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Gold prices rise as traders expect delayed U.S. rate cuts

Gold prices reached a three-week high Tuesday. This was boosted by the expectation that the U.S. Government shutdown could be over and the Federal Reserve would reduce interest rates in the next month.

At 3:13 pm, spot gold was up by 0.3% to $4,126.77 an ounce. ET (2013 GMT) after earlier reaching its highest level since October 23.

U.S. Gold Futures for December Delivery fell by 0.1%, to $4116.30 an ounce.

As gold is not a yielding asset, it tends to do well in environments with low interest rates.

Jim Wyckoff is a senior analyst at Kitco Metals. He said: "Traders are expecting weaker economic data to prompt the Fed in December to lower interest rates. This will likely encourage the bulls of the gold and silver markets today."

The U.S. Senate approved a compromise on Monday that will end the longest shutdown in government history. The shutdown has caused a blackout of data, which leaves policymakers and the markets without important indicators about jobs and inflation.

Jerome Powell, the chair of the central bank, said that another rate cut is not certain this year. CME's FedWatch Tool shows that the markets see a 64% probability of a December rate cut.

Last week, data showed that the U.S. economy lost jobs in October. Consumer sentiment also fell to its lowest point in over three-and-a-half years at the beginning of November.

Stephen Miran, the Fed governor, suggested on Monday that a 50-basis-point reduction in December might be appropriate, given a softening of the labor market and declining inflation.

UBS stated in a report that gold demand is expected to be at its highest level since 2011.

They added that "any significant increase in political and financial markets risks could push the gold towards our upside target of US $4,700/oz".

Silver spot gained 1.2%, reaching $51.12 an ounce. This is its highest level since the 21st of October. Palladium rose 2% to 1,442.75, while platinum rose 0.4% to 1,583.72. Reporting by Noel John in Bengaluru, Pablo Sinha, and Kavya Baliaraman; Editing by Leroy Leo & Tasim Zaid

(source: Reuters)