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Oil drops the most since years, and stocks end quarter with huge gains. Gold and yen are also down.

Brent oil saw its biggest quarterly decline since 2020, as traders closely monitored a fragile truce between the United States of America and Iran.

The U.S. Dollar posted its fourth consecutive quarterly gain against a basket, pushing the yen down to a low of 40 years, as expectations of U.S. rate hikes changed dramatically. The greenback gained more than 1% against the currencies of emerging markets as a group throughout the second quarter.

The Strait of Hormuz reopened slowly and randomly on the energy markets as the hostilities between Iran and the U.S. dwindled into a fragile truce, resulting in a drop of almost 40% of the Brent oil price over the last three months.

The equities rally continued for the third quarter as a seemingly unstoppable boom of artificial intelligence stocks drove South Korea's KOSPI to 68%, and Taiwan's benchmark index to 45%. The Nasdaq composite added more than 21%. The MSCI All-World Index gained 14.5% during the third quarter, and reached a new high in early this month. This is its best performance quarterly since 2020. The performance of emerging market stocks was 23% higher for the quarter.

The STOXX 600 index in Europe, which does not have as many AI beneficiaries than many Asian or U.S. indices, finished the quarter up 10%.

Oliver Pursche is a senior vice president at Wealthspire Advisors, located in Westport, Connecticut. He said, "Despite all the geopolitical issues, the U.S. economic performance and corporate earnings remain strong." We've had an excellent first half of the season, better than many expected." The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed the day up 136.46, or 0.26% to 52,319.20. This was a record high. The S&P500?rose 58.93, or 0.79% to 7,499.36, and the Nasdaq Composite?rose 393.58, or 1.52% to 26,213.72.

The MSCI index of global stocks rose by 8.32 points or 0.75% to 1,120.37. The STOXX 600 pan-European index rose by 0.88% while the FTSEurofirst 300 index in Europe rose by 23.73 or 0.93%. Emerging market stocks gained 16.86 points or 0.99% to 1,723.79 while Japan's Nikkei rose 594.21 or 0.86% to 70,062.32.

Dollar Up The dollar was the biggest winner among developed currencies this quarter, with a gain of 1.3% compared to a basket. Emerging market currencies also gained 1.3% against the dollar this quarter.

As markets price in more likely Federal Reserve rate increases, the dollar has gained support. The U.S. economy is growing, inflation in the U.S. remains above target and nine out of 19 Fed policymakers expect a rate increase by the end of the year.

The dollar has strengthened since the Fed meeting. This is due to the widening of growth differentials between the U.S. The dollar has strengthened further since the (Fed) meeting, supported by widening growth differentials that we've started to see between the?U.S.

Kevin Warsh is the new Federal Reserve chair and he will address the gathering on Wednesday. Gold's 14% drop in a quarter, the largest since 2013, was partly due to the dollar's increase. The yen also fell to its lowest point in over 40 years as it traded around 162.57 to the dollar on Tuesday night. The yen fell to its weakest point in 40 years, trading at 162.57 per dollar late on Tuesday. Traders were worried about a potential Japanese intervention. Finance Minister Satsuki Catayama issued another warning.

Katayama’s comments "avoided verbal escalation which often precedes an buying effort and instead reiterated that authorities are ready to respond at anytime," said Karl Schamotta. Chief market strategist at Corpay. Brent crude futures settled at $72.92 a barrel, 0.3% less than the previous day. The contract has seen its third consecutive monthly decline. It was down more than 20% in June, and 38% for the entire quarter. U.S. crude dropped 31% this quarter, but both Brent and WTI have risen close to 20% year-to-date.

The market may not have priced in a risk premium, but the increased number of ships leaving the Gulf has created a temporary surge of new supply. This was said by UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo.

Morgan Stanley has said that it models a global oil surplus of 4.8 millions barrels per day by 2027. (Reporting from Rodrigo Campos, in New York, and Amanda Cooper, in London. Additional reporting by Karen Brettell and Alun John; Additional reporting by Niket Nishant and Dhara Ranasinghe; Editing and editing by Alexander Smith and Matthew Lewis; Nick Zieminski, Cynthia Osterman and Alexander Smith.

(source: Reuters)