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Equinor Profit Falls, Impairments Mount as Oil Price Forecasts Trimmed
Equinor posted a bigger than expected drop in third-quarter profit on Wednesday as oil and gas prices fell, and booked asset impairments on a weaker long-term outlook for crude prices.The Norwegian energy group's adjusted earnings before tax for July-September fell 9.9% to $6.21 billion from $6.89 billion a year earlier, slightly lagging the $6.31 billion predicted in a poll of 21 analysts compiled by Equinor.Equinor maintained a projection that its oil and gas output will grow by 4% this year compared to 2024 and kept its forecast for capital expenditure in 2025 of $13 billion.Lower Price Outlook, Weaker TradingBut the group booked net asset impairments for the quarter, including some reversals of previous writedowns, of $754 million, "primarily driven by lower price outlook".Equinor now expects the benchmark Brent Blend oil price to be $75 per barrel between 2030 and 2040, while it had previously predicted a price of $80 at the start of that decade, declining to $75 by the end.The biggest impairment was a revaluation of British assets, including the North Sea Rosebank oilfield development, that Equinor is merging with Shell SHEL.L in a deal expected to complete by the end of this year, taking a $650 million hit.In the United States, Equinor booked an impairment of $385 million on offshore oil fields due to reduced production estimates, increased cost estimates, and the lower oil price assumption for the decade from 2030-2040, it said.Equinor lowered its quarterly guidance for its Midstream, Marketing and Processing segment, home to its energy trading activities, to an average adjusted operating income of around $400 million, from a previous $400 million to $800 million range."This is due to changing market conditions and earlier divestment of certain assets," it said.(Reuters - Reporting by Nerijus Adomaitis and Nora Buli, editing by Terje Solsvik and Alexander Smith)
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Mermaid Subsea Wraps Up North Sea Subsea Recovery Project
Mermaid Subsea Services (UK) has completed a fast-track subsea recovery campaign in the North Sea for a major operator.The operation involved the internal and external severance of casing, conductor, guide pipe and cement lines, as well as local seabed excavation and recovery of the CAN-Basic structure.Mermaid also handled waste management of recovered items and backfill operations to prepare for an over-trawl survey. “This was a time-critical project, and our team responded with professionalism and agility to ensure safe and efficient delivery. The successful recovery reinforces our reputation for handling complex subsea operations across the North Sea,” said Scott Cormack, Regional Director for Mermaid Subsea Services (UK).The campaign follows several North Sea operations completed by Mermaid earlier this year, including a scale-inhibitor treatment on the Teal P2 well in the Anasuria Cluster and a complex wellhead severance project in the Southern North Sea.Both projects were executed from the Island Valiant vessel, which the company has chartered for a second year.
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Gold rises on dollar decline; Trump-Xi Meeting in Focus
Gold prices rose on Thursday as a result of a slight drop in the dollar. Investors were waiting to see if U.S. president Donald Trump and Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping could reach a deal. As of 0235 GMT, spot gold was up by 0.2% to $3,937.88 an ounce. U.S. Gold Futures for December Delivery fell 1.2% to $3950.70 an ounce. The dollar index dropped 0.2%, after reaching a two-week peak against its rivals during the previous session. This made gold cheaper for holders of other currencies. "There is no catalyst other than a little technical bounce. This week, gold has been under pressure. The U.S. China trade deal is a negative for geopolitics and trade, according to Capital.com analyst Kyle Rodda. Gold is also negatively affected by the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance and the decline in odds of another rate reduction in December. This dynamic could cause gold to continue its decline. "Gold is on the rise in the long term." The U.S. Central Bank cut interest rates for the second consecutive time by a quarter percentage point, bringing benchmark overnight rates to a range of target 3.75%-4.00%. Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that officials are still struggling to come to a consensus on what the future holds for monetary policies and that the financial markets shouldn't assume another rate reduction will occur at the end the year. Gold that does not yield is a good investment in low-interest rate environments and economic uncertainty. The market is now focused on Trump's meeting in South Korea with Xi. U.S. negotiators are signaling that they want to return to the fragile truce in the trade war, but tensions still remain high. Long-term economic irritations will continue between geopolitical competitors. Trump and South Korean president Lee Jae Myung finalised the details of their fraught deal at a South Korean summit, and the U.S. President also sounded optimistic about the summit with China’s Xi. Spot silver was unchanged at $47.51 an ounce. Platinum rose 0.3% to 1,590.21 while palladium increased 1.2% to $1417.80. (Reporting by Brijesh Patel in Bengaluru; Editing by Subhranshu Sahu)
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Asia stocks rise as Fed cuts and Trump-Xi Meeting in focus
Asian stocks rose in the morning trade on Thursday, after the Federal Reserve lowered interest rates. U.S. leaders and Chinese leaders also met to negotiate a deal. The Bank of Japan is due to announce its interest rate decision shortly. MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific index outside Japan rose 0.5% last, while U.S. S&P500 e-minis futures advanced 0.4% after Wall Street stocks posted a small loss to end a four-day streak of gains. As the Trump Administration imposes tariffs on imports from abroad, global markets are undergoing a series of central bank decisions. These will provide clues as to the future path of interest rates. Kyle Rodda is a senior analyst at Capital.com, in Melbourne. He said, "There are a lot of things to digest and the Bank of Japan's decision should not be forgotten, as it could have a major impact on the region if they were to say or act hawkishly today." The U.S. China trade deal may reignite animal spirit, although I suspect, with the rally on Wall Street this week and the boost given to the Asian region, that a lot of good news has already been priced in. Donald Trump, the president of the United States, is meeting with Chinese leader Xi Jinping at this time in South Korea. U.S. negotiators are signaling that they want to return to the fragile truce in the trade war, but tensions between geopolitical opponents remain high. Sally Auld is the chief economist of the National Australia Bank, Sydney, in a podcast. She said that after a lot of activity in the first two days of the week, the central banking story will probably end with a whimper over the next 24 to 48 hours. The Nikkei fluctuated between gains, losses, and was lastly 0.1% higher before a Bank of Japan decision on Thursday. It is widely expected that the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged. The U.S. Dollar was last down 0.2% against the yen at 152.455 yen. This is after comments by U.S. Treasury Sec. Scott Bessent, who called for faster rate increases to avoid a currency devaluation. Analysts said that this may have an impact on the BOJ communication about the pace of future rate hikes. Fed Chair Jerome Powell said that policymakers will likely become more cautious in the absence of additional job and inflation data. The traders have reduced their predictions of a rate cut by 25 basis points next month. This was a prediction that had been considered a near certainty earlier. Fed funds futures indicate a 67.8% chance that the Fed will maintain rates at its December 10 meeting, compared to a 9.1% probability on Wednesday. The yield of the 10-year Treasury Bond in the United States was trading at a high of 4,068% last week, an increase of 1 basis point from a previous closing of 4,058%. The dollar index (which measures the strength of the greenback against a basket six currencies) has slipped from its two-week high and is now down by 0.1% to 99.032. The last increase in gold was 0.2% to $3,937.19 an ounce. The euro last firmed up 0.1% at $1.1617, ahead of the policy decision made by the European Central Bank in the afternoon. It is expected that the bank will leave interest rates unchanged for the third time in a line. The KOSPI index rose by 1.1% in South Korea after Trump and President Lee Jae Myung reached a final agreement on their trade deal. Samsung Electronics shares soared by 4.3% on Friday after the company reported a 32% increase in its third-quarter operating profits. Investors are becoming more anxious about the AI buildout as corporate earnings season approaches. This is despite the fact that the U.S. economic outlook appears to be in good health. The pressure is being put on the tech megacap stocks, which account for the largest weighting of the S&P 500 Index. Meta forecast on Wednesday "significantly larger" capital expenditures next year, as its revenues exceeded market expectations. Microsoft's spending for artificial intelligence infrastructure reached a record high of almost $35 billion during the third quarter. Both companies' shares fell. Alphabet, the parent company of Google, a rival tech giant, bucked this trend. Its shares rose in after-hours trade after exceeding revenue expectations. Brent crude oil was down 0.5% last week, at $64.62 a barrel.
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Profit-taking dampens gains as iron ore prices rise on hopes of a US-China trade agreement
Iron ore futures rose a fourth consecutive session on Thursday. This was boosted by hopes for a trade agreement between the two world's largest economies. However, gains were limited by profit-taking due to fears of price reversal. Donald Trump, the U.S. president, and Xi Jinping, China's leader were scheduled to meet in South Korea Thursday morning to discuss a possible return to a fragile truce in the trade war between these two superpowers. As of 2100 GMT, the most-traded contract for January iron ore on China's Dalian Commodity Exchange was up 0.81% to 806 yuan (113.15 dollars) per metric ton. It had earlier reached a session high of 808 Yuan, which is a record by two weeks. The benchmark December Iron Ore at the Singapore Exchange was unchanged at $107.2 per ton, after reaching its highest level since October 14, at $107.5. Steven Yu, senior analyst at Mysteel, stated that the expectation of an increased pickup in portside inventory also puts pressure on prices. Yu stated that "the price rally has already exceeded expectations and the thinning of spot trading did not inject the same-scale momentum into spot prices." Investors were cautious about signs of seasonal weakness in the steel market, despite cheering macroeconomic gains. China's factory output likely fell for the seventh consecutive month in October as producers tried to export their price wars at home. Some investors booked profits due to concerns about a possible price reversal after a rally that was repeated, said a Zhejiang trader under condition of anonymity because he wasn't authorized to speak to the media. On the back of expectations that supply will be constrained, coke and other steelmaking materials, such as coking coal, have risen by 2.29% and 1.07 %, respectively. The benchmarks for steel on the Shanghai Futures Exchange have advanced. The benchmarks for steel on the Shanghai Futures Exchange advanced.
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Government says that the revised Australian Environment Law will benefit business and nature.
The Australian government introduced a bill on Thursday that would simplify approvals for construction and resource projects, while also better conserving nature. The government stated that the legislation would give a boost to the economy, making it easier for people to build mines, gas facilities, renewable energy projects, and homes. The typical approval time for environmental projects has more than doubled over the past two decades, to two years. Australia exports liquefied gas, metals, and coal. It also works with its allies. Include the United States To break China's dominance in the mining industry, we must increase production of key minerals. A housing shortage is also a problem in the country, and it's trying to quickly switch to solar and wind power. Murray Watt, the Environment Minister, said that years of debate over new legislation must come to an end. Watt stated, "We have seen projects like housing, renewables, and others strangled by red tape in a time when we urgently need them to be delivered." Watt stated that he would like to have the bill passed through both chambers of parliament before the end of this year. This will require votes from the Senate either by the Greens or the Coalition of the Centre-Right. Watt said that he is in negotiations with both. The Coalition is looking for a more business-friendly bill, while the Greens are seeking stricter environmental protection. Business Council of Australia welcomed the move, calling it an opportunity to fix the broken system. However, Bran Black, CEO of the Business Council of Australia warned that "further reforms are needed to ensure the economy and environment benefit." The lobby group proposed nine changes. These included greater clarity regarding greenhouse gas reporting and maintaining existing processes in order to avoid further delays with project approvals. Watt's Office said that the bill was intended to provide clear and concise definitions of what constitutes "unacceptable impact" as well as higher penalties in case of violations. Clean Energy Council CEO Jackie Trad described it as a step in a positive direction. In recent years, the approval time for renewable energy projects has exploded. This is a concern to investors and clean energy developers. Trad stated that "we cannot afford to wait five more years" to achieve this. Reporting by Peter Hobson, Canberra; and Helen Clark, Sydney. Editing by Stephen Coates & Kim Coghill.
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Shares of Australia's Ampol drop due to weaker retail volume; margins at Lytton increase
Ampol, Australia's largest fuel retailer, recorded a lower third-quarter sales volume due to softer performance in its domestic convenience retailing business as a result of challenging weather conditions during August. The company's shares fell by as much as 3,1% Thursday, their lowest intraday performance since June. Stocks fell to their lowest level since October 23, 2009. The Australian convenience retail segment performed poorly compared to the previous year when it had enjoyed favorable market conditions due to the decline in fuel input costs. In August, New South Wales, Queensland, and other states experienced prolonged bad weather, which negatively affected sales. However, conditions began to improve in September. The company reported a total third-quarter volume of 6,028 millions litres. This is a 7.6% drop compared to the previous year. Ampol attributes the decline in volumes to the "timing of the opportunities and the availability during the period". Ampol has reported an increase of 22.2% in the refining margins on its Lytton refinery. This was due to improved performance and higher margins from fuel production in Asia. The company reported that its Lytton Refinery margin increased from $8.71 per barrel to $10.64 in the third quarter. The increase in the refining margins was attributed to the strengthening of Singapore refine cracks compared to first half of fiscal year. The company said that global refining margins had risen since late September, due to a tightening of supply, mainly driven by refinery interruptions and low inventories. Newly announced EU restrictions on Russian Crude and U.S. Sanctions on Russian Oil Firms have also added pressure. Ampol said that the replacement cost earnings for the quarter had been higher than the average quarterly result of the first half due to the stronger margins in the fuel and infrastructure businesses, excluding Lytton. The refinery also contributed to the improvement.
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Sources: China lifts partial iron ore ban on purchases from Australia's Hancock
Three sources with direct knowledge said that China's state buyer allowed its steel mills the opportunity to buy a certain type of iron ore again from Australia's Hancock Prospecting, after preventing such sales for more than a year during a dispute over negotiations. China Mineral Resources Group told steelmakers in October that they can again purchase MB fines from Hancock. This lifted a previously unreported ban. Two sources, who spoke on the condition of anonymity due to the sensitive nature of the subject, said that Chinese steel mills have been prohibited from purchasing MB fines since early 2024. This is because negotiations regarding CMRG being the exclusive seller of Roy Hill in China, which is now part of Hancock's portfolio, stalled. CMRG and Hancock have not responded to requests for comments. CMRG, established in 2022, was created to consolidate China’s steel mills under a single buyer. It also aims to win better prices for the few iron ore mining companies. CMRG and its larger rival BHP have also been involved in difficult negotiations. Sources have confirmed that Chinese steel mills are not allowed to buy certain BHP cargoes. However, other grades of BHP are still being traded. No one of the sources could confirm that CMRG had settled their dispute with Hancock. The third source, however, said that CMRG was now the sole authorized seller of miner's ores in China. Multiple industry sources have confirmed that the West Australia-based company sold regular cargoes in China to clients such as two large traders and a number of steelmakers. Hancock Iron Ore was formed by the merger between Roy Hill and Atlas Iron in July. It has a combined annual production capability of 74,000,000 metric tons. (Reporting and editing by Kim Coghill; Staff Reporting)
UPS, FedEx transition to electric vans slowed by battery lacks, low supply
UPS and FedEx are dealing with unpredictability in U.S. materials of huge, boxy electrical step vans they need to replace their gas guzzlers and make a dent in the nation's. climatewarming tailpipe emissions. The course to electrification by the package delivery giants is. critical to U.S. President Joe Biden's transportation climate. goals. Accomplishing that objective, nevertheless, is obstructed by battery. scarcities that are restricting EV materials and keeping costs high,. and by start-up electric van makers that are running out of cash. and shutting down.
The question is the number of those (business) will be here. in 5 years, ten years? Luke Wake, UPS's vice president of. fleet maintenance and engineering, told .
In a double whammy, UPS and FedEx are likewise losing access to. California coupons that assist settle EV prices that can be about. 2 times greater than traditional delivery van.
UPS and FedEx obtained some relief from EV supply. restraints when trend-setting California, the center of. electrification, postponed a guideline that would have required. them to acquire electric delivery cars specifically starting. this year. An industry group whose members include UPS and FedEx. has submitted a suit declaring that California first required the. approval of U.S. regulators.
The delivery business and their electrical van providers face. a Catch-22 circumstance, stated Sam Fiorani, a vice president at. AutoForecast Solutions.
You need the demand to have the supply and you need the. supply to have the need. Getting both of them to work at the. very same time is the issue, he said.
UPS has actually checked and bought EVs for decades and is a. bellwether for demand. It has more than 150,000 shipment. automobiles around the globe and is amongst the top buyers of step. vans, replacing about 7,000 of its common brown trucks each. year in the U.S. alone.
UPS and FedEx, which each have actually rolled out about 1,000. electrical step trucks, are keeping their alternatives open.
UPS is sticking to its plan, set in 2016, to rely on EVs. and other alternative fuel cars to decrease emissions. Those. other lorries consist of 13,000 action vans that work on renewable. gas (RNG).
FedEx informed it is searching for opportunities to. incorporate other lower-emission delivery trucks into its. fleet.
' SUBJECT TO AVAILABILITY'
UPS and FedEx prefer step vans - bigger, often custom-made. trucks with spacious cargo locations.
U.S. releases of EV step vans by UPS, FedEx and others. such as bread and linen carriers peaked at 275 in 2021 and fell. to 238 in 2022, according to data from the not-for-profit CALSTART. Those deployments were in between 220 and 250 for 2023, the group. quotes.
On the other hand, shipment competing Amazon.com already has. over 10,000 smaller electric freight vans from Rivian. throughout the U.S. and Europe - still a small fraction of the. more comprehensive freight van market.
UPS and FedEx say electrical action vans are hard to discover.
There is minimal availability for bigger capability vans,. FedEx stated in a statement.
In 2021, FedEx revealed its objective to make 100% of pickup and. delivery car purchases in its company-owned Express system. electrical by 2030. It often adds the words based on. availability in declarations about that objective. UPS made a big bet on the EV transition in 2020, buying. UK-based Arrival and placing an order for 10,000 electrical vans. But Arrival ran out of money before selling a single. lorry to UPS.
Arrival is not alone. Upstart EV maker Lightning eMotors. remains in receivership, while Workhorse and Xos. have actually released going-concern warnings.
Atlanta-based UPS expects to utilize 40% alternative fuel in its. Ground operations by 2025, up from 29% presently. RNG trucks. today can be more climate-friendly than EVs powered by. electrical energy from coal and other nonrenewable fuel sources, Wake stated.
Environment advocates do not embrace UPS's RNG analysis,. mentioning the small portion of RNG in the gas supply and. the risk of leakages that release methane, a heat-trapping. greenhouse gas.
STICKER SHOCK
Wake said EV costs can be cost-prohibitive, but decreased. to disclose how much UPS pays.
In Southern California, UPS recently dispatched new. zero-emissions step vans made by veteran supplier Freightliner. Custom Chassis Corp (FCCC) - owned by Daimler Truck -. and SEA Electric, which is being bought by Canada's Exro. Technologies.
The expense of an FCCC MT50e electric step van is just over. $ 260,000, according to U.S. General Solutions Administration. files. That has to do with double the expense of a standard design,. industry advisors stated. Freightliner decreased to discuss. prices and said we stand ready to produce as numerous MT50e. products as the market and our consumers demand.
California for several years offered purchase vouchers of $60,000 or. $ 85,000 to all industrial purchasers of electric action vans - however. changed terms for big business like UPS and FedEx in 2023.
A evaluation found those companies now need to buy 30. trucks without rewards before they are qualified for half of. the value of coupons on additional purchases. Those. large-company incentives will end on Jan. 1, 2025.
As states like Oregon and Washington prepare to provide. coupons, the California incentive change might be weighing on. adoption as the biggest fleets historically represent a bigger. percentage of new truck purchases, said CALSTART Vice President. Tor Larson. If the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. clears the way for California to restrict big delivery business. fleet purchases to electrical and other zero-emissions lorries,. this could offer the electric step van market a European-style. regulatory push. This is since the rule could then be adopted. by other U.S. states.
The U.S. tries to utilize carrots. Europe does a good job of. using sticks, said Scott Phillippi, a previous UPS executive.
(source: Reuters)