Latest News

India amasses record seasonal coal stocks as mine output surges: Kemp

India's coalfired generators have handled to accumulate record stocks of fuel for completion of February, even as they produce record quantities of electricity to cover burgeoning need and a drought that has actually struck hydropower.

The fuel supply image has actually been transformed in less than two years from shortage to abundance as a result of a big boost in domestic production and prioritisation of coal motions to power stations across the rail network.

Coal-fired generators produced a record 112 billion kilowatt-hours in January 2024 up from 91 billion kWh in January 2022, Ministry of Power information reveal.

However, power plant stocks have continued to increase as the amount of fuel showing up has outstripped combustion.

Generators had 44 million tonnes of fuel on hand on February 26 up from 26 million tonnes at the end of February 2022.

Stocks sufficed to satisfy more than 15 days of the minimum requirement from under 10 days at the exact same time in 2022.

Generators have had the ability to accumulate fuel regardless of running abnormally hard in the autumn to make up for the absence of hydropower after a weak monsoon in 2023.

Chartbook: India coal production and stocks

Fuel security has actually been improved by an enormous increase in the volume of coal produced from the nation's own mines.

Domestic production struck a seasonal record 100 million tonnes in January 2024 up from 80 million tonnes in January 2022, according to the Ministry of Coal.

Mines despatched an additional 12 million tonnes in January 2024 compared with January 2022 and the majority of the extra was sent to generators (+9 million) rather than other users (+3 million).

Mines packed an average of 315 system trains or rakes per day in January 2024 up from 285 each day in January 2022, Ministry of Coal information reveal.

Nearly all the extra unit trains were despatched to generators rather than other users under federal government orders to prioritise electrical energy supplies.

The surge in domestic production has trimmed reliance on imports of thermal coal.

Overall imports of non-coking coal were 124 million tonnes in between April and December 2023 down from 127 million tonnes in the exact same duration a year earlier.

Imports represented 7.4% of all coal gotten by generators in the first eight months of fiscal 2024 below 7.7% in the same period of fiscal 2023.

In the short term, the massive increase in inventories need to prevent widespread power cuts throughout the pre-monsoon ( March-May) and post-monsoon (September-October) months this year.

In the long term, India's importers, miners and traders are all really bullish about the outlook as soaring electrical energy demand encourages the government to embrace an all-of-the-above. method to fossil and sustainable generation.

Associated columns:

- India's coal sector sees huge leaps in output and need. ( February 28, 2024)

- India reconstructs coal stocks to ensure electrical reliability. ( January 31, 2024)

- India turns to coal as hydro generation falls (November. 30, 2023)

John Kemp is a market analyst. The views revealed. are his own. Follow his commentary on X https://twitter.com/JKempEnergy.

(source: Reuters)