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Mexico: At least 44 dead following torrential rains
The government announced on Sunday that at least 44 people died in Mexico as a result of flooding and heavy rains. Tropical storms Priscilla, and Raymond brought torrential rains that triggered landslides in five states. A government statement stated that 18 people were killed in Veracruz, 16 in Hidalgo and nine in Puebla, with one person in Queretaro. The government of President Claudia Sheinbaum managed a response plan for 139 affected communities. The Mexican military posted photos of people being evacuated using liferafts. Homes were covered in mud, and rescue workers had to wade through waist-high water through the streets. In coordination with the Governor and the Governors as well as the various federal authorities, we continue to pay attention to the emergencies in Veracruz and Hidalgo as well as Puebla, Queretaro and San Luis Potosi. Sheinbaum stated on X that the National Emergency Committee was in perpetual session.
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South Carolina Island shooting leaves four dead and at least 20 wounded
The Beaufort County Sheriff's Office reported that four people were killed in the shooting and 20 others injured at a restaurant on an island in South Carolina. The Beaufort County Sheriff's Office said that deputies responded to Willie's Bar and Grill in St. Helena Island shortly before 1 am and found several victims with gunshot injuries. Authorities said that four of the injured are in critical condition. The sheriff’s office stated that it was investigating but refused to give further details. The office refused to reveal the names of those who died pending notification of their families. The sheriff's department said that hundreds of people were present at the time the shooting occurred. The sheriff's department said: "This is a tragedy and a difficult incident for all." St. Helena Island has a reputation as the epicenter of Gullah geechee culture, a group of descendants of African slaves. The bar and restaurant where the shooting took place describes itself as serving authentic Gullah food. Gun Violence Archive defines mass shootings as those where four or more individuals are shot. These incidents have increased in frequency in the U.S. over the last decade. Americans are divided on the issue of possible policy solutions. Democrats support more gun restrictions, while Republicans favor better enforcement of violent crime laws and gun rights. (Reporting from Ted Hesson, Washington; Additional reporting provided by Jasper Ward, Washington; Editing done by Sergio Non and Mark Porter.)
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Taiwan's chip industry is not affected by China's rare earths restrictions
Taiwan's Economy Ministry said that the new Chinese restrictions on rare earths will not have a significant impact on the semiconductor industry as these metals are different from those needed in the chip sector. China tightened its control of the rare earths sector in advance of the talks between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping. Beijing added five new elements to its export controls and increased scrutiny on chip users. Taiwan's Economy Ministry said in a press release about China's new regulations that the rare earth elements covered by the expanded prohibition differ from those required for Taiwan's semiconductor process, and therefore no significant impact is expected on chip manufacture at this time. It added that the majority of products or derivatives for domestic use containing rare Earths are sourced from Europe and Japan. Taiwan is the home of the largest contract chipmaker in the world, TSMC. It produces the vast majority advanced chips which are a critical component for artificial intelligence applications. The ministry said that China's recent expansion of controls may affect global supply chains, including those for electric vehicles and drones. It added that the impact would need to be closely monitored. On Sunday, China justified its restrictions on the export of rare earth metals and equipment by claiming that they were based on concerns about their military applications in a period of "frequent war". (Reporting and editing by Raju Gopikrishnan; Ben Blanchard)
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US intelligence assists Ukraine in targeting Russian energy infrastructure, reports FT
Financial Times reported that the U.S. had been helping Ukraine launch long-range attacks on Russian energy infrastructure for months as part of a joint effort to weaken Russia's economy and force Vladimir Putin to the negotiation table. The newspaper reported that U.S. intelligence helped Kyiv to strike Russian energy assets including oil refineries far beyond the front lines, citing anonymous U.S. and Ukrainian officials familiar with this campaign. Requests for comments were not immediately responded to by the White House, Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelenskiy’s office or Ukraine's Foreign Ministry. The Russian Foreign Ministry did not immediately respond to requests for comment. This month, Moscow claimed that Washington and the NATO alliance regularly provided intelligence to Kyiv regarding the war Putin started in February 2022. The Kremlin's Dmitry Peskov said that the use and supply of NATO and US infrastructure to collect and transmit intelligence to Ukrainians was obvious. The FT reported that U.S. Intelligence helps Kyiv to shape route planning and altitude decisions, as well as timing and mission choices, enabling Ukraine’s long-range one-way drone attack aircraft to evade Russian defences. Three people with knowledge of the operation said that the United States was closely involved at all stages in planning. According to a U.S. official, Ukraine chose the targets of long-range attacks and Washington provided intelligence about the sites' vulnerability. Two U.S. officials said in early February that Washington would provide Ukraine intelligence on long-range targets of energy infrastructure in Russia as it considers sending Kyiv missiles which could be used for such strikes. Officials from the United States said that they had also asked NATO members to provide similar assistance. Zelenskiy stated on Saturday that he discussed Russian attacks against the Ukrainian energy system during a "positive" and "productive" phone call with U.S. president Donald Trump. "We discussed the opportunities for bolstering our air defense as well as concrete agreement that we are working to ensure." Zelenskiy wrote on X that there are solid options and ideas for how we can truly be strengthened.
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Taiwan doesn't depend on China for rare earths
Taiwan's Economy Ministry said that most rare earth materials are imported from Europe, Japan and the United States, but it is still too early to assess the impact of China's new restrictions on the semiconductor industry. China tightened its control of the rare earths sector in advance of talks between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping. Beijing added five new elements to the controls and increased scrutiny on chip users. In a statement on China's new regulations, Taiwan's Economy Ministry said that the majority of rare-earth materials required domestically were supplied by Europe and the United States. The impact of the semiconductor industry on its operation still needs to be assessed and reassessed. "We will continue to monitor any changes in raw materials costs and indirect effects of supply-chain adjustment," the company said. Taiwan is the home of the largest contract chipmaker in the world, TSMC. It produces the vast majority advanced chips which are a critical component for artificial intelligence applications. On Sunday, China had defended its restrictions on the export of rare earth metals and equipment. It said that they were motivated by concerns about their military applications in a period of "frequent war". Ben Blanchard reports.
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Beijing accuses the US of raising trade tensions and defends rare Earth curbs
China called Donald Trump's recent U.S. Tariffs on Chinese Goods Hypocritical on Sunday. It defended its curbs to exports of rare-earth elements and equipment but did not impose new levies against U.S. goods. Trump responded on Friday to Beijing's latest export controls with additional tariffs of 100 percent on China's U.S. bound exports and new export controls for critical software by Nov. 1. Wall Street has been rattled by the renewed trade tensions. They have sent shares of Big Tech tumbling. They are also worried about foreign companies that depend on China's production for processed rare earths or rare earth magnets. And they could even derail a meeting between Trump and Chinese president Xi Jinping scheduled later this month. China's Commerce Ministry said that its export controls for rare-earth metals - described by Trump as "surprising and very hostile" on Friday - were a result of a series U.S. actions since bilateral trade negotiations in Madrid last month. Beijing cited as examples the addition of Chinese firms to a U.S. blacklist of companies and Washington's imposition port fees on China linked ships. These actions have seriously damaged China's economic interests and undermined the climate for bilateral trade and economic talks. China is firmly against them," said the ministry. Beijing did not explicitly link these U.S. measures to its export restrictions on critical minerals. Instead, it said that its curbs had been motivated by concerns about the military applications of these metals in a period of "frequent war". The U.S. also delayed announcing a similar levy on U.S.-bound imports to China, unlike earlier this year when both superpowers gradually increased tariffs against each other, until the U.S. was at 145% and China's rate was 125%. The right way to deal China is to not threaten to impose high-tariffs at the drop a hat. China's stance on tariff wars is consistent: "We don't like to fight but we're not afraid to fight," said the Commerce Ministry. China's refusal to respond immediately to Trump's first salvo could open the door for both countries in negotiating a deescalation.
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Protests in Tunisia's Gabes intensify amid an environmental crisis
Tunisian Police fired tear gas at protesters in front of the Tunisian Chemical Group (CGT) headquarters for phosphates located in the southern city Gabes after residents stormed into the facility to demand its closure due to environmental pollution and respiratory illness. The protest shows the tensions that President Kais Said's government is under, which are already stretched by the deep financial and economic crisis. They must balance the demands of public health with the production phosphate, Tunisia’s most valuable resource. The protest turned violent when the police used tear gas to force the protesters away from the site. They then chased them through the streets of the city. Witnesses reported that protesters had set fire to the branch office in the city of the complex administration. Emergency teams were trying extinguishing the fire. Protesters in the city blocked roads. Witnesses and videos posted on social media said that earlier in the day demonstrators were at the facility, chanting slogans for its dismantling and closure. Saied, in an attempt to calm the anger and protests that were escalating, met with the Ministers for Environment and Energy late Saturday night, and asked them to send a delegation to make the necessary repairs to the phosphate unit of the complex. Khaireddine dbaya, a protester, said: "Gabes is a city that kills. People are struggling to breath, and many suffer from cancer, or have bone fragility, due to the severe air pollution." GABES SUFFERING ENVIRONMENTAL CRISE CGT has not responded to attempts to comment on the situation at Gabes. It has never responded to pollution accusations in the past. Saied claimed last week that Gabes is suffering from an "environmental attack" because of what he called old, criminal policies. He blamed them for widespread illnesses and the destruction local ecosystems. In 2017, the authorities committed to demolish the Gabes Complex and replace it by a facility meeting international standards. They acknowledged that its emissions were a threat to local residents. The plan has not yet been implemented. Gabes' Chatt Essalam Sea receives tons of industrial waste every day. Environmental groups have warned that marine life is severely affected. Local fishermen report a dramatic drop in fish stocks in the last decade. This has hit a vital income source for many in the area. This week, a new wave of protests erupted after dozens schoolchildren suffered from breathing problems caused by toxic fumes coming from a nearby plant. Videos of panicked parents, emergency crews and students struggling to breath fueled public outrage. Calls for the closure of the plant were also sparked. The government wants to revitalize the phosphate sector by increasing production by fivefold, to 14 million tons by 2030. This will allow it to take advantage of a growing global demand. Reporting by Tarek Amar; Editing By Toby Chopra & Alistair Bell
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Iran is open to US nuclear proposal that is 'fair and balanced'
Iran is open to a "fair and balanced proposal" from the United States, but Tehran still hasn't received any negotiation proposal, said Iran's top diplomat on Saturday. Abbas Araqchi, Iran's foreign minister, told state TV that he would consider any American proposal for negotiation if it was reasonable, fair, and balanced. Araqchi, however, said that Tehran would not give up "its right to enrich uranium", but could take confidence-building steps regarding "the peacefulness of its nuclear program." Araqchi added that Washington and Tehran had been exchanging messages via mediators. Israel, the United States and its European allies accuse Tehran, of hiding behind its nuclear program efforts to try and develop the ability to produce weapons. Iran claims its nuclear program is only for peaceful purposes. Before a 12-day conflict between Iran and Israel, in which Washington took part by attacking key nuclear sites, Tehran held five rounds with Washington on nuclear issues. However, there were major obstacles, such as the uranium enrichment of Iranian soil. The West wants to reduce this to zero, to minimize any threat of weaponisation.
China's rising hydro and solar set to cap coal usage in 2024: Kemp
China's electrical energy usage increased by 209 billion kilowatthours, or 10%, in the first three months of 2024 compared with the same period in 2023, when the country was emerging from the exit wave of the coronavirus.
Consumption development was focused in production (+112. billion kWh) as factories returned to normal operations after. widespread disturbances caused by lockdowns in 2022 and 2023.
However there was also substantial development from services companies. ( +53 billion kWh), domestic users (+41 billion kWh) and. main markets such as farming and mining (+3 billion. kWh), according to the National Energy Administration.
Chartbook: China electrical energy generation
Generation from large-scaled grid-connected power plants. increased by 166 billion kWh (+8%) in the first 3 months of. 2024, according to separate data published by the National. Bureau of Stats.
Most of the extra generation was provided by thermal power. plants (+108 billion kWh) mainly fired by coal with a small. percentage burning gas.
There were smaller contributions from wind farms (+34. billion kWh), grid-connected solar generators (+17 billion kWh). and hydroelectric generators (+7 billion kWh).
Thermal generation increased 7% from the previous year to a. seasonal record of 1,603 billion kWh and accounted for 72% of. all grid-connected output.
By contrast, hydro generation increased by just 3% to 210. billion kWh and was well listed below the seasonal record of 221. billion kWh set in the very first quarter of 2022.
Hydro has actually been depressed by the relentless drought throughout. southern China that began in 2022 and lasted through 2023.
But southern areas have been struck by abnormally early and. heavy rains considering that early in April which must recharge water. resources and increase hydro output from May onwards.
SPRING RAINS
China's rainfall and hydro generation are concentrated in. the southern part of the nation, where spring rains are. followed by heavier precipitation during the damp phase of the. East Asian Monsoon from June to September.
South China represents 36% of the nation's acreage but. 81% of its total water resources, according to data assembled by. the central federal government's Ministry of Water Resources.
Four massive drain basins in the south (covering the. Yangtze River, Pearl River, Southeast Rivers and Southwest. Rivers) represent more than 80% of the country's hydro. generation.
South China experienced abnormally low rains during the. wet stage of the East Asian Monsoon in 2022 and precipitation. remained second-rate throughout 2023, curtailing river levels. and generation.
In 2024, nevertheless, the spring rains arrived abnormally early. and have actually been heavy, reaching records in some locations, which. should improve hydro generation.
Guangdong province experienced its very first significant flood this. year on April 7, the earliest given that at least 1998, according to. the water ministry.
Rainfall up until now in April in the city of Yibin at the. confluence of the Minutes and Yangtze rivers, and on the border. between Sichuan and Yunnan, the two enormous hydro manufacturers in. the southwest, has actually been the greatest since 2022 and, before that,. 2016.
Like rains, hydro generation follows a pronounced. seasonal pattern - most affordable in the very first quarter before rising. dramatically in the second and third quarters with the spring and. monsoon rains, then tapering in the fourth quarter.
Relatively heavy spring rains should bring a huge boost in. hydro generation during the 2nd quarter this year, which will. continue throughout the 3rd quarter if the monsoon goes back to. typical.
COAL RELIEF
China relied heavily on coal-fired generators during the. winter season of 2023/2024, running existing generators for more hours. and starting up a number of brand-new power plants to meet electrical power. demand.
But record amounts of solar generation were set up in. 2023 and the huge deployment has actually continued in the first three. months of 2024. Solar generation capacity has actually doubled since 2021. and quadrupled considering that 2018.
The mix of quick development in solar with a post-drought. healing in hydro generation need to limit the need for a lot. coal combustion in the second and 3rd quarters of 2024.
Provided the monsoon rains are near-normal, coal-fired. generation will grow more gradually over the rest of the year.
China's underlying growth in electricity usage is so. substantial the federal government has no option however to pursue an. all-of-the-above strategy embracing a mix of coal and. renewables.
The scale of the usage growth means that coal-fired. generation could continue to rise in 2024 and for a few more. years.
But the massive release of renewables is already flexing. the coal consumption curve lower and emissions are likely to. peak before completion of the decade in line with the federal government's. revealed target.
Associated columns:
- China's hydro generators await the rains to come (March. 24, 2024)
- China's renewables rollout signals future peak in coal. ( January 19, 2024)
- China braces for record winter season electrical power need. ( November 24, 2023)
- China's rainfall is in the wrong place for hydropower. ( August 22, 2023)
John Kemp is a market expert. The views expressed. are his own. Follow his commentary on X https://twitter.com/JKempEnergy.
(source: Reuters)