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Aussie incomes season 'positive surprise' up until now, however tide might turn, Macquarie states

Australian business earnings have been a positive surprise amidst investor euphoria over estimatebeating margins, however historical trends suggest outcomes might deviate as the incomes season approaches its end, Macquarie analysts stated.

Business have actually published better-than-expected margins, often supported by lower tax and interest expenses, with most of them surpassing market view so far this season than in February, Macquarie said in a note.

The upbeat earnings have triggered financiers to add back to their portfolio, particularly after lowering their equity direct exposure in the recent correction at the start of the month, the experts kept in mind.

Cyclical merchants were the stand-outs last week. Shares of JB Hi-Fi posted their best weekly gain in more than four years after the consumer electronic devices merchant announced a. special dividend recently and an estimate-beating annual. results.

Top telco Telstra likewise came as a positive surprise. after it raised its earnings forecast.

Investors appeared to shake off the drop in benefit from. leading Australian banks, and instead concentrated on the positives. such as Commonwealth Bank of Australia's lower. arrangement for bad loans and National Australia Bank's. constant margin.

Still, the biggest dissatisfaction originated from Origin Energy. , whose shares crashed on a warning that earnings in its. electrical energy generation service is most likely to drop.

The cycle is slowing and the key unpredictability is how much it. improves in reaction to rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve. and the Reserve Bank of Australia, analysts stated, adding that. results' positive momentum tend to deteriorate towards completion,. specifically in the final week.

While the high share of beats is favorable, we would warn. against extrapolating this trend to the rest of reporting. season.

A bulk of the revenues season still lies ahead, with iron. ore majors BHP and Fortescue, energy giants. Woodside and Santos and supermarktes. Woolworths and Coles reporting in the coming. weeks.

(source: Reuters)