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Dollar recovers as stocks climb in anticipation of Nvidia results

Dollar recovers as stocks climb in anticipation of Nvidia results

The major stock indexes rose Wednesday, ahead of artificial intelligence leader's results

Nvidia

The dollar has recovered from its previous session's decline despite concerns over the independence of the U.S. Federal Reserve. Lisa Cook's lawyer said that she would sue Donald Trump for threatening to fire her after Trump said he was going to do so. Investors were concerned by Trump's remarks about the independence and stability of the U.S. Central Bank.

The yield curve steepened, as traders assessed the possibility that Trump could make more dovish Fed appointments.

The dollar recovered from its previous session's drop and closed the day up 0.36% to 147.93 Japaneseyen. Meanwhile, the euro fell 0.48% to $1.1586. The three main U.S. indexes are slightly higher. Nvidia's report on the second quarter, which is due after the closing bell today, will be a test for the AI optimism, which has driven markets in the last couple of years. The strong performance of a number technology-related companies exposed to AI has helped propel major equity indexes this year to new highs.

"Trump's been on the Fed’s back from Day One and this (Cook's firing) is a continuation to that strategy." Jake Dollarhide is CEO of Longbow Asset Management, Tulsa.

Investors wonder if Nvidia will be able to continue to meet Wall Street's expectations. "My expectation today is that it will."

Nvidia shares last fell 0.1%. According to LSEG, the company will report that its second-quarter revenues jumped up to $46.06 Billion. Investors will be paying close attention to the business it has in China, after the company agreed with the U.S. government to pay 15% of sales in exchange for export licenses which are not defined.

Investors have noted that technology shares, including some AI leaders, are tumbling this month.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 190.54, or 0.4%, to 45.608.19. The S&P 500 gained 20.02, or 0.3%, to 6,486.06, and the Nasdaq Composite climbed 55.61, or 0.2%, to 21599.98.

Investors are closely monitoring the political risks in France. European stocks have recovered slightly from their previous day's drop. French assets were hit by a sell-off on Tuesday due to concerns over the potential collapse of Prime Minister Francoise Bayrou's French government next month. The MSCI index of global stocks rose by 1.64 points or 0.17% to 954.36. The pan-European STOXX 600 rose by 0.1%.

Market watchers have interpreted Fed chair Jerome Powell's remarks at the annual Jackson Hole Symposium last week as an indication that interest rate cuts may be coming. Fed funds futures are pricing 84% odds that a rate cut will occur in September according to CME Group's FedWatch Tool. The outlook for U.S. rates will likely still depend on the strength of the labor market and inflation trends. The yield on two-year notes was at 3.625% last, down about five basis points for the day. The benchmark 10-year yield dropped to 4,236%, its lowest level since August 14. The yield curve between the two-year and 10-year note was at its lowest point of 61.3 basis points. It had reached 63.5 basis points earlier, which is the steepest since March 22. Gold and oil prices both rose. The price of oil rose on the back of a drop in U.S. crude stocks that was larger than expected.

U.S. crude gained 90 cents and settled at $64.15 per barrel. Brent gained 83-cents to settle $68.05.

Spot gold increased 0.09%, to $3.395.33 per ounce.

(source: Reuters)