient to satisfy the total EU LNG demand. However, from 2027 to 2030, the effect of REPowerEU procedures on EU gas need decreases is expected to result in over-contracted LNG position, with surplus volumes varying from 30 bcm in 2027 to 66 bcm in 2030, ACER stated.

BY THE NUMBERS

- EU Member States imported 134 billion cubic metres (bcm). of LNG, comprising 42% of total EU gas imports.

- Among EU nations, France was the largest importer at 30. bcm.

- Long term contracted volumes represent approximately 60% of. the overall LNG requirements through 2030.

GRAPHIC

Exposure to the LNG area market under the REPowerEU circumstance. by 2030 (bcm).

(source: Reuters)