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Stocks fall but are still set to gain in the month despite tariff concerns

The global stock market was down on Friday, but it is expected to post a weekly increase as well as its largest monthly gain since late 2023. This is despite the markets being roiled by the uncertainty surrounding the Trump administration's policies regarding tariffs.

At the beginning of the week, sentiments were initially boosted by signs that trade tensions had eased between the U.S. Investors then focused on the earnings of artificial-intelligence chipmaker Nvidia. The company reported better than expected results in mid-week.

The markets were temporarily shaken by an unexpected ruling of the U.S. Court of International Trade that struck down Trump's so called Liberation Day Tariffs. This triggered a court drama which saw an appeals court temporarily reinstate these tariffs.

Trump claimed on Friday that China violated a bilateral agreement between the U.S. and China to roll back tariffs, trade restrictions and other measures for essential minerals. He also issued a new threat to be more aggressive with Beijing.

Mark Malek said, "It has been a busy week." Mark Malek is the chief investment officer of SiebertNXT. "In just four days, we saw a compressed version what we had been experiencing for the whole month - the tug-of-war between the forces that drove the markets higher in the past year and prior year. That is AI and technology stocks. And then we faced the looming challenge of all the administration tariffs.

All three major Wall Street indexes traded lower during the session due to weakness in consumer discretionary, technology and energy stocks. The S&P 500 was expected to finish the week and month on a positive note.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 0.24% to 42111.71. The S&P 500 declined 0.61% at 5,875.91. And the Nasdaq Composite was down 1.16% at 18,952.93.

European shares ended the week with a gain of 0.14%. This represents 4% growth for May. MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific share index outside Japan closed up by 0.72% over night, ending the week with a lower value but adding nearly 5% to the month.

MSCI's world index fell 0.37%, to 877. However, it was on course to gain over 1% in the coming week and over 5% for May. This would be the largest monthly gain since November 20,23.

The closely-watched Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCEPI) rose by 0.1% in April. This was in line with the expectations.

Trump and Fed chair Jerome Powell met for the first time on Thursday. A Fed statement stated that Powell did not discuss expectations for monetary policies, except to emphasize that the direction of policy would depend on the incoming economic data and its implications for the outlook.

The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. notes dropped 0.8 basis points, to 4.416%. After reversing previous losses, the 30-year bond yield increased 1.2 basis point to 4.9346%.

The dollar rose against other major currencies, including the euro. It is on course to gain against the Japanese currency for the month. The dollar fell 0.23% against the Japanese yen to 143.83, while the euro dropped 0.01% to $1.1364.

The dollar index (which measures the greenback versus a basket including the yen, the euro and other currencies) rose by 0.05%, to 99.30. Tariff uncertainty was weighing down the market, and it was set to suffer its fifth consecutive month of losses.

Investors are weighing up the possibility of a larger OPEC+ production increase in July. Oil prices have fallen and could be headed for a weekly loss for a second time.

Brent crude futures dropped 0.439% to $63.90 per barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude fell 0.53% at $60.63 per barrel.

The dollar rose, and gold prices fell. Spot gold dropped 0.7% to $3.292.54 per ounce. U.S. Gold Futures dropped 0.81% to an ounce of $3,290.10.

(source: Reuters)