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Russian drones kill a mother and her 2-year-old child in Odesa, Ukraine
The regional governor revealed that Russia had launched a drone strike on Ukraine's Black Sea Port of Odesa over night on Monday. It killed a mother, 30, and her two-year old daughter. Oleh Kiper said that the enemy had attacked Odesa again overnight, injuring 16 people including a pregnant women and two young children. Officials in Ukraine?added that residential buildings, energy infrastructure and a kindergarten had been hit. DTEK, the energy company, said that about 16,700 homes in Odesa districts are without electricity. They added that the damage is extensive and repairs will take time. Television footage showed firefighters and rescue workers removing debris from one of the strike locations - a residential home with a badly damaged central part. Two drones hit our house, one at the roof of the house and the other in the middle. "Our staircase collapsed and completely blocked our exit," said Danylo (21), who lives at the house. The war is now in its fifth year. Moscow has intensified its attacks against Odesa. Odesa is a major logistics hub for southern Ukraine, and also the largest port in the country, which handles the bulk of Ukrainian grain exports and other maritime exports. In a social media post, Volodymyr Zelenskiy said that Russia had launched 140 drones in overnight 'attacks' on Ukraine and also hit energy infrastructure in Chernihiv and Sumy regions. He reiterated his call for increased air defence. Zeleniskiy stated that "Russia does not intend to stop." Over 2,800 drones have been used in the last week. Nearly 1,350 guided aerial weapons and over 40 missiles are also included. Reporting by Iryna Nazaarchuk in Odesa and Olena Harma in Kyiv. Editing by Kate Mayberry, Janane Venkatraman.
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Gold rises as the dollar falls; Iran deal hopes to temper inflation and oil concerns
The gold price ticked upwards in thin European trading, as the dollar eased and markets assessed the impact of a proposed ceasefire in the U.S. - Israel war against Iran on oil prices and inflation expectations. After falling 1% on Easter Monday, spot gold rose 0.35% to $4,691.86 an ounce at 1040 GMT. U.S. Gold Futures for June Delivery rose by 0.83%, to $4.718.20 an ounce. Kyle Rodda is a senior financial analyst at Capital.com. He said: "We saw a gain around headlines referring to a possible ceasefire." The substance of that statement is questionable. However, it seems the move has unwinded a bit the bid for oil. Crude oil prices fell more than 1% but held above $107 per barrel. Dollar index fell 0.2%, making gold more affordable for those who hold other currencies. The rise in oil prices can cause inflation to increase as businesses pass higher costs on, preventing central banks from reducing interest rates. Gold is often seen as a hedge against inflation, but high interest rates can reduce its appeal. According to CME's FedWatch, traders have priced out the possibility of the U.S. Federal Reserve reducing rates this year. This is compared to expectations that two 25 basis-point reductions would be made before the Iran War began. Iran claimed that it had developed?its demands and positions in response to ceasefire offers conveyed by intermediaries and that negotiations were "incompatible" with ultimatums and threats of committing war crimes. U.S. officials and Iranians have received a framework for a ceasefire plan. Iran immediately rejected the reopening of Strait of Hormuz after President Donald Trump had threatened to "rain hell" on Tehran should it not reach a deal before Tuesday's end. Rodda said, "The next 48 hours are critical - if there is a strike on Iranian power plants it will be chaos and volatility (and therefore) guaranteed." The price of spot silver increased by 0.3%, to $73.21 an ounce. Spot platinum rose 0.35%, to $1,995.98. Palladium rose 0.51%, to $1,510.63. (Reporting by Ishaan Arora in Bengaluru; Editing by Kirsten Donovan)
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India court rejects request to halt Adani's F1 track and real estate deal
India's highest court rejected a billionaire Anil. Agarwal's. Vedanta plea on Monday to halt the acquisition of a bankrupt real. estate giant by the. Adani group, which included a $4 billion collection of prized assets. This includes India's one Formula One track. Agarwal Vedanta has filed a lawsuit against a lender's panel's decision to give assets from bankrupt Jaiprakash Associates' group to Gautam Adani. This will lead to a fight between billionaires over assets such as homes, cement plants, and India's only Formula One track. Vedanta’s appeal to the?Supreme Court? was denied as the judges stated that a lower court is more suited to hearing the concerns of Vedanta and the top courts does not have to intervene in the proceedings. Vedanta claims that its $1.8billion bid was superior, but the lender's panel decided in Adani’s favour as its $1.5billion bid had higher upfront payments. Adani's plans for real estate in Mumbai could be boosted by the?acquisition. This includes its other 'key' projects, such as Dharavi, one of Asia's biggest slums. Karan Adani Adani's eldest son said at a public event last month that "he is very personally engaged" in bringing F1 to India after 13 years. (Reporting and editing by Arpan chaturvedi)
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The Kremlin claims that the entire Middle East is on fire
The Kremlin said on Monday that the 'Iran War is escalating in both geography and economic impact. And that the entire Middle East region is "on fire" because of the U.S. attacks and Israeli attacks against the Islamic Republic. In an expletive-filled Easter Sunday social media post, U.S. president Donald Trump threatened to attack Iran's bridges and power plants on Tuesday, if the Strait of Hormuz was not reopened. The Kremlin's spokesman, Dmitry Peskov, told reporters when asked about?Trump?s remarks that Russia had already seen them and that they preferred not to make a direct comment. Peskov stated, "We are aware that tensions in the region continue to rise." "In reality, the entire region is on fire." All of these are very dangerous and negative effects from the aggression against?Iran. The geography of the 'conflict' has grown, and we now know that there are very negative consequences for global economic growth. Reporting by Dmitry Antonov; Writing by Felix Light; Editing by Gleb Brianski/Guy Faulconbridge
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As Asia and Europe compete for supplies, US crude prices have reached record highs.
Industry sources say that spot premiums for U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude are at all-time highs due to the fierce competition for oil supply between Asian and European refiners. This is in response to Middle Eastern oil flow disruptions caused by the Iran War. Europe is the biggest importer of U.S. oil, but the competition has increased as Asian buyers are searching for supplies from the Americas and Africa to Europe to replace Middle Eastern crude that cannot move through the Strait of Hormuz. Sources and analysts say that the increase in crude oil prices has increased costs for refiners and led to a 'widening of losses' on both continents. This puts severe pressure on firms, including state-owned companies, which are required by governments to continue producing fuel for their national security. In a note from April 3, Paola Rodriguez Masiu, Rystad's chief oil analyst, said that Asian refiners are aggressively bidding for "every barrel" in the Atlantic Basin, because they have been cut off from Middle Eastern supplies. 'EVERY DAY THERE'S A NEW ?PRICE' The premiums on WTI Midland crude for delivery to North Asia by very large crude carriers in July ranged from $30 to $40 per barrel, depending on the benchmark, traders reported. One trader put the premium at 34 dollars a barril over Dubai quotes, while another said it was $30 above Brent dated. Two other traders said that offers were closer to $40 a barron above the August ICE Brent base. These levels are higher than the premiums paid by Japanese refiners, including Taiyo Oil, for WTI crude in late March or early April. One of the traders stated that "every day, there is a new price", adding that Asian refiners suffer severe losses from the premiums. One trader suggested that refiners should reduce crude runs in order to buy?products, if any?are available. The spot premiums increased after the WTI monthly spread reached its largest backwardation Thursday. Backwardation is when the current price of a product is higher than that in future months. The demand for U.S. Gulf Coast tankers has also increased due to the wider discounts offered on U.S. Crude Oil compared with the global benchmark Brent. This has reduced vessel availability and pushed up freight rates. On Thursday, the bids for WTI Midland delivered to Europe reached a record high of nearly $15 per barrel compared to Brent dated. According to Rodriguez-Masiu, "At the current physical differentials as well as freight rates, European refiners who buy spot crude cannot make any money by running these barrels through their system."
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Dollar gains as gold falls due to raging Iran conflict and strong US job data
As markets awaited the U.S. President's remarks, gold prices fell on Monday. A stronger U.S. Dollar, boosted by a "strong" U.S. employment report, dampened bets for rate cuts. Donald Trump is facing an escalating conflict between Iran and the United States. Gold spot fell 0.4% at $4,658.90 an ounce as of 0706 GMT. U.S. gold for April delivery rose by 0.1% to $4684.30. Kelvin Wong is a senior analyst at OANDA. He said that markets are looking for a second so-called headline threat to be revealed later. Trump also threatened to "rain hell" on Tehran, if the Strait of Hormuz is not reopened by Tuesday. However, recent U.S. Intelligence assessments indicate that Iran will be unlikely to reopen this 'crucial waterway for oil shipping any time soon. Investors also considered an Axios article that stated that the U.S. and Iran, along with a group mediators, are discussing the possibility of a 45-day truce that could pave a way for the permanent end of the war. Brent oil prices rose as the war disrupted global energy supplies and fuelled inflation fears. Gold is often viewed as a hedge to inflation. However, high interest rates can dampen the demand for this non-yielding investment. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury and the dollar index both rose, boosted by Friday's data showing that U.S. payrolls for non-farm workers in March increased to the highest level since December 2024. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate dropped to 4.3%. Tim Waterer is the chief market analyst at KCM Trade. He said that "the latest robust NFP has reinforced hawkish Central Bank nerves while persistent oil-driven fears of inflation continue to crowd out Gold's traditional "safe-haven" sparkle." The odds of a U.S. Federal Reserve rate reduction this year are almost non-existent, as compared to the two cuts that were expected before the Iran War began. Palladium rose 0.7%, while spot silver dropped 0.9%. (Reporting from Bengaluru by Pablo Sinha; Additional reporting by Swati verma; Editing and production by Sumana Nandy, Mrigank Dhaniwala).
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Trump's threats to strike Iranian infrastructure has put the markets on edge
Oil prices rose on Monday, while stocks were mixed after U.S. president Donald Trump warned of 'hell' for Iran if it did not reopen?the Strait of Hormuz within his self-imposed date. Trump's repeated threat to destroy civil infrastructure, including power plants and a bridge, if the crucial waterway isn't open by Tuesday has put traders on alert for retaliatory attacks from Iran against targets in the Gulf States. S&P 500 e-minis futures were volatile, fluctuating between gains and losses as countries in the region celebrated Easter Monday and Tomb Sweeping Day. MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific share index outside Japan rose 0.4%. The Nikkei rose by 0.6% while South Korea's Kospi grew 1.4%. Investors gained confidence when Axios reported the U.S. and Iran are negotiating the terms of a possible 45-day truce that could lead to an end permanent to the war. The report cited four U.S. sources, Israelis and regional sources who were privy to the talks. Brent crude futures rose 1.2%, to $110.29 per barrel on the back of a potential disruption in supply. Sim Moh Siong is a currency strategist with OCBC Singapore. He said that the markets were "clearly nervous". He added, "We have seen deadlines being extended, and it is difficult to know to what extent the current deadline will be adhered to or pushed back." The weekend saw a resurgence of the threat to blow up Iranian bridges and power plants. The markets were interested in the agreement reached on Sunday between members of OPEC+ to increase their output quotas for May by 206,000 barrels a day. This is because several major oil producing countries behind the Strait of Hormuz suffered damage to oil production and transport infrastructure after the war began. Mark Matthews is the head of Asia research at Bank Julius Baer, Singapore. He said: "It's puzzling that Asian equity markets have been performing so well despite the imminent threat of escalation of the war." He said that there are two plausible explanations. The first is that despite the bad news the market believes that the war is going to end soon. The second explanation is that, even if war continues, the negative effects will be offset by fiscal stimulus. The U.S. Jobs Report released on Friday showed that employment growth in March was higher than expected, with 178,000 more nonfarm payrolls, which is the largest increase in over a year. As people left the workforce, the unemployment rate dropped to 4.3%. The data will complicate the Federal Reserve's decision-making process at its next two-day meeting, ending on April 29, which is when it will decide the monetary policy. According to CME Group's Fedwatch, the swaps prices indicate that the market does not expect any moves from the U.S. Central Bank until September 2027. The U.S. Dollar Index, which measures greenback strength in relation to a basket six currencies, fell by 0.1% at 100.13. The yield on a 10-year Treasury bond in the United States?was up by 1.2 basis points to 4.3565%. Tokyo's yield on the Japanese government bond has set a new record for the 21st Century due to rising inflation fears. The yield on these notes increased by 4.5 basis points to 2.425%. This is the highest level since February 1999. The U.S. Dollar was unchanged at 159.615 Japanese yen. Gold fell 0.5% to $4653.82. Bitcoin was up 1.9% to $68,886.31, and ether rose 2.6% to 2,122.32. (Reporting and editing by Gregor Stuart Hunter, Lincoln Feast, and Shri Navaratnam.
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Saudi Arabia raises Arab Light crude oil prices for Asia at record-high premium
Saudi Arabia set its official selling price for May Arab 'Light' crude oil to Asia a record $19.50 per barrel above the Oman/Dubai benchmark, a $17 increase from the previous months, according to a document on pricing reviewed by on Monday. The price of Middle 'East oil is now the most expensive in the world, as the U.S./Israel war against Iran has limited shipping through Strait of Hormuz. This chokepoint accounts for about a fifth the world's supply. The exact date of a ceasefire or the resumption of oil exports through the Strait from Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates is still unknown. Middle East high-sulphur oil benchmark Dubai rose last month to almost $170 a barrel in trading on the S&P Global Platts Market On Close process. OPEC+ 'agreed to increase its 'oil production quotas by 206,000 barrels a day in May. This modest increase will largely be on paper, as OPEC+ key members cannot raise production because of the war. Below are Saudi prices for?Asia-Pacific in $/bbl compared to the Oman/Dubai average: April May Change Arabian Super -0.60 +16.40+17.00 Arab Heavy +0.60 +16.40+17.00
U.S. stock prices rise, oil falls amid fears of recession and trade talks
Wall Street stocks rose on Tuesday, while gold and crude prices fell as investors considered corporate earnings, progress in President Donald Trump's trade negotiations and the increased likelihood of a recession.
The Dow Jones was the leader among all three major U.S. indexes, which were modestly up.
The S&P 500 is on course to record its sixth consecutive session of gains.
The Canadian election was a rebuke of Trump's brutal trade policies and his comments about annexing Canada to become the United States' 51st state.
Tim Ghriskey is a senior portfolio strategist with Ingalls & Snyder, based in New York. "They will be very strict on trade issues. "I think they are insulted that Trump wants them to become the 51st State."
U.S. Treasury secretary Scott Bessent stated on Tuesday that tariff talks are in progress and that Beijing is responsible for U.S. China trade negotiations. He did not anticipate supply chain disruptions from trade disputes.
The Trump administration took measures to reduce the impact on automotive tariffs for foreign parts that are used in U.S. manufactured cars. Two sources with knowledge of the matter have confirmed that China has exempted U.S. imports from the 125% tariff. This is the latest indication that the situation regarding tariffs can change.
Chris Wolfe is the chief investment officer of Pennington Partners, a firm in Bethesda. He said that the markets were weak and aimless when they started the day. But then, bullet points or discussions from the White House are released and the market starts to move.
Wolfe said, "I think it shows how closely we are tied to the politics and policies that evolve in real-time." The focus, I believe, is on tariffs, potential deals, and tariff reductions.
This week, the first-quarter reporting season will be in full swing with four of "Magnificent 7" artificial intelligence megacap stocks, Meta Platforms (Microsoft), Apple, and Amazon.com, releasing high-profile reports.
Consumer confidence has deteriorated more than expected, and the number of job openings is down 3.9%.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 343.88 points or 0.85% to 40,571.47. The S&P 500 gained 35.86 points or 0.65% to 5,564.67, and the Nasdaq Composite rose 115.01 or 0.66% to 17,481.15.
Investors focused on the way companies were assessing the impact of U.S. Tariffs.
The MSCI index of global stocks rose by 4.53 points or 0.55% to 831.74.
The pan-European STOXX 600 Index rose by 0.36% while Europe's FTSEurofirst 300 Index rose by 7.36 points or 0.35%.
Emerging market stocks increased by 4.04 points or 0.37% to 1,106.61. MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific share index outside Japan closed up by 0.36% to 575.86. Japan's Nikkei gained 134.25 or 0.38% to 35,839.99.
Bessent’s comments about progress in trade negotiations and the prospect of further tariff deals boosted the dollar, but it was still on track for its biggest monthly decline against the euro since Nov 2022.
The Canadian dollar softened as the Liberals of Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney retained power after Monday's elections.
The dollar index (which measures the greenback in relation to a basket of currencies, including the yen, euro and pound sterling) rose by 0.23%, reaching 99.26. However, the euro fell by 0.37%, falling to $1.1379.
The dollar gained 0.23% against the Japanese yen to 142.33.
The dollar fell 0.32%, to $1.3396.
The Mexican peso rose 0.09% against the dollar to 19.574.
The Canadian dollar fell 0.12%, to C$1.38 for every U.S. Dollar.
On the back of economic data that were weaker than expected, the yield on 10-year Treasury bonds fell for the sixth consecutive day. The yield fell 3.9 basis point to 4,177%, from 4.216% at the end of Monday.
The 30-year bond rate fell 4.5 basis point to 4,648%, from 4,693% at the end of Monday.
The yield on the 2-year bond, which is usually in line with expectations of interest rates for the Federal Reserve (Federal Reserve), fell by 2.5 basis points, to 3.66% from 3.685% at late Monday.
Prices of oil fell on concerns about a global economic recession, and a dampening in demand because of Trump's trade conflict.
Brent crude settled at $64.25 a barrel, down by 2.44%. U.S. crude dropped 2.63% on the day to settle at $60.42 a barrel.
The dollar gained in value, while gold prices declined.
Spot gold dropped 0.69% to $3318.74 per ounce. U.S. Gold Futures dropped 0.47% to an ounce of $3,317.40.
(source: Reuters)