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As the Gulf conflict flares again, oil prices surge, stocks fall and bond yields increase.

As the Gulf conflict flares again, oil prices surge, stocks fall and bond yields increase.
As the Gulf conflict flares again, oil prices surge, stocks fall and bond yields increase.

On Monday, oil futures rose nearly 9% and stocks fell as the conflict between the United States and Iran flared up over the weekend. This has once again affected the flow of goods across 'the 'key Strait of Hormuz. Tehran claimed to have closed the Strait of Hormuz, an important global shipping artery, over the weekend. Donald Trump said Monday that the U.S. would reinstate its blockade against Iranian shipping in Gulf. Trump promised to keep the Strait open at a cost, even though the U.S. had not been able wrest control from Iran of the waterway since the beginning of the war in February. The re-start of the blockade shocked oil markets, which had been rising after both sides exchanged drone and missile attacks at the weekend. U.S. crude ended up 9.4% or $6.73 to $78.14 per barrel. Brent finished at $83.30 a barrel, an increase of 9.6% or $7.29.

Robert Pavlik is a senior portfolio manager with Dakota Wealth in Fairfield Connecticut. He said that the trading of bombs between Iran and the United States is a major issue. It's the same old uncertainty about the Middle East. What will be the resolution and when? MSCI's index of stocks around the world fell 10.26 points or 0.9% to?1,116.28.

Wall Street saw the Dow Jones Industrial Average fall 138.37, or 0.3% to 52,498.64. The S&P 500 dropped 60.05, or 0.8% to 7,515.34 while the Nasdaq Composite closed the session at 25,873.18 down 408,43 points or 1.6%. On Monday, technology shares were the most weak sector as investors sold shares related to artificial-intelligence and semiconductors. SK Hynix shares listed in the United States finished down 9%, after a sharp rally on their Nasdaq launch on Friday. South Korea's KOSPI KOSPI finished down almost 9% overnight. This?index is now a leading global barometer of sentiment in the chip sector. The pan-European STOXX 600 finished the day down by 0.01%. U.S. Treasury rates rose after the U.S.-Iran conflict and rising oil prices sparked concerns about inflation and its potential impact on Federal Reserve monetary policies. The yield of the U.S. benchmark 10-year note increased 5.06 basis points from 4.569% to 4.62% late Friday. The 30-year bond rate rose 3.31 basis point to 5.104%. The yield on the two-year bond, which moves typically in line with Federal Reserve expectations of interest rates, rose 6.71 basis to 4.275%. This is its highest yield since 2025. The U.S. Dollar Index, which measures greenbacks against a basket of currencies including the yen, the euro and others, rose by 0.26% at 101.32. However, the euro fell by 0.32% to $1.1377. The dollar gained 0.48% against the Japanese yen to 162.47. The pound fell 0.47%, to $1.3345 at the beginning of a crucial week in British politics. Andy Burnham will be formally appointed as Labour leader this Friday. He is also expected to become UK Prime Minister on July 20, after he has been officially named. The precious metals market fell due to concerns about the possibility of higher interest rates in the United States for a longer period. Spot gold dropped 3% to $3.998.52 per ounce, while spot silver dropped 3.8% to $57.56. (Reporting and editing by Helen Popper; Chizu Nomiyama Susan Fenton David Gaffen, Helen Popper and Stefano Rebaudo)

(source: Reuters)