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Stocks drop as Trump says tariffs start Tuesday; euro gains

U.S. stock prices ended sharply down Monday. The S&P 500 posted its largest daily percentage drop since 18 December after U.S. president Donald Trump announced that 25% tariffs will be implemented on Canada and Mexico on Tuesday. Meanwhile, the euro gained after European leaders agreed on a peace plan for Ukraine.

The U.S. Indexes fell to session lows following the tariff news. After the tariff news, both the Canadian dollar and Mexican Peso hit a one-month low.

Trump said that there was "no space left" to negotiate a deal which would avoid the tariffs against Canada and Mexico. He said that reciprocal tariffs would begin on April 2.

"It appears that tariffs will definitely go through, and this increases the likelihood of a serious economic fallout." Thomas Martin, Senior Portfolio Manager at Globalt Investments Atlanta said that the markets were not interested in waiting for this to happen.

"Saying 'no space' for negotiations is a firm line, an absolute statement."

General Motors shares fell 3.6%, while other automakers also declined.

U.S. data released on Monday also affected stocks. The data showed that manufacturing was stable in February. However, a measure at the factory door jumped to nearly three-year levels and material deliveries took longer. This suggests that tariffs will soon affect production.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 649.67 points or 1.48% to 43,191.24, while the S&P 500 declined 104.78 or 1.76% to 5,849.72, and the Nasdaq Composite was down 497.09 or 2.64% to 18,350.19.

MSCI's global index of stocks fell by 7.14 points or 0.83% to 855.81. The pan-European STOXX 600 ended up by 1.07% with shares of European arm makers surging.

The dollar index, which measures greenbacks against a basket currencies, dropped 0.72% at 106.54.

After the clash between Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy in the Oval Office, European leaders decided to create a peace plan that they would present to the United States.

"That is certainly a positive thing for Europe, because it unifies more of Western Europe, including Ukraine, and draws a line in the sand for the Russians who have made it very clear that they wish to recreate the Soviet Union," said Tim Ghriskey senior portfolio strategist with Ingalls &Snyder, based in New York.

Reports indicate that the parties involved in discussions to form Germany's next government may consider setting up a defence fund.

Bitcoin fell after a weekend of highs, as Trump suggested a possible new U.S. Strategic Reserve that would include tokens.

Trump announced on Truth Social on Sunday that his executive order of January on digital assets will create a stockpile, including Bitcoin, ether, Solana, and Cardano.

Trump did not provide any details on the fund's operation, but the news was enough to revive the crypto bulls who were severely beaten last week.

Matt Simpson, City Index's senior analyst and market expert, said that Trump had just given crypto traders the boost they were waiting for.

Bitcoin fell 8% on Sunday.

The yields on longer-dated U.S. Treasury bonds fell following the latest manufacturing sector reading.

The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10 year notes dropped 7 basis points from 4,229% to 4.159% on Friday.

This week, the U.S. payroll report for January is due this Friday.

Recent economic data that have been softer has led to expectations that the Federal Reserve will be more active about lowering interest rates.

The Fed is expected to reduce rates by 67 basis points this year. Earlier, the Fed was believed to have reduced rates by 50 basis points.

There is a general expectation that the European Central Bank will cut rates at its meeting on Thursday. However, there are fewer expectations about what this might mean for the outlook of monetary policy, due to geopolitical issues.

The oil price fell 2%, to a new 12-week low. This was due to reports that OPEC+ would increase its planned oil production in April.

Brent futures dropped $1.19 or 1.6% to settle at $71.62 per barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI), however, fell $1.39 or 2.0% to settle at $68,37.

Spot gold rose 1.1%, to $2.890.57 per ounce. (Additional reporting in London by Amanda Cooper and Carolina Mandl; editing by Edwinn Gibbs and Emelia Sithole Matarise in New York, Susan Fenton in New York, Richard Chang in New York, and Nia William in London)

(source: Reuters)