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A year after Iraq-Turkey pipeline halt, no progress to resume flows

A year after the closure of the IraqTurkey oil pipeline, the conduit that once managed about 0.5% of global oil supply is still stuck in limbo as legal and monetary obstacles impede the resumption of flows, 3 sources informed .

As soon as streamed through, about 450,000 barrels per day of crude Iraq's northern oil export path through Turkey, and its closure has led to the loss of approximately $11 billion to $12 billion for Iraq, the Association of the Petroleum Market of Kurdistan (APIKUR). price quotes.

A restart is not being discussed at the moment, among the. sources with knowledge of the matter told .

Ankara stopped circulations on March 25, 2023, after an. arbitration judgment discovered it had actually broken arrangements of a 1973. treaty by facilitating oil exports from the semi-autonomous. area of Kurdistan without the permission of the Iraqi federal. federal government in Baghdad.

The court bought Ankara to pay Baghdad $1.5 billion in. damages for unauthorised exports between 2014 and 2018. A second. ongoing arbitration case covers the period from 2018 onwards. The nations remain embroiled in a lengthy legal tussle, two. sources familiar with litigation said.

Iraq owes Turkey minimum payments as long as the. pipeline is technically operational - estimated by consultancy. Wood Mackenzie at around $25 million per month - as part of the. treaty, in theory supplying an incentive to restart flows.

But with Iraq deepening oil export cuts as part of OPEC+'s. wider objective to support oil prices, a resumption of northern. flows is not on the agenda, 2 sources informed .

POLITICAL LANDSCAPE

Geopolitical elements are likewise a stumbling block. The. Iraqi government's stretched relations with the Kurds, a feature. of Iraq's political landscape considering that Saddam Hussein was fallen. in the 2003 U.S.-led invasion, have actually just recently soured even more.

The United States, which would benefit from the pipeline. reboot lowering oil rates, has also made a handful of efforts. to assist broker an offer, stated Michael Knights, an Iraq expert at. the Washington Institute think-tank.

With war raving in Ukraine and Gaza, the U.S. federal government. is spread out thin, he stated. They've attempted to repair this issue. about five or six times. And they're tired of it.

The U.S. State Department did not react to an ask for. comment.

Crucial to any reboot offer are the international oil. companies operating in the Kurdistan region, who were forced to. halt exports as an outcome of the pipeline closure. Rather, they. can only offer oil locally in Kurdistan at a significant. discount.

With more than $1 billion jointly owed in overdue. payments for oil delivered between October 2022 and March 2023,. according to APIKUR, the group continues to promote. payment in line with their contracts.

The business have actually likewise jointly lost more than $1.5. billion in direct income considering that the closure, the group said.

Regardless of numerous conferences, neither APIKUR nor its members. have gotten any formal propositions or contracts from Iraqi or. Kurdish authorities that would result in a resumption of exports, an. APIKUR representative said.

(source: Reuters)