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US stocks finish mixed; gold surges amid positive IMF forecast and trade tensions

US stocks finish mixed; gold surges amid positive IMF forecast and trade tensions

Wall Street ended Tuesday with mixed results and gold reached a new record high, as investors took into account the positive economic outlook from the

International Monetary Fund

Jerome Powell, Federal Reserve Chair, against a resurgence of U.S.-China Trade Tensions

The stock market lost momentum in the late session following U.S. president

Donald Trump

He posted on social media about his decision.

Trade ties can be cut off

The Dow recovered from an early sell-off and managed to make modest gains. Crude prices dropped, and the benchmark U.S. Treasury Yields eased.

The S&P and Nasdaq ended the session in the negative. Powell stated in a Tuesday speech that the U.S. overall economy "may have a firmer trajectory than anticipated." He also warned that there is no "risk-free policy path as we navigate between the tensions between our employment goals and inflation targets."

This echoes an IMF report that raised its global outlook for growth as the shocks from tariffs and financial conditions were less severe than expected. The IMF, however, warned that a trade war between two of the largest economies in the world could have a significant impact on output.

Peter Cardillo is the chief market economist of Spartan Capital Securities, based in New York. Tuesday, the U.S. began charging China tit-fortat port charges. The bilateral trade tensions that have roiled the world markets in this year erupted late last week when China tightened its controls on rare earth exports. Trump responded by threatening to raise tariffs on Chinese imports up to triple digits.

Bank Earnings Kick Off Earnings Season Upbeat quarterly results by high-profile financial companies including JPMorgan Chase and Goldman Sachs as well as Citigroup, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup kicked off the third-quarter earning season.

Cardillo said that if the banks are any guide, this will likely be a good earning season. Cardillo added, "That is another factor that supports the recent highs in the market." The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 202.88, or 0.44% to 46,270.46. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 dropped 10.41, or 0.16% to 6,644.31, and the Nasdaq Composite declined 172.91, or 0.76% to 22,521.70.

Investors watched developments in France where the Prime Minister appeared to be holding off on a major pension overhaul. MSCI's global stock index fell by 2.45 points or 0.25 percent to 978.64. The pan-European STOXX 600 fell 0.37% while Europe's broad FTSEurofirst 300 fell 7.41 points or 0.33%.

Treasury yields fell but were still off their lows after Powell's remarks and the IMF revised its growth outlook. The yield of the benchmark 10-year U.S. notes dropped 2.3 basis points from Friday's 4.051% to 4.028%. The yield on 30-year bonds fell 1.1 basis point to 4.6234%, from 4.634% at the end of Friday.

The oil prices dropped on the back of trade war fears and a report by the International Energy Agency that raised the prospect for increased supplies while dampening the demand.

U.S. crude oil fell 1.33% on the day to settle at 58.70 dollars per barrel. Brent settled at $62.39 dollars per barrel.

Due to increased trade-driven risks, the dollar declined while the Swiss Franc and Japanese yen strengthened. The dollar index (which measures the greenback versus a basket including the yen, euro and Swiss franc) fell by 0.26% at 99.04 while the euro rose by 0.31% to $1.1604. The dollar fell 0.37% against the Japanese yen to 151.71.

The latest salvo of the Washington-Beijing Trade Spat boosted demand for gold to surpass $4,100. Spot gold increased by 0.75%, to $4140.97 per ounce. U.S. Gold Futures increased 0.77% to $4140.20 per ounce.

(source: Reuters)