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Strategie Grains lowers EU rapeseed and sunseed crop quotes

Strategie Grains lowered its regular monthly forecast for this year's rapeseed harvest in the European Union, its 4th successive decrease, as the EU is set to increase imports this season to make up for the loss.

The consultancy approximates the EU rapeseed harvest at 16.9 million metric heaps, 340,000 loads listed below its price quote launched late July and more than 15% listed below in 2015's level.

Anticipated production was revised down mainly in France, Germany, the Baltic States, Hungary, and Slovakia, it said.

The EU rapeseed balance is anticipated really tight in 2024/25 with fairly big deficits in the primary EU exporting/consuming nations, the consultancy said.

Enhanced industrial margins for rapeseed squashing in the EU in addition to the decline in sunseed squashing, are sustaining need for rapeseed squashing, although it remains greatly below 2023/24 due to lower production and stocks, it said.

The European Commission recently likewise minimized its month-to-month forecasts of EU rapeseed production, forecasting the crop at 18.0 million.

Strategie Grains also decreased by more than 300,000 heaps its forecast for the EU sunflower crop to 9.3 million loads, 4% below 2023.

Really hot and dry weather condition has minimized potential customers for sunseed production in Romania and Hungary, it said.

The soybean harvest, for which the estimate was just slightly minimized, was heading to a record level this year, as big plantings made up for a fall in yields.

The consultancy anticipates sunseed and rapeseed rates to increase this season compared to the previous marketing year, due to the fact that of the expected big seed and vegetable oil deficit in the EU and tight world veggie oils balance sheets, it said.

(source: Reuters)