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The US dollar gains after Friday's gains and stocks mostly fall.

The US dollar gains after Friday's gains and stocks mostly fall.

The dollar rose on Monday, after the major stock indexes had gained on Friday. Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell said that a rate cut in September was probable but not certain.

Last week, the dollar dropped following Powell's comments at Jackson Hole. On Monday, U.S. Treasury rates were higher.

Barclays BNP Paribas, Deutsche Bank and other major brokerages now expect the Fed to cut rates by 25 basis points in September. Fed funds futures trader's are pricing in an 84% chance of a cut for September, according to CME Group’s FedWatch Tool. On Friday, there was much excitement about Powell essentially indicating that a rate reduction would be likely. Peter Cardillo is the chief market economist of Spartan Capital Securities, a New York-based brokerage. He believes that the market has overreacted. "I believe that we will see a rate reduction, but it won't be by more than 25 basis point, and much depends on the PCE price index this Friday." The Fed could still change its policy based on data for August that is due before their meeting of September 16-17. Fed's preferred measure of inflation is the U.S. consumer prices reading due Friday.

The dollar index (which measures the greenback in relation to a basket of currencies) rose by 0.58%, reaching 98.41. Meanwhile, the euro fell 0.79%, at $1.1622. The dollar gained 0.57% against the Japanese yen to reach 147.78.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 284.09 points or 0.62% to 45,346.99. The S&P 500 declined 11.38 points or 0.18% to 6,455.26. And the Nasdaq Composite rose by 20.31 points or 0.09% to 21,515.66.

Investors will also be eager to hear the results of Nvidia on Wednesday.

The MSCI index of global stocks fell by 1.70 points or 0.18% to 953.59. The pan-European STOXX 600 fell by 0.44%.

London's markets were closed due to a holiday. This lowered the overall trading volume in Europe.

Sources told the weekend that they expect the European Central Bank to keep rates unchanged in September. If the economy continues to weaken, discussions about future cuts could resume in the fall.

Donald Trump, the U.S. president, criticized South Korea only hours before Monday's summit with its new leader Lee Jae Myung. Both countries are involved in low-level discussions about trade, nuclear energy and military expenditure.

The Korean won has weakened by 0.43% in relation to the dollar.

As traders prepare for the auctions scheduled this week, U.S. Treasury rates also increased.

The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. notes increased 1.3 basis points, to 4.271%.

Euro zone bond yields rose earlier, too, after falling on Friday.

As Russia and Ukraine's peace talks drag on, oil prices rose. U.S. crude oil futures rose by $1.14, to settle at $64.80 per barrel. Brent futures gained an additional $1.07 for a total of $68.80.

Spot gold dropped 0.02%, to $3371.39 per ounce. Caroline Valetkevitch reported from New York, Nell Mackenzie contributed additional reporting in London and Andrew Heavens edited the article.

(source: Reuters)