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The "boom" of Trump's factories is seen in two different ways by a town in Indiana

John Axelberg's best customer recently asked him to invest $800,000.00 to double the production of tubular frames his factory produces for large-scale solar farms.

He said no

Axelberg’s small metal-forming business's solar division fueled the company's 30% revenue increase last year, thanks to tax incentives from the Inflation Reduction Act, passed by President Joe Biden. However, the rest of the industries Axelberg serves, including heavy trucks and farm equipment, were collectively down 20%. He is also concerned about solar. Donald Trump has said that his policies will unleash a new American manufacturing boom. In industrial communities like South Bend, however, the reality is nuanced. Government policies boost some sectors, while obscuring the outlook for other industries. Many manufacturers are left navigating a patchwork of incentives, tariffs, and changing signals from Washington. Recent polls have revealed that Trump's economic stewardship has become a major political issue for both him and Republicans, with the midterm elections less than seven months away. Only 29% of respondents to a /Ipsos survey approve of Trump's economic leadership. This is the lowest approval rating for either of Trump’s administrations, and also lower than that of Biden, his Democratic predecessor. Axelberg's costs are higher for metals and imported parts because of tariffs. Meanwhile, the current administration has halted the construction of solar farms in federal land.

"I don't have any confidence that he will not pass another executive order to start coming after (solar credits) we've already received and claw them back," stated the CEO of General Stamping & Metalworks. A family-owned company with $130 million in sales, General Stamping & Metalworks has been bending steel since 1922.

Pierre Yared is the acting chair of President Trump’s Council of Economic Advisers. He pointed out that improved manufacturing productivity and increased investment in new equipment and plant are early signs of success for Trump’s policies.

Yared stated that it would take some time for the President's policy to fully manifest.

MANUFACTURING RENEWAL ELUSIVE

South Bend is a prime example of the stark contrast between a few niches that are booming and the lingering malaise within manufacturing. This once-thriving industrial center has struggled to recover its economic footing for the past six decades since the 1964 closure of Studebaker’s sprawling auto factory. There are many established manufacturers in South Bend who are struggling to stay afloat or facing erosion of key sectors. This includes businesses that boomed under the previous administration, such as "electric vehicles".

Michael Hicks is an economist who studies manufacturing at Ball State University. He said that "there's not evidence of a manufacturing revival." It appears that the manufacturing sector has declined over the past 10 to 11 month. Defense is a business that's doing well. AM General, which is based in this city, built a brand new factory to service a U.S. $8.7 billion defense contract for a new generation military vehicle.

Cleveland-Cliffs is a steel processing company that has benefited from tariffs which have increased domestic steel prices. In a press release released last February, CEO Lourenco Goncalves stated that taxes would bring "a new golden age and a manufacturing revolution that will make America stronger again." Amazon is building a $11 billion datacenter that will eventually include 30 buildings, just up the road from the?steel?plant. Although data centers are not manufacturing plants, they require a large amount of raw materials and machinery that is used to fuel other goods producers. Once they're built, data centers don't generate many permanent jobs. According to the Federal Reserve the Federal Reserve estimates that the spending on data centers was more than half a billion dollars in 2013. The Federal Reserve expects the expenditure to "increase drastically" until 2030.

A joint venture between GM and Samsung, worth $3.5 billion, is currently being built to produce electric car batteries.

According to Jeff Rea, CEO of South Bend Regional Chamber, the data center craze has caused a backlash that's made the land prices near the new developments "nutso".

The shortage of skilled labor and other big changes have led to higher taxes and utility costs for many longtime producers. Trump's anti EV campaign is a major obstacle for the GM plant. The automaker has said that construction has been slowed and it no longer has an opening date.

Stuart Fowle said, "current market conditions allow us to plan for future needs and observe EV demand." On its website, the White House maintains a list of U.S. manufacturing and innovation investments. This includes Apple's $600 billion investment into factories and workforce development, and Meta's plan of spending the same amount in 2028 for AI technology and infrastructure. Yet, South Bend's factory jobs have been declining since the end 2020, with over 1,000 employees losing their jobs, including 265 since President Trump's election. This pattern is repeated across the nation. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, manufacturing jobs in the United States have decreased by 100,000 since Trump was inaugurated.

What is 'WHIMS of a King'?

There are certainly big projects in the works across the industrial heartland. The boom started during the Biden administration. This included massive new investments like those made by GM and Samsung in electric car and batteries projects and semiconductor plants. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), total construction spending for manufacturing plants increased from $5.9billion in February 2021, to a high of $20.8billion in October 2024. However, it fell to $17billion by December 2025.

Jon Ferguson, the CFO at Master Roll Manufacturing (which operates an office that looks out over Amazon's massive datacenter outside South Bend) said, "I'm not sure if I would call it a resurgence." Ferguson, CFO of Master Roll Manufacturing, said that sales were steady and not booming, despite the fact that they make and refurbish steel processing equipment.

It's a problem to have so many developments nearby. He said that the surge in land values has increased property taxes and that?electricity costs and water prices have also increased. He said that while it's great to see land prices rise, it's not very meaningful if the owners aren't looking to sell.

He said that "a lot of companies are unhappy with the way (the data centre boom) is falling apart."

Some companies have struggled to find workers with the skills to install new production lines or repair existing ones at their facilities because so much of their labor has gone to construction.

Daniel Adams, CEO at Manufacturing Technology Inc. sees the same mixed bag of manufacturers. His great-grandfather founded the business in 1926 as a tool shop. The company has since carved out a niche in friction weld, a technique used to manufacture everything from golf putters and jet engines. Since Trump's election, he said, it has become apparent that EVs will be less important. This has affected his auto-related businesses. He said that auto companies and suppliers are putting off investments.

Adams stated that his aerospace customers are doing well, but this is not enough to propel the entire business forward.

Adams says that bringing new industry to the area will benefit his business over the long-term, but it can cause tensions with other local businesses in the short term. For example, there are issues with labor. He said that people go to the "shiny place" and make an extra two dollars per hour.

Axelberg, the CEO of General Stamping & Metalworks remains cautious. He had 25 acres next to his plant which he intended to use for finishing and assembly. He has put that on hold because he is no longer confident in the current economic climate.

He said, "It almost seems like there's no policy." "It is like the whims and caprices of a monarch."

(source: Reuters)