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The FOREX Dollar gains after US-Iran discussions, but the pound is choppy due to Starmer's exit.

The dollar rose on Monday, as the first round U.S.-Iran negotiations boosted?optimism about a possible peace deal. Meanwhile, the pound gained in choppy trade after British 'Prime Minister Keir?Starmer announced his resignation.

JD Vance, the U.S. vice president, said that talks with Iranian officials held in Switzerland laid "a good foundation" for an eventual peace agreement despite tensions surrounding the Strait of Hormuz.

U.S. crude dropped 2.61%, to $74.60 per barrel. Brent was down to $77.98 a barrel, a 3.21% drop on the day. However, the declines were kept in check by threats made by U.S. president Donald Trump to restart war, and the announcement from Tehran that they had closed the Strait of Hormuz.

The dollar index (which measures the greenback against a basket currencies) rose by 0.06%, to 100.90. Meanwhile, the euro fell 0.24%, at $1.1444.

POUND REVEALS AS POLITICAL UNCERTAINTY LOOMS

Sterling recovered from a session-low of $1.318 after Labour leader Starmer announced he would step down, opening the door for Andy Burnham who could become the seventh prime minister in 10 years following the Brexit vote.

Marc Chandler, Chief Market Strategist at Bannockburn Capital Markets, New York said: "I think that the bond market 'vigilantes' are a good way to guard against the next UK government moving too far left."

The bond market is what will determine the credibility of a new government.

The last rise in the sterling was 0.12%, to $1.3248.

The Yen is nearing a 40-year low

The dollar weakened 0.02% against the Japanese yen to 161.32 from 161.92, which was just a few cents shy of a two-year high reached last week. If the dollar were to break through 161,96, it would be at its lowest level since 1986.

The Japanese currency experienced several sharp movements that saw the yen briefly strengthening?against?the greenback. Satsuki Katayama, the Japanese Finance Minister, said that after the Bank of Japan increased rates last week as was widely expected, authorities are prepared to react appropriately at any time to currency movements. The yen lost gains after a series of interventions that began on?April 30. A shift in focus from the Federal Reserve led traders to increase?expectations regarding rate increases this calendar year, favoring the dollar.

Chandler said, "People should be alert for BOJ interventions and perhaps even supportive comments from America." On Monday, both Deutsche Bank and BofA global research?updated their Fed forecasts to include rate hikes in the month of September. BofA expects the central bank will raise rates 25 basis points in each of September, October, and December.

(source: Reuters)