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Amazon's boost to stocks leads to a rise in the dollar and stocks.

The dollar rose after some Federal Reserve officials made hawkish remarks. Global stocks are on track for their third consecutive week of gains, and seventh consecutive month. This was boosted by the strong gains seen in Amazon's megacap after its quarterly results. Amazon surged by 9.6% following the announcement that cloud revenue grew at the fastest rate in almost three years. This allowed the company to forecast sales for the quarter above expectations. Apple shares fell 0.4%, to $271.37. They pared gains made after hitting an intraday high of $277.32, after reporting quarterly earnings. Apple also forecast holiday-quarter iPhone and overall revenue, which exceeded Wall Street expectations, thanks to strong demand from its iPhone 17 models. The results are the culmination of a week of earnings from megacap companies that were part of the Magnificent 7 group of stocks. They showed the huge infrastructure being built around artificial intelligence is not slowing down.

Wall Street saw the Dow Jones Industrial Average rise by 0.09% to 47,562.87. The S&P 500 rose 17.86 points or 0.26% to 6,840.20, and the Nasdaq Composite gained 143.81 or 0.61% to 23,724.96.

The stock market closed off its previous highs as several Fed officials echoed the comments made by Chair Jerome Powell in earlier this week. Powell had denied expectations that the central bank will cut rates during its December meeting after a 25 basis-point cut on Wednesday.

The theme is similar to yesterday's. The earnings are a bit better than expected, but the Fed's hawkish comments have tempered them. James Ragan is Co-CIO at D.A. Davidson.

Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta president Raphael Bostic has said that a rate cut in December is not a certainty, while Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland president Beth Hammack stated she was open-minded to changing the interest rate targets used by the Fed for implementing monetary policy. According to CME's FedWatch Tool, the markets are pricing in a probability of 65% for a rate cut by 25 basis points at the December meeting. This is down from 92% just a week earlier.

The Nasdaq is on course for its seventh consecutive monthly gain, the longest streak since Jan 2018.

The MSCI index of global stocks rose 0.81 points, or 0.08% to 1,005.99. This is the longest streak since August 2021. The pan-European STOXX 600 index closed down by 0.51% following a mixed quarter of earnings and a benign inflation report for the euro zone that confirmed the European Central Bank’s belief that price pressures are contained. However, it notched up its fourth consecutive month of gains.

In terms of currencies, previous comments by Fed officials supported the greenback. Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid dissented from cutting interest rates in this week, citing concerns that high inflation would continue and signs of inflation spreading throughout the economy. Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Log said that the Fed shouldn't have cut rates this week, and they shouldn't do it again in December.

The dollar index (which measures the greenback versus a basket currencies) rose by 0.31%, to 99.78. Meanwhile, the euro fell 0.31%, to $1.1529. The dollar index is on track for a second consecutive weekly gain, and a month-to-month increase of around 2%. The Japanese yen rose 0.02% against the dollar to 154.10. Satsuki Katayama, the Japanese Finance Minister, said that the government was monitoring the foreign exchange market with an urgent sense of urgency since the yen dropped to around 154 dollars. The data revealed that core inflation in Japan’s capital city accelerated in October, and remained above the central banks 2% target. This kept market expectations of a Bank of Japan rate hike intact. The Bank of Japan kept interest rates unchanged this week despite predictions of a rate hike by many economists.

The yield of benchmark U.S. 10 year notes increased by 0.2 basis points, to 4,095%, while the yield of the 2-year note, which moves typically in line with Fed rate expectations, fell 1.6 basis to 3,598%. The 10-year rate was up almost 10 basis points in the past week. This was its largest increase since the week ending April 11, while the 2-year rate was up over 11 basis points, the biggest gain since the first weeks of July. U.S. crude oil settled up by 0.68% at $60.98 per barrel. Brent crude ended the day up 0.11% to $65.07 a barrel.

(source: Reuters)