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Iron ore to lose weekly value as weak demand and rising stocks weigh

The iron ore futures price continued to fall on Friday, and was set for a weekly loss. This is due to a deteriorating sentiment amid the sluggishness of spot purchasing and the bleak outlook in China, which is arguably its biggest consumer.

The May contract for iron ore on China's Dalian Commodity Exchange ended morning trading 0.74% lower, at 803.5 Yuan ($111.65), resulting in a weekly decline of 8.5%.

As of 0351 GMT the benchmark April iron ore traded on Singapore Exchange was $101.75 per ton lower, down 12% this week.

Analysts at ANZ Bank said that "weaker demand prospects increase the possibility of steel production reductions... less steel production equals lower demand for ore."

According to Mysteel & Lange Steel, the risks of a faltering ore market loomed when a few province steel associations released statements either calling for a reduction in steel production or vaguely proposing local market players work together to promote a healthy development of steel industry.

Stockpiles of iron ore are at their highest level in a year. ANZ analysts said that they expect iron ore to stabilize in terms of cost of production.

Mysteel data revealed that iron ore stock levels at 45 major Chinese port sites surveyed had increased by around 1% in the past week, to 142.9 million tonnes as of 15 March.

The China Iron and Steel Association, a state-sponsored organization, held a meeting on Thursday with representatives of several major steelmakers and research agencies, as well as the country's planners, to discuss a new mechanism for controlling steel capacity and evaluate capacity swap policies in the sector. However, it did not provide any further details.

The extended drop in home prices in February for the second largest economy in the world is also a factor in the sentiment, as it indicates a fragile property market.

Coking coal and coke were down by 1.92% each and 1.19% respectively.

The benchmark steel prices on the Shanghai Futures Exchange fell by a wide margin. Rebar fell 1.10%, while hot-rolled coils dropped 0.59%. Wire rods lost 1.32%, and stainless steel gained 0.8%.

(source: Reuters)