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Oil prices surge amid fears of Middle East inflation and Wall Street slide

Investors were worried about inflation and the ongoing conflict in the Middle East.

The three main U.S. indexes all fell on Tuesday, starting off the holiday-shortened work week in a negative note. In midday trading the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.95%, the S&P 500 was down 0.33%, and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.12%.

The MSCI index of global stocks was down by 0.37% last week.

Oil prices rose after Houthis, backed by Iran, attacked Saudi energy facilities in Yemen. Brent crude oil rose 0.24% to a price of $97.23 per barrel, after reaching a six-week peak at $98.28 earlier in the day. U.S. crude oil rose by 0.93% to $92.33 per barrel.

Inflation has risen in recent weeks and this is partly due to the increase in bond yields which have reached multi-year highs. This puts pressure on central banks to increase interest rates.

The European Central Bank will raise the euro zone interest rates by a quarter-point on Thursday of this week. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan is likely to do the same thing next week. This has put the yen in a position for its biggest rally in the past two years. Federal Reserve will also be reviewing its rates on September 16, issuing a statement.

The U.S. data on inflation released by the Federal Reserve this Friday may be decisive for setting expectations about the outcome of its upcoming meeting. Money markets indicate that traders attach a 58% chance to a rate rise.

The yen surge is a major concern for the global markets. Oil was the main topic of discussion on Tuesday. Due to its low yield, traders borrowed yen for the purpose of funding purchases of higher yielding assets, including currencies, bonds, and equities. This strategy is known as "carry trading".

The yen gained 4% in the past week, the largest weekly gain since July 2024. On Tuesday it was trading at 154.23 and the dollar was slightly lower for the day.

The dollar index (which measures the greenback in relation to a basket currencies including the yen and euro) rose by 0.04%, reaching 98.86.

Copper, a commodity other than oil, hit a new record high price on Tuesday as the global supply was tightened. The metal continued to flow into the United States. Ahead of potential tariffs.

The price of three-month copper at the?London Metal Exchange rose 1.5% to $14,728 per tonne.

The benchmark 10-year Treasury note yielded 4.8% on the bond market. This is not far from their highest level since November 2023.

(source: Reuters)