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Prices of gas in Europe are little changed despite a strong supply and US-EU trade agreement

Dutch and British wholesale prices for gas were not much different on Monday morning, as more supplies from Norway helped offset the strong demand from power stations. The news of a U.S./EU trade agreement also helped calm fears about a general economic slowdown.

LSEG data shows that the benchmark Dutch front-month contract was 32.22 euros or $11.03/mmBtu at 0830 GMT. This is a decrease of 0.27 euro.

The Dutch September contract is down by 0.14 euros at 32.80 Euro/MWh.

The British gas front-month price fell by 0.30 pence to 78.25 pence a therm.

In a daily note, LSEG analyst Yuriy Onieshkiv stated that "Total Norwegian Export Nominations rose to 341 Million Cubic Meters/Day today from 316 mcm/d Friday mainly because of more flows to the UK."

Onyshkiv stated that the increase in gas demand helped offset the increased demand. The day-ahead demand for gas from British power plants was up 13 mcm/d "due a further decrease in wind speeds in the next three weeks compared to previous forecasts."

In Northwest Europe, the non-local distribution zones demand (which includes power plants and industrial companies) is expected to rise by 153 gigawatts/day, to 1,845GWh/d, in the days ahead. German wind power will also be forecast to drop.

Mind Energy analysts said that the market had also been calmed down by the news that the United States, the EU and Canada have reached a framework agreement on trade imposing a 15 percent tariff on the majority of EU goods compared to the 30 percent previously proposed.

Mind Energy stated in a daily report that "the agreement eliminates the fear of trade war, but it is not well received by the European media because it is perceived as too pro-U.S."

The benchmark contract on the European carbon markets was down by 0.21 euros at 71.13 euro per metric ton. Reporting by Susanna Twiddale Editing Mark Potter

(source: Reuters)