Latest News

China's hunger for gold most likely to continue, Goldman Sachs states

Chinese gold need is now cyclically soft due to rate sensitivity and recent price surges, but emergingmarket central banks, consisting of China's,. are most likely to continue to purchase gold regularly, whether revealed. or not, Goldman Sachs said.

Earlier this month, official data revealed that China's. central bank in June refrained from gold purchases to its. reserves for a 2nd successive month.

Goldman Sachs analysts stated in a note that the Chinese. market is especially price-sensitive and they anticipate that a. 10% drop in the Shanghai gold price would improve physical China. gold need by 16%.

Safe-haven demand, driven by geopolitical and financial. uncertainty, in addition to consistent reserve bank purchasing. added to a rally in gold from March to July, taking spot. costs to a record high of $2,483.60 on July 17.

Although the current cost rise is weighing on cyclical. need, structural modifications leave China's structural gold demand. roughly intact on net since the demand boost from lower. confidence and lower interest rates approximately offsets the hit from. lower pattern GDP development, Goldman said.

The bank expects substantial worth in long gold positions,. and reiterates its $2,700 per ounce forecast for 2025 owing to. firm central purchases, prospective U.S. rate of interest cuts and. geopolitical stress.

However, our finding that the especially rate sensitive. Chinese market is absorbing the price rally points to some danger. that gold reaches our $2,700 target behind our 2024 year-end. standard, Goldman kept in mind.

(source: Reuters)