Latest News

Iron ore price set to be up to $95/T in H2, states CICC

Iron ore costs in top customer China will likely fall to between $95 and $105 a metric ton in the second half of the year in the middle of a supply glut, a. statebacked investment bank stated on Thursday.

Rates of the steelmaking ingredient have actually already fallen by. 25% from the start of the year, to $106.9 a ton since 1413. GMT.

Supply has actually ramped up so far this year with portside stocks. piling up to a high level while demand is still facing headwinds. from the property sector, experts at China International. Capital Corporation (CICC) said in a research note. on its WeChat account, including that infrastructure investment. growth will slow to 7.7% this year from 8.2% in 2023.

Property-led steel usage might not yet bad as. the various stimulus steps unveiled are of greater aid for. destocking and it requires time for the new (building) starts. to stage a stabilisation or development, CICC stated.

Citi last week projection iron ore would fall to $95 a lot. within the next 3 months.

Beijing has actually rolled out a series of stimuli to stimulate. lacklustre property need including decreasing the minimum. down-payment ratios for property buyers, cutting rates of interest on. mortgages, and relaxing some home purchase limitations.

While manufacturing-related steel need has actually stayed. durable, possible issues over its sustainability loom with. indications of softening currently seen in May, CICC included.

Need from the manufacturing and facilities sectors,. paired with robust steel exports, assisted offset some of the. decrease in demand from the home market last year.

CICC forecasts actual steel usage by the. infrastructure sector to grow 1.3% year-on-year in 2024, slowing. from a 4.7% rise in 2023.

Steel exports may remain high this year however it's likewise hard. to see any considerable upside, CICC said, adding that the world. does not lack steel capacity.

China's steel deliveries struck a seven-year high of 90.26. million loads in 2023, with some analysts expecting 2024 exports. to reach 100 million tons after volumes in the very first five. months beat expectations.

(source: Reuters)