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Four dead and more than 5,900 people evacuated after torrential downpours in southern Taiwan
Four people have died and over 5,900 people have been evacuated from southern Taiwan following the island's record rainfall of more than an entire year in the last week, which led to widespread flooding and landslides. Since late July, when strong southwesterly winds and a depression began to cause flooding and landslides on Taiwan's southern coast - an area crucial for the island's agricultural sector - three people have gone missing and 77 others have been injured. Central Weather Administration reports that in the last seven days more than 2.6 meters (102.3 inches) (or 102.33 inches) of rainfall fell on the mountainous southern region, compared with the average annual rainfall in subtropical Taiwan of 2.1 metres. Cho Jung-tai said that his cabinet is working on a proposal this week for a special budget to provide relief efforts. Cho Jung Tai visited residents of Tainan, a city in southern Taiwan, which was hard hit by Typhoon Danas. "We have never seen such a storm. Cho stated that it's been a full month since Typhoon Danas struck, and the rain has continued ever since. The government reported that more than 2,000 residents were still unable to return to their homes. This was mainly in mountainous villages of southern Kaohsiung County and Pingtung County where rescuers worked to restore roads damaged by landslides and flooding, and to deliver food and medicine. Chen Chi-mai, Kaohsiung's mayor, told reporters Sunday that this was the largest evacuation of people in the last decade. Please don't climb the mountain. "It's very, very dangerous." Weather authorities predicted that the rain would likely subside by Monday. However, warnings of landslides and flooding for the southern mountains continued. In July, Typhoon Danas slammed southern Taiwan with winds that broke records. It was a rare strike on the island's densely-populated west coast. The storm knocked over 3,000 poles down and caused the island's worst power grid damage in decades. (Reporting by Yimou Lee, Editing by Michael Perry).
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Iron ore prices rise on strong demand and healthy steel margins
Iron ore prices rose on Monday due to a combination of strong near-term demand and falling portside stock, as well as healthy steel margins, in the top consumer China. However, gains were curtailed by expectations that supplies will increase. As of 0202 GMT, the most-traded contract for September iron ore on China's Dalian Commodity Exchange was trading 0.25% higher. It was 786.5 Yuan ($109.44), per metric ton. As of 0152 GMT, the benchmark September iron ore traded on Singapore Exchange increased by 0.3% to $100.3 per ton. The average daily hot metal production among steelmakers, despite a decline in the previous week, remains above 240 millions tons. This level is typically considered to be a sign of a resilient iron ore market. Data from the consultancy Mysteel revealed that around two-thirds (69%) of steel mills made a profit during the past week. This compares to just 59% at the beginning of July. Steelhome's data shows that portside inventories fell 0.6% in the last week to 130.3 million tonnes, the lowest level since February 2024. Prices of the main steelmaking ingredient have not increased much despite the outlook for a rise in supplies during the second half of this year. First Futures analysts said that since miners did not change their production forecasts, they expect shipments to increase in the rest of the year. This would indicate a growing supply. The cyclones that hit Australia in early this year resulted in an abrupt drop in shipments during the first quarter. This contributed to a general decrease in shipments for the first half. Coking coal and coke, which are both steelmaking ingredients, have also declined, by 0.58% apiece. The benchmarks for steel on the Shanghai Futures Exchange fell, with rebar dropping 1%, hot-rolled coil slipping 0.7%, stainless steel slipping 0.12%. ($1 = 7.1865 Yuan) (Reporting and editing by Rashmi aich; Amy Lv)
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Russell: OPEC+ is lucky to bring back oil production amid uncertainty.
It would have been a bold prediction a couple of months back to claim that OPEC+ could bring back 2,5 million barrels of crude oil production per day and keep the price of oil at $70 a barrel. This is what happened, as the eight producers of the group rolled back their voluntary reductions of 2.2 million bpd by September and allowed a separate rise for the United Arab Emirates. Eight OPEC+ member countries met virtually on Sunday and agreed to increase output by 547,000 bpd in September. This is an addition to the 548,000 bpd increases for August, the 411,000 bpd increases for each of June, May, and July as well as 138,000 bpd of April, which kicked off the unwinding their voluntary cuts. OPEC+ remained steadfast in their recent claim that rolling back production cuts is justified by a robust global economy and low inventories of oil. This is debatable. Demand growth has not been impressive in Asia, the region that imports most. According to LSEG Oil Research, Asia's crude oil imports in July were 25.0 million bpd, down from 27,88 million bpd a month earlier and the lowest total monthly since July of last year. China's increase in crude oil purchases is largely due to lower prices when cargoes arriving in June and July were organized. China's stockpiles have also likely increased rapidly. While it does not disclose its inventories, after subtracting the refinery processing from the total of domestic production and imports, the surplus crude was 1,06 million bpd in the first half 2025. OPEC+ LUCK? It seems more likely that OPEC+ was fortunate to have increased output during a period of increasing risks on the crude oil markets, primarily due to geopolitical tensions. Brent crude futures reached a six-month peak of $81.40 per barrel on June 23, after a brief conflict in June between Israel and Iran, to which the United States later added. Brent has dropped to about $69.35 after some initial weakness in Asia. The point is that this conflict between Israel and Iran has stopped a downward trend in oil prices which had been present for most of the first half year. The recent rise in crude prices has also been boosted by the threat of sanctions from U.S. president Donald Trump against Russian oil buyers unless Moscow agreed to a ceasefire with Ukraine. It pays to be cautious about Trump's actions, as with all his other statements. It would be foolish to assume there will be no effect on crude supply even if the United States' eventual measures are not as drastic. India and China are the two largest buyers of Russian crude oil. India, with its millions of barrels exported of refined products made from Russian oil, is the most exposed of these two. According to Kpler's data, India imported 2.1 millions bpd (billion barrels per day) of Russian oil in the month of June. This is only second highest monthly total after 2.15 million in May 2023. India bought about 40% of the crude oil it uses in recent months from Russia. If it switched to another supplier, this would cause a major impact on oil flow, at least initially. The Middle East, Africa, and Americas could compensate for the loss of Russian barrels by India, but it would result in a significant tightening of supplies and keep prices high. It remains to be determined whether Russia and its shadowy network of traders and shippers can once again circumvent sanctions. Even if they are able to do so, it will still take time to get Russian crude to buyers. OPEC+ is following a smart approach by taking advantage of uncertainty in order to bring back production and regain market share. The question is how long can this play work? It's possible that even if Russian barrels leave the market in the second quarter, demand growth will disappoint as the impact Trump's trade conflict becomes more evident, reducing global trade and slowing economic growth. You like this column? Open Interest (ROI) is your new essential source of global financial commentary. ROI provides data-driven, thought-provoking analysis on everything from soybeans to swap rates. The markets are changing faster than ever. ROI can help you keep up. Follow ROI on LinkedIn, X. These are the views of the columnist, an author for.
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BlueScope, Australia's steel giant, leads the global steel giants to push for Gupta Whyalla plant
BlueScope Steel, Australia's largest steelmaker, announced on Monday that it had assembled a large consortium of international steelmakers to bid on Sanjeev's Whyalla Steelworks. This comes more than a month after local authorities opened the sale process. The group, which includes Japan's Nippon Steel and India's JSW Steel as well as South Korea's POSCO, has a combined value of A$115 Billion ($74.4 Billion) and plans to use the South Australian facility for future low-emissions production iron for both domestic and international markets. The consortium has submitted a non-binding Expression of Interest but has not yet made a formal offer. Whyalla Steelworks went into administration in February after its operating company failed under the weight of tens and tens millions in debt. The Australian and South Australian government stepped in to provide a A$1.9 billion joint rescue package for local jobs and the preservation of a critical piece of industrial infrastructure. Australia officially opened the sales process in June, citing a strong global interest by companies looking to gain a foothold into the emerging green economy of steel. Gupta family conglomerate GFG Alliance was not immediately available for comment.
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Oil prices drop after OPEC+ agrees on a production increase in September
Early Asian trading on Monday saw oil prices drop after OPEC+ agreed that they would increase production by a large amount in September. Brent crude futures were down 43 cents or 0.62% to $69.24 per barrel at 2218 GMT, while U.S. West Texas intermediate crude was $66.94 per barrel, down 39cents or 0.58% after both contracts had closed around $2 lower on Friday. OPEC+ decided on Sunday to increase oil production by 547,000 bpd for September. This is the latest of a series accelerated output increases to regain market shares, as concerns grow over possible supply disruptions related to Russia. This move represents a complete and early reversal in OPEC+’s largest batch of output cuts. In addition, the United Arab Emirates have increased their output by about 2.5 million bpd or 2.4% of global demand. In a press release issued after the meeting, OPEC+ cited a strong economy and low stock levels as reasons for its decision. Helima Croft, an analyst at RBC Capital Markets, said that the actual increase since April was smaller than the headline figure and mainly comprised of barrels coming from Saudi Arabia and UAE (United Arab Emirates). The bet that the market would absorb the extra barrels this summer has paid off, as prices are not far from the pre-tariff Liberation Day level. Reporting by Florence Tan Editing and design by Rod Nickel
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Five trapped mine workers found dead in Chilean Codelco mine
A regional prosecutor announced on Sunday that all five trapped workers were found dead at Codelco’s El Teniente Copper Mine. Rescue teams had cleared underground passageways of more than 20 meters (78 feet), which collapsed during a powerful tremor. On Sunday afternoon, Aquiles Cuillo, the prosecutor of O'Higgins Region, announced that the body was found of the fifth trapped worker. Six people have now died in the accident, including the one who was killed at the time the incident occurred on Thursday night. Codelco found the trapped worker Saturday, and three more on Sunday. The company has yet to comment on the last worker. (Reporting and editing by Nick Zieminski, Sandra Maler and Daina Beth Armas)
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Top Trump adviser accuses India financing Russia's war against Ukraine
After President Donald Trump increased pressure on New Delhi, a top aide of the U.S. president accused India on Sunday of financing Russia's conflict in Ukraine through its purchase oil from Moscow. Stephen Miller, a deputy chief of staff in the White House who is one of Trump's closest aides, said that Trump had made it clear that India could not continue to finance this war through the purchase of oil from Russia. Miller's criticism of one of America's major partners in Indo-Pacific was the most severe yet. People will be shocked when they learn that India and China are basically tied in their purchases of Russian oil. Miller stated this on Fox News "Sunday Morning Futures." The Indian Embassy at Washington did not respond immediately to a comment request. On Saturday, Indian government sources said that New Delhi would continue to purchase oil from Moscow in spite of U.S. threat. On Friday, a 25% tariff was imposed on Indian products as a result its purchase of Russian energy and military equipment. Trump has threatened to impose 100% tariffs on U.S. products imported from countries who buy Russian oil, unless Moscow agrees to a major deal with Ukraine. Miller's criticism was tempered by his praise of Trump's relationship to Indian Prime Minister Narendra modi, whom he called "tremendous." (Reporting and editing by Jasper Ward; Chris Reese, Ross Colvin)
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Canadian official: Trump and Carney will speak in the coming days
A Canadian official stated on Sunday that U.S. president Donald Trump and Canadian prime minister Mark Carney would likely speak "over the next few days" following the U.S.'s 35% tariff on products not covered by the U.S. Mexico-Canada Trade Agreement. Dominic LeBlanc is the federal cabinet minister responsible for U.S. Canada trade. He told CBS News "Face the Nation," that recent discussions had "encouraged him" and that a deal reducing tariffs was still possible. LeBlanc stated that although the discussions with U.S. Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick, and U.S. Ambassador Jamieson Greer were encouraging, they still did not get us to the point where we could reach a deal in the interest of both economies. The minister of trade said that he expects Carney and Trump "to speak over the next few days." LeBlanc stated, "We believe there is an opportunity to strike a deal which will lower some of these tariffs and provide greater certainty for investment." Washington attributed Friday's announcement of tariffs in part to Canada's failure, it claimed, to stop the smuggling of fentanyl. This was the latest blow to a tariff war that Trump began shortly after he returned to power in this year. Carney said Canada only accounts for 1% of U.S. imports of fentanyl and that it has worked hard to reduce this volume. Reporting by Douglas Gillison, Jasper Ward and Doina Zieminski; editing by Ross Colvin, Doina Zieminski and Doina Colvin
EIA slashes United States, worldwide oil demand projections for 2025
U.S. and international oil need development will be smaller sized next year than prior forecasts, the U.S. Energy Info Administration stated on Tuesday in its ShortTerm Energy Outlook report.
The company anticipates U.S. oil need to increase to 20.5 million barrels per day (bpd) next year, down from its previous projection of 20.6 million bpd. U.S. need forecast for 2024 was unchanged at 20.3 million bpd, according to the EIA report.
World oil demand is expected to grow to 104.3 million bpd next year, about 300,000 bpd below prior projections, EIA stated. It expects demand to be about 103.1 million bpd this year, a 20,000 bpd decrease on previous forecasts.
Decreases to this year's outlook show declining oil imports and refinery runs in China, the leading purchaser of crude oil in international markets, the EIA said. Cuts to next year's. forecasts are due to concerns of compromising industrial production. and producing development in the U.S. and Canada, the firm. stated.
U.S. oil production is also expected to grow to smaller sized. records both this year and next year, EIA said. Presently the. leading oil producer in the world, the U.S. is anticipated to pump. 13.22 million bpd this year, down from a previous projection of 12.25. million bpd, the EIA said.
U.S. oil output in 2025 is now anticipated average 13.54. million, down about 1% from the previous forecast of 13.67 million. bpd, the EIA said.
(source: Reuters)