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Gold prices rise as Fed rate-cut bets increase ahead of inflation data

Gold prices rise as Fed rate-cut bets increase ahead of inflation data
Gold prices rise as Fed rate-cut bets increase ahead of inflation data

The gold price rose on Friday, as investors began to expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in the coming week. They are awaiting U.S. data on inflation that may clarify the central banks next move.

As of 1416 GMT the spot gold price rose by 0.7%, to $4,235.59 an ounce. This was in line with a weekly gain of 0.1%.

U.S. Gold Futures for February Delivery edged up 0.6% to $4,266.50 an ounce.

"The odds of a rate reduction are in place... Gold is retesting, and reaffirming its $4,200/oz price level." Alex Ebkarian said that although the week was volatile, it had a positive trajectory and momentum.

Gold is generally supported by lower interest rates, as it is a non yielding asset.

CME's FedWatch shows that there is now an 87.2% probability that the U.S. Central Bank will reduce rates next week.

The government shutdown has delayed the release of September's Personal Consumption Spending (PCE) figures. The release will likely show a 0.2% increase in monthly spending and a 2.9% growth on an annual basis.

The data released on Wednesday showed that private payrolls dropped by the most in more than two-and-a half years in November.

Recently, several Fed policymakers adopted a more dovish tone.

Morgan Stanley predicted that the Fed would cut rates by 25 basis points at its meeting on December 9-10, which is in line with J.P. Morgan's, Bank of America's, and most economists polled.

In India and China, the physical gold demand has slowed this week while buyers await a correction of spot prices.

Silver increased 2.2%, to $58.34 per ounce. This is a 3.5% increase for the week after reaching a record price of $58.98 Wednesday.

The price of white metal is up 101% in the past year. This has been fueled by supply shortages and its inclusion on the U.S. Critical Minerals List.

Palladium rose 1.2% to 1,465.29, and platinum fell 0.4%. Both metals were set to lose money for the week. (Reporting from Anmol Choubey, Bengaluru. Editing by Leroy Leo.)

(source: Reuters)