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Stocks rise as traders reduce rate hike bets, oil prices drop

Oil prices fell as a result of higher inventories, lower global demand forecasts and reduced geopolitical worries. Global equities rose on Thursday.

U.S. Producer Price?Data, which was unchanged from July, has reduced expectations of a Federal Reserve rate increase next month. This helped tech stocks to propel the S&P 500 intraday to a record high.

The traders have reduced their bets for a rate hike in September, pricing a probability of 65% that the Fed will remain on hold next week compared to 50% on Wednesday.

After the producer prices data, gold prices and U.S. Treasury rates continued to decline.

The MSCI index of global stocks rose by 5.33 points (0.46%) to 1,159.86.

TECH BOOSTS THE WALL STREET

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 47.53, or 0.61 percent, to 7,796.03, while the S&P 500 rose 48.53, or 0.61 percent, to 7,796.03. And the Nasdaq Composite climbed 209.79, or 0.79% to 26,798.27.

Mohit Kumar, a Jefferies economist, stated that the earnings season for AI infrastructure names has been very strong. The bank also maintained an overweight position within the AI sector.

He added that "the background of high cash levels in the system, and Fed not increasing (Jefferies' view), should continue to support risks assets."

Investors waited for euro zone inflation figures after a strong earnings season. Energy and mining shares were also affected by lower commodity prices.

The STOXX 600, the pan-European index of stock markets, closed at 659.24. The benchmark fell from its record highs of the previous session.

Emerging market stocks rose by 0.85% and closed at 1,696.17.

US-IRAN DEADLOCK

Washington and Tehran exchanged accusations over Thursday's deal to reopen Strait of Hormuz. The United States said Iran failed to fulfill its obligations, and Iran countered that Washington did not deliver on the end of a blockade of Iranian port.

Brent crude futures, however, fell by 1.48%, to $87.66 a barrel, after beginning the week with an 5% increase. U.S. crude fell 1.67% to $81.00.

The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) has lowered its forecast of world oil demand growth for 2026.

The euro zone and Japan are both major energy importers. However, the United States appears to be relatively immune from oil shocks.

CURRENCIES AND BONDS

The dollar index (which measures the greenback's value against a basket of currencies including the yen and euro) rose by 0.01%, to 99.96. Meanwhile, the euro gained 0.03%, at $1.1528.

The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10 year notes dropped 4.73 basis points, to 4.645%. And the 30-year bond also fell 3.13 basis point?to 5.157%.

Analysts say that the U.S. budget deficit, which has risen to $432 billion, will likely add upward pressure to long-term borrowing costs.

Evelyne Gómez-Liechti, Mizuho's strategist, said that the PPI data, along with jobless claims and the 30-year U.S. Treasury Auction, would be the next test.

The Japanese yen fell 0.05% to 159.48 dollars per dollar.

The producer price index in Japan, which increased 7.2% from a year ago, confirmed that Bank of Japan will raise interest rates sooner than expected next month.

Spot gold dropped 0.92%, to $4,366.64 per ounce. Reporting by Chris Prentice, in New York, and Stefano Rebaudo, in Milan. Editing by Sharon Singleton and Andrew Heavens; Susan Fenton, Aurora Ellis, and Sharon Singleton.

(source: Reuters)