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Gold is under pressure due to Middle East tensions, which are driving up rate bets

Gold prices eased Friday, and were on track for a weekly decline. Higher oil prices linked to the Middle East conflict fueled inflation fears and raised expectations of tighter U.S. policy.

By 2:10 pm EDT (1810 GMT), spot gold was down 0.4% at $4,103.23 an ounce. It had fallen 1.7% in the past week. U.S. Gold Futures for August were around 0.7% lower, at $4.113.70 an ounce.

Bart Melek is global head of commodity strategies at TD Securities. He said that the major 'factor' here was the resumption of tensions between Iran and the U.S. Investors are not keen to hold onto gold or silver at this time, and this is why the price has moved towards 4100. According to the International Energy Agency, the recent hostilities between Iran and the U.S. could "upend" its forecast for a significant surplus in the oil market next year.

The oil prices were poised to rise by a significant amount this week, fueled by concerns about supply amid the recent U.S.-Iran strike.

The rising cost of energy fuels inflation fears, which in turn increases expectations for interest rate hikes from central banks.

Gold is often viewed as a hedge against inflation, but higher interest rates can make it less attractive.

"Everything points to the market being concerned about inflation, especially since oil has recovered in the past few days. The Federal Reserve, in particular, will be on guard.

According to the CME FedWatch Tool, traders are pricing in a 69% probability of a rate increase?in September. Minutes from the Fed's June meeting showed a split between hawks and doves as concerns about inflation increased.

Investors will now be watching the Fed Chair Kevin 'Warsh's testimonies and next week's data on inflation to gain more insight into monetary policy. Gold prices in India were at a discount this week. Demand in China was stable after the central bank announced its biggest monthly increase in gold reserves for more than two-and-a half years.

(Reporting by Sukanya Mitra in Bengaluru; Editing by Vijay Kishore and Jonathan Ananda) (Reporting and editing by Vijay Kishore, Jonathan Ananda, and Sukanya Mitra in Bengaluru)

(source: Reuters)