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Wall Street to open at lower levels as Middle East conflict continues

Wall Street to open at lower levels as Middle East conflict continues

Wall Street's major indexes are on course for a lower opening on Tuesday, as the Israel/Iran conflict enters its fifth day. This has dented global investor confidence in advance of the Federal Reserve’s upcoming decision on monetary policy.

The air war between Israel and Iran, which began Friday with Israel attacking Iran's nuclear facility, has raised fears that it could cause bottlenecks in oil exports to the oil-rich Middle East.

Wall Street believes that the situation will be contained. "The market is paying attention, but there is no panic at the moment," said Larry Tentarelli of Blue Chip Daily Trend Report, chief technical analyst.

Energy stocks in the United States rose in premarket trade as oil prices continued to rise due to uncertainty. Chevron, Exxon, Occidental Petroleum, and Devon Energy all gained 0.7%.

The rise in oil prices coincides with the Fed's decision to maintain interest rates on Wednesday.

According to CME Group’s FedWatch tool, money market movements show that traders are pricing about 48 basis point rate cuts by 2025. There is a 59% probability of a rate cut of 25 bps in September.

At 8:49 am. At 8:49 a.m. ET, Dow Eminis had fallen 204 points or 0.48%. S&P 500 Eminis had dropped 27.25 or 0.45% and Nasdaq Eminis fell 108.25 or 0.5%.

The data on Tuesday revealed

U.S. retail sales dropped

More than expected in May Retail sales dropped 0.9% in May, while economists had predicted a 0.7% drop.

The U.S. Senate Republicans released late Monday proposed changes to the President Donald Trump’s sweeping tax cut bill, which had passed through the House of Representatives earlier this year.

Solar stocks dropped after Senate changes to Trump’s tax-cut legislation revealed that solar, wind, and energy tax credit credits would be phased out by 2028.

Enphase Energy, a manufacturer of solar inverters that makes Enphase Energy shares, has seen its share price drop by 21%. Solar panel suppliers Sunrun and SolarEdge Technologies both dropped by 31.3%. First Solar lost nearly 17.6%.

The shares of nuclear energy companies have risen after the Senate extended credit for nuclear energy until 2036. Oklo shares rose 5.2%, while Nano Nuclear Energy shares rose 4.3%.

A rise in U.S. Treasuries, as investors seek out traditional safe-havens amid increased geopolitical unrest, has pushed down yields across the curve. The yields on the benchmark 10 year fell by about 5 basis points, to 4.40%.

Eli Lilly, among other players, fell 0.4% following its agreement to purchase Verve Therapeutics up to $1.3 Billion. Verve shares soared by over 75%.

T-Mobile dropped 4.3% as Japan's SoftBank raised a total of $4.8 billion by selling 21.5 million shares of the wireless carrier at $224 per share, according to an. (Reporting from Kanchana Chakravarty in Bengaluru and Sukriti. Gupta, with editing by Maju Samuel.)

(source: Reuters)