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Iran warns US and its allies against escalating the conflict
Iran warned against a new major attack by the United States or its allies on Sunday, saying it had received information that such an action was in preparation. This added to the tensions already present in a region on edge following drone and missile attacks on Saudi Arabia. Iran's central military command announced on state-run media that any further attack would result in a sustained retaliation, including against US interests and bases. Washington's regional partners would also be considered as parties to the conflict. It did not provide any further details on the information that it claimed to have about an upcoming US attack. On Saturday, the US State Department released a security warning saying that there could be an unforeseen 'escalation' in the Middle East. Americans should remain vigilant and aware of any possible flight cancellations or airspace closures. The US-Iran conflict has lasted nearly seven months, and neither side is willing to make the major concessions required to end it. With global energy markets already stretched to the limit, the conflict continues spilling over into other crises around the region. The Houthis of Yemen, who are backed by Iran, made significant advances along Yemen’s Red Sea Coast after the civil war erupted in Yemen this month. They also claimed to have carried out attacks in Saudi Arabia’s capital Riyadh, and on an important oil facility located in Yanbu, the Red Sea port in the Kingdom. After overnight booms in Saudi Arabia's capital, a video shows a huge plume of black smoke billowing out of the main international airport of Riyadh. Saudi Arabia has not commented on the incident, or on Houthi claims. However, a coalition led by Saudi Arabia that is fighting the Houthis claimed to have foiled other attacks against the kingdom. US State Department alerted of Houthi hostilities, including attacks on civilian airports in Saudi Arabia. The US Department of Defense didn't immediately respond to an inquiry about Iran's claim that it knew of a US attack in the works. The recent escalation of the Houthis forced Riyadh to face a difficult dilemma: either continue airstrikes against the group in order to prevent it from seizing additional Yemeni territory, or back off and hope that drone attacks on critical infrastructure will not occur. STRIKES IN SAUDI ARABIA Houthi gains on the coast have given the group the opportunity to control shipping between the Red Sea, Asia and Europe. They can also 'blockade' the vital waterway. Iran has already blocked most shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. The oil-rich Gulf is now cut off from the global market, increasing pressure on oil prices. The US blockade of Iranian ports has meanwhile prevented Iran from selling its oil, causing major economic problems for the Islamic Republic. There is little evidence of a return from the June ceasefire that broke down in July due to disagreements over its terms. Iran reiterated its position on Sunday that it will not reopen Strait of Hormuz unless?the June agreement was met, according to their interpretation. Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf stated that Iran must continue to fight and negotiate to push its enemies back, as well as consolidate any diplomatic gains.
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Iran warns US and its allies against escalating the conflict
Iran warned against any new major attack by the United States or its allies, saying that it had received information that such a move was being planned. This added to the tension in the 'a'region, already on edge following drone and missile attacks on Saudi Arabia. Iran's central military command announced on state-run media that any further attack would result in a sustained retaliation, including against US interests and bases. Washington's regional partners would also be considered as parties to the conflict. It did not provide any further details on the information that it claimed to have about an upcoming US attack. On Saturday, the US State Department released a security warning saying that there could be an 'unexpected escalation' in the Middle East. Americans should remain vigilant and aware of any possible flight cancellations or airspace closures. The 'US-Iran War' is now seven months old, and neither side appears to be ready to make the major concessions required to end the war. With global energy markets already stretched to the limit, the conflict has continued to spill over into other crises in the region. Yemen's Iran backed Houthis made major gains along Yemen's Red Sea Coast after the country civil war re-emerged this month. They said that they carried out strikes on the Saudi capital Riyadh as well as a major oil installation in the Red Sea port Yanbu of the Kingdom. After overnight booms in Saudi Arabia's capital, a video showed a huge plume of "black smoke" billowing out of the main international airport of Riyadh. Saudi Arabia has not commented on the incident, or on Houthi claims. However, a coalition led by Saudi Arabia that is fighting the Houthis claimed to have foiled other attacks against the kingdom. US State Department alerted of Houthi hostilities, including attacks on civilian airports in Saudi Arabia. The recent escalation of the Houthis forced Riyadh to face a difficult decision: either continue airstrikes against the group in order to prevent it from seizing additional Yemeni territory, or?step back and avoid drone strikes on vital infrastructure. STRIKES ON SAUDI ARABIA Houthi gains on the coast means the group's troops now sit along the Bab el-Mandeb Strait. This gives them better control over shipping between the Red Sea, Asia and their ability to blockade this vital waterway. The oil-rich Gulf is now virtually cut off from the global market, as Iran has already blockedaded?most shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. This puts pressure on the global oil price. The US blockade on Iranian ports has meanwhile prevented Iran from selling oil and caused major economic problems for the Islamic Republic. There is little evidence of a return from the June ceasefire that broke down in July due to disagreements over its terms. Iran reaffirmed on Sunday that it would not reopen Strait of Hormuz unless the 'terms of the June agreement as they were interpreted by them' had been met. Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf stated that Iran must continue to fight and negotiate to push its enemies back, as well as consolidate any diplomatic gains.
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Palestinian gunman kills Israeli in West Bank; soldiers kill motorist
Police reported that violence flared up in the West 'Bank occupied on Sunday after a Palestinian suspected of being a gunman shot and killed an Israeli. Israeli soldiers then killed a Palestinian driver who, according to the military, was attempting to run over them. According to Israeli police and military, the gunman fired from his car at Israelis who were gathered near a spring in the vicinity of the settlement Neve Tzuf near Ramallah. The medics that arrived on the scene of the shooting found a man inside a car with a critical gunshot injury. Police said he was pronounced deceased at the hospital. Police said that the gunman was arrested a few hours after he was located at a Ramallah hospital. The military announced shortly after the shooting that it had "eliminated", a Palestinian driver who attempted to ram soldiers in the West Bank, near the settlement Ganim. It said that no soldiers were injured. It was not immediately able to verify the soldiers' story. The fatal incidents on the eve of the Jewish holy day, Yom Kippur were not clearly connected. Benjamin Netanyahu, the Israeli Prime Minister, said that he had instructed security agencies to bolster their forces in the region and conduct arrests. Hamas, a militant Palestinian group, praised the shooting but did not take responsibility for it. Since Hamas' attack on Israel in October 2023 and the subsequent Israeli military offensive against Gaza, violence has increased in the West Bank. West Bank violence has seen a rise in militant settler attacks on Palestinians as well as Israeli military raids on the West Bank and Palestinian attacks against Israelis.
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Ten lions suspected of poisoning found dead at Tanzania wildlife reserve
The area's management authority reported that ten lions were found dead this week in Tanzania's Ngorongoro wildlife reserve. Initial findings suggest they may have been poisoned. The deaths have raised concerns about the conservation of lions within one of Africa's best-known wildlife ecosystems. The poisoning of large carnivores in East Africa is a "recurring" threat. It's often linked to conflicts involving predators and livestock owners. In a late-Saturday statement, the Ngorongoro Conservation Area Authority said that the lions had been discovered on 18 September in Ndutu?area in Endulen Ward of Arusha Region. The authority stated that preliminary findings suggested the animals died after ingesting a poison. It added that they had launched an investigation to identify the cause and those responsible. Ngorongoro Conservation Area, a UNESCO World Heritage Site located in northern 'Tanzania is one of the top tourist attractions. The area is home to a variety of wildlife, including lions. elephants. buffaloes. and endangered black rhinos. Four suspects were arrested last month in an investigation into the deaths of 18 elephants that occurred across the border in Kenya.
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Sources say that China Rare Earth Group is in negotiations to purchase MP Materials' shareholder Shenghe Resources.
Two sources familiar with the matter said that the state-owned China Rare?Earth?Group was in negotiations to buy Shenghe Resources. This would consolidate Beijing’s control over the rare earth sector, and give Beijing a stake in Washington’s rare Earth play. The deal, if successful, would transfer control of Shenghe’s stakes in foreign companies, including a 3 percent share of US company MP Materials. This firm counts the US Department of Defense, its largest shareholder, after an investment made last year. Shenghe Resources confirmed that it had been made aware of "false reports" in overseas media about a rare earth enterprise group allegedly planning to buy a majority stake in a company, and indirectly own interests in its overseas assets. Shenghe Resources filed a statement to the Shanghai Stock Exchange late on Sunday. "Upon written request by the company, its controlling shareholder Institute of Multipurpose Utilization of Mineral Resources responded in writing explicitly stating there are no plans for the company's control stake to be transferred to external parties." Sources who spoke under the condition of anonymity due to the sensitive nature of the issue said that talks between the two companies began earlier this year. One person said that China Rare Earth Group wanted to acquire a controlling interest. Sources did not know the exact date of announcement or completion. China Rare Earth would gain control of one of the few remaining Chinese rare earth mining companies with private ownership. This would bring to an end a decade-long effort to consolidate this sector under state control. Beijing would also have a tighter grip on elements vital to electric vehicles, windmills, electronics, and the defence sector. This control has been used to great effect by China in its trade dispute with the US. Shenghe purchased Australia's Peak Rare Earths last year. The deal could be affected by the possibility of a state-owned Chinese rare earth company sharing space with the US Department of Defense on a registry of shareholders. Sources did not know what was going to happen with Shenghe's stakes and assets overseas. MP has said that neither Shenghe or the Chinese government have any control over its operations. China Rare Earth Group, and the Ministry of Commerce have not responded to requests for comment. According to one source, a deal would also give Shenghe better acces to the quotas Beijing uses to control supply. Beijing gives quotas to the state-owned companies, and then they are allocated to subsidiaries. China has not made public the quotas set for mining, smelting, and separation. They are closely watched as a barometer of global rare earths supplies. China Rare Earth Group is the largest supplier of rare earth heavy elements in China. It was formed in 2021 following a reorganization between five state-owned rare-earths companies.
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Drones strike oil refinery in Russian Capital, killing two people
Authorities said that two people were killed in one of the largest drone attacks by Ukraine on the Moscow Region and an oil refinery was also hit. This comes as Russia is entering the final day of its parliamentary election. Ukraine and Russia continue to attack each other's infrastructure, despite a Monday announcement by US President Donald Trump that they would stop. Sergei Sobyanin, the Moscow mayor, said in his Telegram channel, that the largest Ukrainian drone attacks were thwarted. Russia had downed more than 1,600 unmanned aircraft since Saturday, among them 450 drones headed to Moscow. Sobyanin stated that several drones had reached the premises of a?oil refinery, and one of them hit an apartment. He added that there were "no injuries" in the city. He said: "The unprecedented attack was clearly designed to disrupt the elections." "The enemy failed to achieve that." Witnesses heard explosions in Moscow, and saw smoke plumes billowing out of the site of the Moscow Refinery. It was not immediately clear how much damage had been done to the facility. Ukrainian strikes have knocked out an important part of Russia's refining capacity. This has led to oil shortages and fuel price hikes in many regions, across all 11 time zones. According to the latest data, the Moscow?plant that has been?targeted multiple times processed 11.6 millions metric tons in 2024. It produced 2.9 million tonnes of gasoline and 3.2 million tons diesel. Ukraine has not yet commented on these attacks. Both sides claim they don't target civilians. The governor of the greater Moscow region, Andrei Vorobyov, stated that in addition to two deaths, 400 people including 70 children were evacuated from a 21 storey apartment building located in the Ramenskoye District and several homes were damaged.
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Three people are killed in Gaza by Israeli strikes, say medics
Health officials reported that Israeli airstrikes in Gaza Strip killed at least 3 Palestinians on Saturday. Basir al-Bursh was killed in an air strike near the Jabalia Refugee Camp, a north-east Gaza refugee camp, according to medics and relatives. Munir al-Bursh is the director-general of the health ministry for the territory. Israel's military did not provide any further details about the strikes on Basir al-Bursh or other militants. Hamas, a militant Palestinian group which runs Gaza, has not yet commented. Munir al-Bursh, according to his family and doctors, lost a child?in a December 2023 Israeli airstrike. He was injured in the?attack. Al-Bursh, a father, was seen in video footage obtained by carrying his son, wrapped up in a blanket and accompanied by other mourners, as the ambulance rushed it to hospital. Al-Bursh said in the video: "I was in the tent with him, and he told me, Dad, that they would target us both, you and I together. I said it's fine, we can 'go to heaven together. Al-Bursh added, "He was beaten and martyred when he went outside the tent. May God have mercy on his soul." Al-Bursh, who was a patient at Al Shifa Hospital when mourners paid their respects to Al-Bursh, could barely stand. Civil defence and medics confirmed that a strike in Shejaia east of Gaza City killed a man, while another struck a vehicle in the Sheikh Radwan area of Gaza City killing a person. This brings Saturday's death count to at least 3. The?Israeli army said that the Sheikh Radwan attack targeted a Hamas terrorist. The explosion?turned the vehicle into a mangled wreck. Palestinian authorities claim that more than 73,000 Palestinians have died in Israel's attack on Gaza. The assault was launched after Hamas fighters killed about 1,200 Israelis in southern Israel back in October 2023. The US-brokered ceasefire agreement of last year called for the eventual reconstruction and rebuilding of the territory. However, negotiators failed to agree on terms for Hamas's?disarmament and Israel's withdrawal. According to Gaza's health officials more than 1,300 Palestinians have died in Gaza, mostly civilians. The Israeli military claims that four Israeli soldiers were killed.
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Ravindra, Cricket-New Zealand’s Ravindra is doubtful for the India series following an injury sustained in a promotional shoot
Rachin Ravindra, an all-rounder for New Zealand, dislocated his left shoulder while filming a diving catching during a promotional shoot. This puts him in doubt if he is selected to play next month's Twenty20 series against India. New Zealand Cricket released a statement saying that Ravindra suffered an injury to his right shoulder during a Sky commercial shoot on Wednesday. It said that "Ravindra's return to play will be determined by the progress he makes during his first few weeks of rehabilitation." Ravindra is a 26-year-old left-handed finger-spinner who has played for New Zealand across?115 matches in all formats. He is a versatile 'batter,' who can fit?into either the middle or top order. New Zealand's top run-scorer at the 50-over World Cup 2023, and highest wicket-taker at the T20 World Cup this year where they reached the final. Mike Sandle, New Zealand's performance manager, said: "We are devastated for Rachin." As with all commercial shoots that involve our players, safety measures were in place and agreed upon by all parties. The accident was a bit of an accident and we'll review our procedures in the future. New Zealand will host India in five T20 matches starting October 22. Then, five One-Day Internationals followed by two tests and five T20 matches the following month.
China's rising hydro and solar set to cap coal usage in 2024: Kemp
China's electrical energy usage increased by 209 billion kilowatthours, or 10%, in the first three months of 2024 compared with the same period in 2023, when the country was emerging from the exit wave of the coronavirus.
Consumption development was focused in production (+112. billion kWh) as factories returned to normal operations after. widespread disturbances caused by lockdowns in 2022 and 2023.
However there was also substantial development from services companies. ( +53 billion kWh), domestic users (+41 billion kWh) and. main markets such as farming and mining (+3 billion. kWh), according to the National Energy Administration.
Chartbook: China electrical energy generation
Generation from large-scaled grid-connected power plants. increased by 166 billion kWh (+8%) in the first 3 months of. 2024, according to separate data published by the National. Bureau of Stats.
Most of the extra generation was provided by thermal power. plants (+108 billion kWh) mainly fired by coal with a small. percentage burning gas.
There were smaller contributions from wind farms (+34. billion kWh), grid-connected solar generators (+17 billion kWh). and hydroelectric generators (+7 billion kWh).
Thermal generation increased 7% from the previous year to a. seasonal record of 1,603 billion kWh and accounted for 72% of. all grid-connected output.
By contrast, hydro generation increased by just 3% to 210. billion kWh and was well listed below the seasonal record of 221. billion kWh set in the very first quarter of 2022.
Hydro has actually been depressed by the relentless drought throughout. southern China that began in 2022 and lasted through 2023.
But southern areas have been struck by abnormally early and. heavy rains considering that early in April which must recharge water. resources and increase hydro output from May onwards.
SPRING RAINS
China's rainfall and hydro generation are concentrated in. the southern part of the nation, where spring rains are. followed by heavier precipitation during the damp phase of the. East Asian Monsoon from June to September.
South China represents 36% of the nation's acreage but. 81% of its total water resources, according to data assembled by. the central federal government's Ministry of Water Resources.
Four massive drain basins in the south (covering the. Yangtze River, Pearl River, Southeast Rivers and Southwest. Rivers) represent more than 80% of the country's hydro. generation.
South China experienced abnormally low rains during the. wet stage of the East Asian Monsoon in 2022 and precipitation. remained second-rate throughout 2023, curtailing river levels. and generation.
In 2024, nevertheless, the spring rains arrived abnormally early. and have actually been heavy, reaching records in some locations, which. should improve hydro generation.
Guangdong province experienced its very first significant flood this. year on April 7, the earliest given that at least 1998, according to. the water ministry.
Rainfall up until now in April in the city of Yibin at the. confluence of the Minutes and Yangtze rivers, and on the border. between Sichuan and Yunnan, the two enormous hydro manufacturers in. the southwest, has actually been the greatest since 2022 and, before that,. 2016.
Like rains, hydro generation follows a pronounced. seasonal pattern - most affordable in the very first quarter before rising. dramatically in the second and third quarters with the spring and. monsoon rains, then tapering in the fourth quarter.
Relatively heavy spring rains should bring a huge boost in. hydro generation during the 2nd quarter this year, which will. continue throughout the 3rd quarter if the monsoon goes back to. typical.
COAL RELIEF
China relied heavily on coal-fired generators during the. winter season of 2023/2024, running existing generators for more hours. and starting up a number of brand-new power plants to meet electrical power. demand.
But record amounts of solar generation were set up in. 2023 and the huge deployment has actually continued in the first three. months of 2024. Solar generation capacity has actually doubled since 2021. and quadrupled considering that 2018.
The mix of quick development in solar with a post-drought. healing in hydro generation need to limit the need for a lot. coal combustion in the second and 3rd quarters of 2024.
Provided the monsoon rains are near-normal, coal-fired. generation will grow more gradually over the rest of the year.
China's underlying growth in electricity usage is so. substantial the federal government has no option however to pursue an. all-of-the-above strategy embracing a mix of coal and. renewables.
The scale of the usage growth means that coal-fired. generation could continue to rise in 2024 and for a few more. years.
But the massive release of renewables is already flexing. the coal consumption curve lower and emissions are likely to. peak before completion of the decade in line with the federal government's. revealed target.
Associated columns:
- China's hydro generators await the rains to come (March. 24, 2024)
- China's renewables rollout signals future peak in coal. ( January 19, 2024)
- China braces for record winter season electrical power need. ( November 24, 2023)
- China's rainfall is in the wrong place for hydropower. ( August 22, 2023)
John Kemp is a market expert. The views expressed. are his own. Follow his commentary on X https://twitter.com/JKempEnergy.
(source: Reuters)