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The US dollar rises after the stock market's Friday jump

The US dollar rises after the stock market's Friday jump

The dollar rose on Monday, after major stock indexes had gained on Friday. Powell said that a rate cut in September was "likely but not certain" and the dollar declined. Dollar fell after Powell's remarks made at the annual Fed symposium in Jackson Hole Wyoming. U.S. Treasury rates were higher on Monday.

Barclays BNP Paribas, Deutsche Bank and other major brokerages now expect the Fed to cut rates by 25 basis points in September. Fed funds futures are pricing 84% odds that a rate cut will occur in September, according to CME Group's FedWatch Tool.

On Friday, there was much excitement about Powell indicating there might be a rate reduction. Peter Cardillo is the chief market economist of Spartan Capital Securities, New York.

"I believe that we will see a rate reduction, but it won't be by more than 25 basis point, and much depends on the PCE price index this Friday."

The Fed could still be influenced by data for August that is due to arrive before its meeting on September 16-17. Fed's preferred measure of inflation is the U.S. consumer prices reading due Friday.

The fact that U.S. producer prices were higher than expected last month has raised questions about the certainty of any cut. Investors will also be eager to hear the results of AI chipmaker Nvidia, which are due on Wednesday.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 349.27, or 0.7%, to 45.282.47. The S&P 500 declined 27.59, or 0.4%, to 6,439.32. And the Nasdaq Composite was down 47.24, or 0.22% to 21,449.29.

Nvidia was the last company in the S&P 500 to release its most recent quarterly report. The overall results have been better than expected, and this has helped support the stock market.

According to LSEG, the estimated growth in earnings for S&P 500 from one year ago was 12.9% on Friday. This is a sharp increase over 5.8% at July 1.

The MSCI index of global stocks fell by 2.33 points or 0.24% to 952.96. The pan-European STOXX 600 fell by 0.44%. U.S. beverage giant Keurig Dr Pepper will create a global coffee company to compete with market leader Nestle by acquiring JDE Peet’s for $18 billion. This is Europe's biggest acquisition in over two years.

London's markets were closed on Monday for a holiday. This lowered the overall trading volume in Europe. Donald Trump, the U.S. president, said Monday that he would like to meet North Korean leader Kim Jong Un in this year. He also stated that he is open to more trade discussions with South Korea despite criticizing the Asian ally.

The Korean won has weakened by 0.5% in relation to the dollar.

The dollar index (which measures the greenback in relation to a basket of currencies) rose by 0.56%, while the euro fell 0.79%, at $1.1623. The dollar gained 0.5% against the Japanese yen to reach 147.67.

As traders prepare for the auctions, U.S. Treasury rates also increased. Treasury will be selling short- and intermediate dated debt this coming week.

The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10 year notes increased 1.9 basis points, to 4.277%.

Euro zone bond yields rose earlier, too, after falling late on Friday. The oil prices continued to rise as traders awaited more U.S. sanction on Russian oil, and Ukrainian attacks against Russian energy infrastructure which could disrupt supply.

U.S. crude oil futures rose $1.14, settling at $64.80 per barrel. Brent futures increased $1.07, settling at $68.80.

Spot gold dropped 0.21% to $3364.47 per ounce.

(source: Reuters)