Latest News

U.S. stock prices rise, oil falls amid fears of recession and trade talks

Wall Street stocks rose on Tuesday, while gold and crude prices fell as investors considered corporate earnings, progress in President Donald Trump's trade negotiations and the increased likelihood of a recession.

The Dow Jones was the leader among all three major U.S. indexes, which were modestly up.

The S&P 500 is on course to record its sixth consecutive session of gains.

The Canadian election was a rebuke of Trump's brutal trade policies and his comments about annexing Canada to become the United States' 51st state.

Tim Ghriskey is a senior portfolio strategist with Ingalls & Snyder, based in New York. "They will be very strict on trade issues. "I think they are insulted that Trump wants them to become the 51st State."

U.S. Treasury secretary Scott Bessent stated on Tuesday that tariff talks are in progress and that Beijing is responsible for U.S. China trade negotiations. He did not anticipate supply chain disruptions from trade disputes.

The Trump administration took measures to reduce the impact on automotive tariffs for foreign parts that are used in U.S. manufactured cars. Two sources with knowledge of the matter have confirmed that China has exempted U.S. imports from the 125% tariff. This is the latest indication that the situation regarding tariffs can change.

Chris Wolfe is the chief investment officer of Pennington Partners, a firm in Bethesda. He said that the markets were weak and aimless when they started the day. But then, bullet points or discussions from the White House are released and the market starts to move.

Wolfe said, "I think it shows how closely we are tied to the politics and policies that evolve in real-time." The focus, I believe, is on tariffs, potential deals, and tariff reductions.

This week, the first-quarter reporting season will be in full swing with four of "Magnificent 7" artificial intelligence megacap stocks, Meta Platforms (Microsoft), Apple, and Amazon.com, releasing high-profile reports.

Consumer confidence has deteriorated more than expected, and the number of job openings is down 3.9%.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 343.88 points or 0.85% to 40,571.47. The S&P 500 gained 35.86 points or 0.65% to 5,564.67, and the Nasdaq Composite rose 115.01 or 0.66% to 17,481.15.

Investors focused on the way companies were assessing the impact of U.S. Tariffs.

The MSCI index of global stocks rose by 4.53 points or 0.55% to 831.74.

The pan-European STOXX 600 Index rose by 0.36% while Europe's FTSEurofirst 300 Index rose by 7.36 points or 0.35%.

Emerging market stocks increased by 4.04 points or 0.37% to 1,106.61. MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific share index outside Japan closed up by 0.36% to 575.86. Japan's Nikkei gained 134.25 or 0.38% to 35,839.99.

Bessent’s comments about progress in trade negotiations and the prospect of further tariff deals boosted the dollar, but it was still on track for its biggest monthly decline against the euro since Nov 2022.

The Canadian dollar softened as the Liberals of Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney retained power after Monday's elections.

The dollar index (which measures the greenback in relation to a basket of currencies, including the yen, euro and pound sterling) rose by 0.23%, reaching 99.26. However, the euro fell by 0.37%, falling to $1.1379.

The dollar gained 0.23% against the Japanese yen to 142.33.

The dollar fell 0.32%, to $1.3396.

The Mexican peso rose 0.09% against the dollar to 19.574.

The Canadian dollar fell 0.12%, to C$1.38 for every U.S. Dollar.

On the back of economic data that were weaker than expected, the yield on 10-year Treasury bonds fell for the sixth consecutive day. The yield fell 3.9 basis point to 4,177%, from 4.216% at the end of Monday.

The 30-year bond rate fell 4.5 basis point to 4,648%, from 4,693% at the end of Monday.

The yield on the 2-year bond, which is usually in line with expectations of interest rates for the Federal Reserve (Federal Reserve), fell by 2.5 basis points, to 3.66% from 3.685% at late Monday.

Prices of oil fell on concerns about a global economic recession, and a dampening in demand because of Trump's trade conflict.

Brent crude settled at $64.25 a barrel, down by 2.44%. U.S. crude dropped 2.63% on the day to settle at $60.42 a barrel.

The dollar gained in value, while gold prices declined.

Spot gold dropped 0.69% to $3318.74 per ounce. U.S. Gold Futures dropped 0.47% to an ounce of $3,317.40.

(source: Reuters)