Latest News

Oil prices drop, stocks rise amid Iran peace hopes and yen firm as investors wait for further intervention

The yen gained strength after the U.S. confirmed a joint intervention by Japan and the U.S. to support the currency. Investors watched for further signs of intervention. U.S. President?Donald Trump held off on a new attack against Iran over the weekend. Trump announced on Monday that talks were underway with Iran, warning that this was the "last chance" to get Tehran to agree to a deal that would end the five-month war. Iran, however, denied that negotiations were taking place or were planned. Brent futures for the front-month fell by $6.35 or 7.0% to settle at $83 a barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI), however, fell $4.33 or 5.1% to settle at $80.34. Dow Jones closed at a record high. Earnings optimism also helped to support equities.

Peter Cardillo is the chief market economist of Spartan Capital Securities, based in New York. He said, "The sharp fall in oil prices due to Trump cancelling his severe attacks against Iran, and hopes for a diplomatic solution, got things moving this morning."

He added that "sofar, most earnings have exceeded expectations" and the guidance was positive. According to LSEG, more than 300 S&P component companies have already reported earnings, and 85% of them beat expectations. Amazon's market cap surpassed $3 trillion on Monday for the first. This was aided by a sharp rally after its recent strong earnings, and signs that AI is driving new demand for cloud computing services. Amazon shares closed the day 4.6% higher. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 693.38?points, or 1.32 %, to 53.178.41. The S&P 500 rose to 7,600.50, and the Nasdaq Composite gained 540.04?points, or 2.13 %, to 25,913.90. The MSCI index of global stocks rose 10.50 points or 0.94% to 1,131.01. The pan-European STOXX 600 gained 0.45%. AstraZeneca shareholders punished the pharmaceutical company over reports of merger discussions with U.S. competitor Bristol Myers Squibb, which could make it the world's largest drugmaker with a combined worth of almost $400 billion. Investors are watching for more yen interventions after Japan's Finance Ministry announced on Monday that Japan and the U.S. have conducted a coordinated yen buying intervention. The intervention on Saturday underscored the resolve of both countries to prevent global spillovers from a yen selloff and Japanese government bonds. Trump stated on Sunday that U.S. was helping Japan to prop up the Japanese yen in a show of friendship and for the benefit of the global economy. The Japanese currency has strengthened to its highest level in three months against the dollar. The dollar index (which measures the greenback versus a basket including the yen, the euro and other currencies) rose by 0.26% at 99.97. Meanwhile, the euro fell by 0.17% to $1.1507.

Tokyo's unilateral intervention, which took place between late April and May, caused a short yen recovery, but a June rate hike by the Bank of Japan did not provide much support. This highlights the challenges policymakers are facing due to rising oil prices, and the widening interest-rate gap with other major economies. As oil prices dropped, U.S. Treasury rates also fell. Traders continued to assess the likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate increase if the war lasted. The yield on the benchmark 'U.S. The yield on benchmark 10-year U.S. notes dropped 6.13 basis points, to 4.684%. On Friday, it reached the highest level since January 2025 at 4.747%. The 30-year bond rate fell 4.76 basis point to 5.2274%, after reaching 5.2811% Friday.

Spot gold increased by 0.33%, to $4.054.44 per ounce. (Reporting from Caroline Valetkevitch and Nell Mackenzie, in New York; Additional reporting from Ankur Banerjee, in Singapore; Editing and editing by Barbara Lewis and Kevin Liffey).

(source: Reuters)