Latest News

The central bank of Peru raises its growth forecast for 2025 and holds steady the outlook for 2026

Peru's central bank on Friday slightly raised its economic growth forecast for 2025 to 3.2%, from 3.1% previously, citing stronger-than-expected non-primary sector activity and private spending.

The bank projected that annual inflation would be 1.7% at the end 2025, and 2.0% at the end 2026. This was supported by the diminishing impact of supply shocks as well as an economy operating close to its potential.

In August, annual inflation fell to 1.11%. This is the lowest level in seven years. It brings it closer to the lower limit of the 1%-3% target range set by the central bank. Last year, inflation was 1.97%.

In its report the central bank forecasts a fiscal surplus of 2,4% of GDP in 2025, and 2.1% of GDP in 2026.

Last week, the central bank's chief economist Adrian Armas stated that the economy was expected to grow by around 3% during the third quarter of the year.

The bank's growth forecast for 2026 is 2.9%. Julio Velarde, the chief of the Central Bank, said that the projection takes into account the temporary effects from the presidential election next year.

Velarde said that if this effect was not present, there would be a greater growth rate.

Dina Boluarte is expected to leave the presidency in July 2026. She has one of the lowest approval ratings around, at 2%. (Reporting and editing by Gabriel Araujo, Aurora Ellis and Natalia Siniawski)

(source: Reuters)