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Gold prices near two-week high as Fed rate cuts fuel bets on tepid US economic data

Gold prices rose by more than 1% on Wednesday to a two-week-high after positive U.S. data boosted expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in the coming month. This supported non-yielding gold.

At 1208 GMT spot gold rose 1% to $4,172.18 an ounce, its highest level since November 14. U.S. Gold Futures for December Delivery were up 0.7% to $4,168.70 an ounce.

Market participants are beginning to price again a U.S. interest rate cut for December," stated UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo.

Bullion is a non-yielding investment that tends to do well in environments with low interest rates.

Staunovo stated that "we continue to see more upside in the short term. We have a forecast for year-end of $4,200/oz, and $4,500/oz by mid-next year." The data released on Tuesday revealed that U.S. retailer sales rose less than anticipated in September, but producer prices were within estimates. In November, U.S. consumer sentiment also declined as consumers became more worried about their finances and jobs. These data were released in response to a recent series of dovish remarks from Fed policymakers.

The CME FedWatch tool shows that traders now expect an 83% probability of a Fed rate reduction next month, up from 30% one week ago.

A report that White House economist Kevin Hassett is the frontrunner for the position of the next Fed Chair has also added to the support for the metal. This confirms expectations about a dovish approach in policy, as favored by Donald Trump.

Investors are now awaiting the U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims Report due later on Wednesday. This report is a crucial gauge of labor market health and Fed policies. Deutsche Bank has raised its gold forecast for 2026 to $4450 per ounce, up from $4,000 citing stable investor flows and persistent demand by central banks.

(Reporting by Noel John in Bengaluru Editing by Mark Potter) Reporting by Noel John, Bengaluru Editing Mark Potter

(source: Reuters)