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Investors' reactions after Trump announces ceasefire between Iran & Israel
Donald Trump, the U.S. president, said that on Monday a "completely and totally" ceasefire will be implemented between Israel and Iran in order to end the conflict between these two nations. Trump wrote about his Truth Social website that "I would like to congratulate Israel and Iran on their stamina, courage, and intelligence to put an end to what we should call, 'THE 12-DAY WAR.'" After Trump's announcement that came after Wall Street closed trading, U.S. crude oil futures fell. S&P 500 futures rose slightly after trading resumed. Comments JACK ABLIN, CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER, CRESSET WEALTH ADVISORS, PALM BEACH, FLORIDA This removes some of geopolitical uncertainties surrounding the markets. However, most equity investors have shrugged off the uncertainty. "I think it is certainly an incrementally positive, but I do not think that it will be a catalyst for a new bull market." It certainly sounds like an important milestone and I hope that it is true." JAKE DOLLARHIDE is the CEO of LONGBOW ASSET MANAGER, TULSA. The higher oil prices, as well as the geopolitical risks have been a major factor in the decline of the stock market. A ceasefire or an end to the conflict could help solve both issues. This may be the match to spark a continuation of today's rally." (Compiled by Global Finance & Markets Breaking News)
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Ukrainian forces attack an oil depot in Russia’s Rostov Region
The Ukrainian military reported that Ukrainian forces attacked and destroyed an oil depot located in the southern Rostov region of Russia, which was used to supply Russian troops in parts of Ukraine occupied by Russia. The General Staff of Ukraine’s Armed Forces announced that the military’s special operations units in conjunction with rocket and artillery forces had struck the Atlas plant in Rostov Region, not far away from Ukraine’s eastern border. In a Telegram statement, the General Staff confirmed that "our forces have struck in the area where the target is located." "A fire was observed." "The results of the attack are being clarified." The facility is used to supply fuel and lubricants for Russian units in the Russian-occupied Luhansk region and Donetsk region on the eastern front of the war. Ukrainian forces have engaged in cross border attacks including energy targets. The General Staff stated that the aim was to curb Russia's ability to continue the war in Ukraine, which has been going on for more than three years. Ukrainian military bloggers reported earlier on the raid at the oil depot. They said that fuel tanks were engulfed by a fire. (Reporting and Editing by Rosalba o'Brien, Ron Popeski)
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Barrick Mining employees meet with Malian court appointed administrator in capital at the reopening of office
Two people familiar with the matter said that Malian tax officials reopened Barrick Mining’s office in the capital, under the supervision of a court appointed administrator. The office had been closed in April due to alleged nonpayment of taxes. This is the first major development since the Malian court, on 16 June, placed the Canadian miner’s Loulo-Gounkoto complex under state control. It was a major escalation in the long-running dispute over taxes. Barrick said that it would appeal the decision. It appointed former Malian Health Minister, Soumana Maadji as its provisional administrator. Makadji, who is expected soon to resume operations at the complex, held a staff meeting at the Bamako Office on Monday afternoon. According to one of the attendees, he said that he would be visiting the mine site on Wednesday. The mines will be able finance themselves once production resumes and gold sales resume. Three people with knowledge of the situation said that he also met with subcontractors Monday. Barrick's and Mali's Mines Ministry spokespeople did not immediately reply to requests for comments. Barrick and government have been negotiating since 2023 about the implementation of the new mining code, which raises taxes and grants the government a larger share in gold mines. The Loulo-Gounkoto mine complex has been closed since mid-January, after the Malian military government seized Barrick's stocks and blocked its gold exports. Barrick's Bamako main office has been closed for several months. (Reporting and editing by Joe Bavier, Tomaszjanowski and Tomasz Crowe)
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Chios, a Greek island, declares an emergency after wildfires continue to rage.
Greece declared a state-of-emergency on Chios Island on Monday. Hundreds of firefighters are battling the wildfires on the island for the second day, as the winds continue to rage, causing more power outages and evacuations of residents. The climate conditions on Chios are not conducive, and we have constant new fronts. He confirmed that an additional 170 firefighters would be added to 11 teams of approximately 190 firefighters who had been deployed on the island, located in the northeastern Aegean, to try to stop the fire from spreading into homes and areas where mastiha is produced, a natural resin made from mastic tree sap. Kefalogiannis stated that thirty more vehicles would be added to the 38 already deployed vehicles, with 13 helicopters, four water bomber aircraft and other support. The wind gusts made it difficult to put out the wildfires that have destroyed forest and pastures as they rage towards the north west and south of Chios Town, the capital of the island, forcing power cuts and forcing hundreds to flee. Kefalogiannis stated that the authorities would investigate the causes of fires which broke in different geographic parts of the island. Greece, located at the southernmost tip of Europe, has suffered from frequent wildfires that have affected its economy and environment in recent years. Scientists say this is due to a rapidly changing climate. The government has spent hundreds millions of Euros to compensate farmers and households for damages caused by extreme weather conditions and to upgrade firefighting equipment. In anticipation of a difficult fire season, the government has hired 18,000 firefighters, a record.
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GRAINS and soybeans slump due to 'greenhouse weather' in US
Chicago soybean futures eased Monday as favorable weather conditions in the U.S. took the attention away from the U.S. strike on Iran that occurred over the weekend. By 11:40 CST ( 1640 GMT), November soybeans had fallen 13-1/2 cents to $10.47 per bushel. Chicago corn fell due to weather pressure and wheat also declined with an accelerating harvest. Midwest Market Solutions president Brian Hoops said that the forecast for the week ending July 2 shows a warm and wet weather across the U.S. Corn Belt. Hoops said that the weather would create a "near greenhouse effect" with benefits for corn, soybeans and other crops. These favorable conditions have outweighed the impact of the initial surge in oil prices after the U.S. attacked Iranian nuclear sites on the weekend. After reaching a five month high, oil prices dropped 1% on Sunday as traders assessed the impact of the U.S. Airstrikes on the transit of gas and oil through the Strait of Hormuz. Because it is used as a biofuel to replace fossil fuel, the price of soyoil is closely linked to crude oil. Karl Setzer, a partner at Consus Ag Consulting said that "the lack a story about the weather on the U.S. crops is more negative than any potential explosion between the U.S. After hitting contract lows earlier, September corn fell 7-1/4 cents per bushel to $4.18-1/4. September wheat was 13-cents lower at $5.70-12 a bushel. Analysts predict that the weather in the United States will be favorable for harvesting wheat in the next few weeks. Hoops said that "Hotter, drier conditions are forecast for winter wheat Plains. This should advance the harvest of winter wheat, while good rains are forecast for spring wheat belt." Terry Reilly is a senior agricultural strategist with Marex. Renee Hickick in Chicago; Additional reporting by Ella Cao, Lewis Jackson and Sybille De La Hamaide in Beijing and Paris; Editing and production by Jan Harvey
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ERG will produce the critical mineral gallium next year in Kazakhstan
Eurasian Resources Group announced in a press release that it plans to invest $20 millions in Kazakhstan to produce the critical mineral gallium from the bauxite ores they process to make alumina. Gallium is listed as a critical mineral by the United States and European Union. It is required for the production of semiconductors and radar systems in aerospace and defense. Kazakhstan would become the second-largest gallium producer in the world, after China, if ERG's plan is implemented. ERG CEO Shukhrat Ibragimov stated that "ERG intends to become a major player on the global gallium market, beginning production in 2026, to supply OECD nations, with a goal to expand annual volumes to up to 15 metric tonnes per year." According to the U.S. Geological Survey, global gallium production reached 760 tons in 2013. The majority of the gallium was produced in China, with very small quantities coming from Japan and Korea. In response to Washington's crackdown on China’s chip industry, China banned the import of gallium (gallium), germanium (germanium) and antimony from the United States in December last year. The ban is only applicable to the United States. However, China has been steadily introducing export licensing regimes to these three metals in the 18 months prior to suspension. Aluminium is smelted using alumina. (Reporting and editing by Barbara Lewis; Pratima Deai)
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Brazil's Prio targets doubling of oil production in 2026 and cheers higher prices
Roberto Monteiro, the CEO of Brazilian oil company Prio, said that the company expects its daily production to double next year compared to 2024, due in part, he said, to some offshore fields being developed. Monteiro, Prio's CEO, said that the company expects to produce more than 200,000 barrels a day (bpd), up from 100,000 bpd last year. Prio, an independent oil producer, has grown in recent years by acquiring high-profile assets, such as the Wahoo and Peregrino fields from Equinor, Sinochem, and TotalEnergies. Monteiro explained that the production target reflects development of these assets. The company is currently waiting for approval from Brazil's environment agency Ibama before it can connect wells at Wahoo and start producing. This outlook is a result of increased geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East. These tensions have driven global oil prices up in recent weeks as a result of concerns about potential supply disruptions. The global benchmark Brent price fluctuated on Monday. It reached a five-month peak before dropping more than 1%. Oil and gas were still being transported by tankers to the Middle East following the U.S. air strike against Iran at the weekend. Monteiro, in response to recent increases in oil prices, told reporters: "It is horrible to say a war was a good thing. But that's the reality." "Brazil is generally a stable geopolitical country, and it's a major oil producer." The CEO stressed that while Prio monitors geopolitical events around the world, its strategic decision-making will remain based on operational effectiveness and productivity. He said that the portfolio was created with efficiency in view. Prio shares traded in Sao Paulo rose around 1% Monday, beating the Bovespa index which fell 0.6%. (Reporting and writing by Marta Nogueira, Editing by Margueritachoy)
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Russia and Mali Sign Trade Deals, Eye Nuclear Energy Cooperation
On Monday, Russia signed agreements with Mali to strengthen trade and economic relations. President Vladimir Putin also told the leader of Mali's military junta who was visiting that specific areas could be improved. Russian state media reported that Putin met with Colonel Assimi Gouta at the Kremlin. The two men spoke for about two hours. Putin stated that the relations between Mali and Russia had "a good upward trend", even though bilateral trade is currently "modest", a Kremlin press release said. Putin stated that there are many areas of future cooperation, including geological exploration, the development of natural resources, energy, logistics, and humanitarian aid. The Kremlin reported that one of the agreements Putin and Goita made was about nuclear energy. Mali and Russia discussed in the past what they called a "strategic project" to build a low-power nuclear plant designed by Russia. The construction of a new gold refinery in Mali, backed by Russia, began in the first week of this month. Goita, who came to power in 2020 after coups in 2021 and 2020, said that it would give Mali greater control over its resources. Mali, one of Africa's leading gold producers lacks a globally certified and functional refinery. Russian mercenary units have also provided Goita with fighters, after the Malian military expelled French and U.N. forces that had been fighting Islamist insurgents in Mali for the past decade. The African Corps is still operating in Mali despite the announcement by Russia's Wagner mercenary unit earlier this month that it would be withdrawing.
Reactions to Trump's auto tariffs
The U.S. president Donald Trump announced on Wednesday a 25% tariff for imported cars and light vehicles starting next week. This move will likely increase prices and slow production, according to auto industry experts.
What are your reactions?
NATIONAL FOREIGN TRADE COUNCIL (NFTC), WHICH REPRESENTS A LOT OF U.S. COMPANIES. VP TIFFANY SMITEH
"Placing tariffs against imports of automobiles could damage the competitiveness and export-readiness of an industry which relies on international supply chains and market integration for its success.
We urge the administration, to prioritize the market opening opportunities of auto companies that manufacture vehicles for export from the United States.
SHAWN FAITH, PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED AUTO WORKERS UNION
We applaud the Trump Administration for taking action to stop the free-trade disaster that has ravaged working class communities over the past decades. The tariffs are a big step forward for blue-collar workers and autoworkers across the nation. It is now up to automakers to bring good union jobs back to the U.S.
SAM FIORANI, ANALYST FOR AUTOFORECAST SOLUTIONS
"Clearly, there will be winners and losers. Companies who have invested hundreds of million and billions of dollar in plants in Canada and Mexico are likely to see their profits drop dramatically over the next couple of quarters, if they don't even into a few years. We will adjust our production and sales forecasts, because it could cause chaos.
JESSICA CALLWELL, EDMUNDS Analyst
Many vehicle parts are imported from around the world, which will increase repair costs and reconditioning fees for car dealers. As accidents that involve new parts are more expensive, insurance premiums may also increase.
DOUG FORD, ONTARIO'S PREMIER
UK'S SOCIETY OF MOTOR MANUFACTURERS and TRADERS CEO, MIKE HAWES
"Today's President Trump announcement is not surprising, but it is disappointing if additional tariffs will be applied to UK-made cars, as appears likely. Rather than imposing more tariffs, we need to explore how to create opportunities for both British manufacturers and American ones as part of a reciprocal relationship."
CHUCK CARLSON CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER HORIZON INVESTMENT SERVICE, HAMMOND (INDIANA)
"I have been sceptical about all tariff talks, in terms of whether they will last, if it is a real negotiation or if something is just a ploy to get traction at the last moment. "My initial reaction was that this tariff could have legs."
There will probably be exemptions or modifications made for some U.S. automobile manufacturers... I can see that the U.S. automobile manufacturers could get some exemptions because of their supply chains. "I think he would rather see how it goes than stop in two or three weeks." (Reporting from Andrea Shalal in Washington, Nandita in Detroit, David in Ottawa, and Unnamalai in Bengaluru. Additional reporting by Global Finance & Markets Breaking News Team. Editing by Peter Henderson, Matthew Lewis.
(source: Reuters)