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Trump pursues central bankser, Wall Street stumbles and gold surges

Wall Street shook and the dollar lost ground, while gold reached a new record high on Monday. The Trump administration's threats to indict Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell raised questions about the independence of the most influential central banks.

Powell delivered an?unusually fervent speech

rejection

Morgan Stanley analysts described a "cacophony of events that will move the market" as the week begins, only the second in 2026.

Trump considering military options

Action

After the capture of Venezuelan's

Nicolas Maduro

The U.S. might try to acquire

Greenland

The S&P 500, which is the benchmark, fell 0.1%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 0.56%, and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.04%.

The dollar index fell by 0.4%, to 98.83. The euro rose by 0.33%, at $1.1676.

The point is that "the central bank's function will change fundamentally in the long-term if the White House is successful" in taking control of the monetary policy. This was stated by Thu Lan?Nguyen of Commerzbank after pointing out that the Fed has already entered a cycle of rate cuts and this scenario only becomes relevant if inflation risk increases.

She added, "However as the foreign exchange market is a forward-looking market, this justifies an increased U.S. Dollar risk premium today."

Gold, which is considered a safe haven, rose by?2.34% and reached $4615.29 per ounce. Silver rose as well.

Prices of oil fell after Iran claimed to have "total control" over the situation, following a violent weekend. The traders also took into account the possibility of Venezuela supplying more oil to a market that is already oversupplied.

U.S. crude fell by 0.42%, to $58.89 per barrel. Brent dropped by 0.21%, to $63.22 a barrel. Both benchmarks rose last week, as Iran's crackdown intensified.

"REMARKABLE STUFF"

After Trump's Friday call for the government to take over credit card companies and lenders, stocks in these sectors fell more than those of other sectors.

One-year cap

On credit card interest rates starting January 20,?10%.

Citigroup dropped more than 3%. Bank of America dropped around 1%. JPMorgan Chase fell 1.6%. US Bancorp dropped more than 2%. Synchrony and Capital One, two finance firms, both fell over 6% but recovered slightly.

JPMorgan analysts wrote in a report that "based on very preliminary calculations Citi would be the most affected, followed by US Bancorp", explaining that US Bancorp has "credit cards with higher interest rates, implying it has more customers who are subprime".

This week, the U.S. Inflation data and trade figures from China will be closely watched. Also on Tuesday are earnings reports for a number of U.S. companies including JPMorgan and BNY.

The dramatic escalation of the fight between Powell, Trump and the banker that began in Powell's first year as chairman in 2018 will remain front and center.

Andrew Lilley is the chief rates strategist for Barrenjoey Investment Bank, a Sydney-based investment bank.

Investors will not be pleased, but this shows that Trump does not have any other levers at his disposal. The majority of the FOMC will keep the cash rate at what they want it to be.

Analysts at Deutsche Bank tallied up the different factors that markets will need to consider. In a note, they wrote: "(R]emarkable stuff... and there are plenty of opportunities to make headlines in the next few days."

(source: Reuters)