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US construction spending falls unexpectedly in June
U.S. Construction Spending unexpectedly dropped in June, as higher mortgage rates continued to stifle?homebuilding. Census Bureau of the Commerce Department reported on Monday that construction spending had decreased by 0.1%. The?Construction Spending in?May has been?revised. It was not reported that it had increased by 0.1% but was actually unchanged. Economists surveyed by predicted construction spending to rise 0.2%. In June, construction spending fell 3.2% compared to the same month last year. Spending on private construction projects fell 0.2% last month, but only by 0.1% this month. ?Investment in residential construction dropped 0.3%. The spending on single-family housing fell by 0.6%. In June, it decreased by 3.3% year-over-year. Since the U.S. and Israel attacked Iran in February, the average rate for the popular 30-year fixed-rate mortgage increased by 70 basis points. The average rate reached a record high of 6.66% in the last week according to data provided by mortgage finance agency Freddie Mac. In June, spending on multi-family units, which make up a tiny part of the housing market?declined by 0.7%. The?government announced last week that residential investment had rebounded after declining for five consecutive quarters. Renovations are on the rise as higher borrowing costs have depressed housing demand. In June, investment in non-residential structures like power plants and factories increased by?0.1%. Spending on manufacturing projects fell?1.2%. The second quarter saw a contraction in investment in non-residential buildings, marking the 10th consecutive quarterly?decline. After increasing by 0.6% in May, the investment in public construction projects was unchanged. In June, state and local government construction expenditures remained unchanged. The federal government also spent the same amount on construction projects. Lucia Mutikani, Lucia Simao and Paul Simao (Reporting)
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Nigeria's NNPC announces another tender for Cawthorne crude
According to documents obtained by, Nigeria's NNPC, the state-owned oil company, issued a further tender?to.sell a cargo.of its newest.crude oil grade Cawthorne.in September. Cawthorne was exported in March along with other grades recently introduced, such as Nembe, and Utapate. Nigeria is looking to diversify and boost its exports after years of underinvestment and disruptions due to oil theft and operational disruptions. The document states that the Cawthorne shipment will be loaded?on September 22-23 and will consist of 950,000 barrels. NNPC also offers a 950,000 barrel 'cargo of Bonny Light' loading between September 30 and October 1. NNPC has not 'immediately responded to a request for comment. Both cargoes will be sold free-on-board. Bids must be submitted by August 4 at 8 pm, West Africa Time. A preliminary loading program seen by shows that the Bonny 'Light' production stream will load 364,000 barrels of oil per day across 12 cargoes. In recent sessions, sellers of 'West African' grades have begun to increase their offer levels amid increasing supply disruptions in the Middle East. However, trading activity is generally muted while market participants wait for further clarity on the volatile situation at the Strait of Hormuz and Red Sea.
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Greek crews continue to fight wildfires northwest of Athens
On Monday, hundreds of Greek firefighters fought a wildfire north of Athens on a fourth-day basis after strong and erratic wind conditions caused it to ravage homes, pine forest and thousands of acres of farmland. This forced emergency evacuations both by land and water. After a midair collision with another helicopter whose crew was still alive, two firefighters on a firefighting chopper crashed and died near the seaside village of Psatha on Sunday. On Monday, more than 400 firefighters were deployed with 21 aircraft near the communities Kandili & Agia Skepi as thick plumes of black smoke &?red fires enveloped lush pine forests. A Greek official from the?fire brigade said that heavy machinery was used to create fire breaks in order to stop wildfires reaching homes. Wildfires have ravaged Europe this summer, following a time of record heatwaves. Scientists say that the conditions were exacerbated due to a rapidly changing climate. France and Spain were particularly hard-hit, though huge fires in those countries abated at the weekend. Greece's fire season was mild by local standards. Three firefighters died in separate incidents in Crete and the Peloponnese last week. The authorities are trying to determine the cause of a mid-air helicopter accident that occurred at low elevation. Aviation accident investigator Faidon Karaiosifidis said that at this point, the only thing they can say is that the formation between the two helicopters wasn't appropriate. Their vertical and horizontal separation as well as their descent rate were inadequate. Wildfires have been reported in the area around Psatha. Locals complain that while vegetation around houses has been cleared, more needs to be done in order to maintain and build fire breaks within the forest. Kostas Kastafados, Deputy Minister for Climate Crisis, told ERT public broadcaster that the strong and erratic wind conditions over the last few days prevented 'water bombers from drawing up seawater. This left ground forces to fight the fires alone. Nikos Lavranos of the Federation of Unions of Fire Service Employees said that the days of operation have "overstretched" a thinly staffed and aged fire service. This is the result of a hiring ban during Greece's debt crisis from 2009-2018. "A firefighter who is useful to his fellow citizens and the society is not an exhaustion firefighter,"? he said. The fire brigade reported that preliminary investigation indicates that sparks from vibrating conductors of a private powerline?transmitting energy from wind turbines caused a fire to break out and travel 25 km (15miles) in Boeotia, a nearby area. A?electrical engineering and a contractor were arrested, and they are being investigated for arson. In recent years, the main cause of wildfires in Greece has been faulty power lines. This was followed by arson and negligence.
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Copper prices rise on the back of falling inventories
On 'Monday, copper prices rose to their highest level in over a week as lower oil prices eased concerns about the economy and demand. The market was also focused on shrinking inventories. Benchmark copper on the London Metal Exchange increased 0.6% to $13,875 per metric ton, after reaching $13,900. This was its highest price since July 22. The drop in oil after U.S. president Donald Trump cancelled a new attack on Iran to?seek a deal?to curb Tehran's nucleonic ambitions also eased concerns about price pressures, according to traders. Britannia Global Markets stated in a report that "the markets are still headline-driven at the start of the week with energy markets as the primary focus." The fundamental picture for copper appears to be supportive. Both the London Metal Exchange and China Metal Exchange have depleted inventories. The copper stocks registered by the?LME have dropped nearly 40% since May, to 244,025 tonnes. This is their lowest level since February. Since February of last year, producers and traders have shipped copper to the United States, after President Donald Trump threatened import duties, creating a premium over LME copper prices. Zinc was up 0.9% to $3,676 per ton, after reaching a record high of $3703.50, a level not seen in four years, on concerns over supply on the LME. Three?large holdings in cash contracts and warrants (#LMEWHC) created large premiums for nearby zinc 'contracts against forwards with longer dates. A large short on zinc futures #LMEFBR> matured this month, which reinforced the trend. The premium or "backwardation" for zinc cash over the three-month ahead The level of smog is at or near the levels last seen in December. LME zinc stock has dropped to 99.285 tons (0#MZNSTXLOC>), down by 25% since mid-June. Other metals saw aluminium gain 0.8%, to $3,210 per ton. Lead fell 0.3%, to $1,871. Tin increased by 0.4%, to $55,500, and nickel dropped 1.3%, to $17 020.
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Oil prices fall after Trump cancels his attack on Iran and seeks deal
Oil prices dropped more than $5 per barrel on Monday as U.S. president Donald Trump held back a new attack against Iran in order to reach a quick agreement with Iran. Iran said no talks were scheduled. Brent crude futures dropped $5.04 or 5.73% to $82.89 at 1218 GMT. They had retraced a portion of their losses after hitting a session low earlier. ?U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude oil was trading at $78.90 per barrel, down by $5.77 or 6.8%. Both benchmarks saw their largest daily drops in absolute terms and percentages since last Monday. Two contracts increased by more than 20 percent last month, after the U.S. resumed fighting with Iran and several attacks on tankers in the vicinity of Oman raised security concerns and discouraged shippers from entering Gulf to load oil. Iran stated on Monday that there are no ongoing talks with the United States, and no plans for any meetings. This contradicts U.S. president Donald Trump, who had used talks to justify announcing an end to attacks. Can a deal happen? We would expect higher prices in August, given the depletion of global inventories. However, we will also be keeping an eye out for signs of a weakening of demand. According to PVM analyst Tamas Varga, under the current VVV (volatile violent and violent) trading conditions, the chances of making a mistake are high. Shipping data revealed that two tankers laden primarily with Saudi oil, crossed the 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait from the 'Red Sea at the weekend. However, traffic slowed down in the Strait of Hormuz as well as Bab el-Mandeb. Since Saturday, the United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operation has reported three attacks on tankers. On 'Sunday', the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC+) and its allies approved an increase in oil production quota of 188,000?barrels a day starting September. The Iran and Ukraine wars have caused export?disruptions in the Gulf, Russia, and Kazakhstan. This has meant that successive monthly OPEC+ increases over the majority of this year did not translate into more oil on the markets. (additional reporting and editing by Florence Tan, Sam Li and David Holmes).
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Greek crews continue to fight wildfires northwest of Athens
On 'Monday, hundreds of Greek firefighters fought a wildfire north of Athens, for the fourth day, after strong winds and erratic weather conditions caused it to ravage homes, pine trees and thousands of acres of farmland. This forced emergency evacuations on land and by sea. After a midair collision with another helicopter whose crew was still alive, two firefighters on a firefighting chopper crashed and died near the seaside village of Psatha on Sunday. On 'Monday, more than 400 firefighters were deployed with 21 aircraft near the communities Kandili & Agia Skepi as thick plumes of black smoke and red fires enveloped lush pine forests. A Greek fire brigade official revealed that heavy machinery was used to create fire breaks in order to prevent wildfires from reaching homes. Wildfires have ravaged Europe this summer, following a record-breaking period of heatwaves and little rain. Scientists say that the conditions were exacerbated due to a rapidly changing climate. France and Spain were particularly hard-hit, though huge fires in those countries have abated since the weekend. Faulty power lines Greece's fire seasons had been relatively mild compared to local standards. Three?firefighters died in two separate incidents last week on the Peloponnese and Crete. The authorities are working to determine the cause of a mid-air helicopter accident that occurred at a low altitude. Aviation accident investigator Faidon Karaiosifidis said that at this point, the only thing they can say is that the formation between the two helicopters wasn't appropriate. Their vertical and horizontal separation as well as their descent rate were inadequate. Wildfires have been experienced in the area around Psatha. Locals complain that while vegetation around houses has been cleared, more work needs to be done in order to maintain and build fire breaks within the forest. Kostas Kastafados, Deputy Minister for Climate Crisis told ERT that the strong winds and erratic weather conditions over the last few days prevented water bombers from bringing up seawater. This left ground forces to fight the fires alone. Nikos Lavranos of the Federation of Unions of Fire Service Employees said that days of operations had overstretched an ageing and thinly-staffed fire service. This was the result of a hiring ban during Greece's debt crisis from 2009-2018. He said that a firefighter who was useful to his fellow citizens and the society would be a "rested firefighter" rather than an "exhausted firefighter". The fire brigade said that preliminary investigation indicates that the cause of a fire in Boeotia that spread 25 km (15miles) last week was a spark from vibrating conductors that were on a private power line transmitting electricity from the wind turbines. A contractor and an electrical engineer have been arrested, and they are being investigated for arson. In recent years, the main cause of wildfires in Greece has been faulty power lines. This was followed by arson and negligence.
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Russell: The increase in oil production by OPEC+ is not relevant for the time being, but for the future.
The decision of the core members to increase crude?oil quotas in September is easy to dismiss as a meaningless act, given the disruptions caused by?Iran's conflict. As long as the Strait of Hormuz is largely closed, and as long as there are no solutions to the threats to the Bab el-Mandeb, the oil-exporting groups will have little chance of being able to deliver what they agreed to produce. Saudi Arabia, Russia and Kuwait are among the seven OPEC+ members who have agreed to voluntary cuts in output. Algeria, Kazakhstan, Kazakhstan, Algeria, Kuwait, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia and Oman also agreed. The United Arab Emirates left the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) in May. This is the final phase of the rollback of the 1.65 million bpd cut in supply originally agreed upon in 2023. The production quotas don't matter for the time being. According to the latest survey, the eight OPEC members with quotas produced 20.276 millions bpd in June, which is 6.246million bpd less than the target. According to OPEC, Russia, the largest non-OPEC group member, produced 8.928 millions bpd during June. This was almost one million bpd less than its agreed quota. OPEC+’s decision to reverse voluntary production cuts has little weight on the current market. However, it highlights the challenges that oil exporters and buyers face. Three options The crude oil market is currently facing three scenarios, but it is unclear which one is most likely. First, Iran and the United States must reach a deal that allows unhindered and sustained passage through the Strait of Hormuz. Second, the conflict is sporadic, with periods when it 'elevates,' followed by hope of a pact and a truce, before these hopes are dashed, and drone and missile strikes resume. Third, the ladder of escalation continues. U.S. president Donald Trump orders strikes on civilian and energy infrastructure, and Iran responds by doing the exact same thing against Gulf states, including Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and Iraq, that host U.S. base. Crude oil futures markets appear to be priced largely for the first option. Brent benchmark contracts fell 6.8% to $83.98 per barrel in early Asian trading on Monday. The price is 34% lower than the peak reached in the Iran conflict on April 30 of $126.41 per barrel. It is also only 16% above the $72.48 closing price on February 27, the day before Israel and the U.S. launched their strikes against Iran. Crude oil will likely drop quickly from its current level if the first option is chosen. OPEC+ will likely be able to increase production fairly quickly, and put more barrels 'on the market? at a time other producers are trying to maximize exports. A comprehensive peace agreement would also allow Iran to sell its crude oil openly, meaning that only Russian petroleum may be subjected to Western sanctions. If the second option prevails over the next few months, then the OPEC+'s decision to increase output is rendered largely insignificant. The question then becomes how well the Saudi exports through the Red Sea, the United Arab Emirates and the Gulf of Oman can compensate for the lost volume of oil from the Strait of Hormuz. This scenario will likely cause crude oil to be volatile, driven by headlines about Trump's tweets on social media. Markets hope that the third scenario will never happen, as it would mean long-term damage to the Middle East's energy infrastructure. This could lead to global economic pain as the world adjusts as up to 20% of its crude oil and liquefied gas supplies are lost. You like this column? Open Interest (ROI) is your new essential source of global financial commentary. ROI provides data-driven, thought-provoking analysis on everything from soybeans to swap rates. The markets are changing faster than ever. ROI can help you keep up. Follow ROI on LinkedIn, X. These are the views of the columnist, an author for.
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Stocks rise on hopes of peace with Iran, but crude prices fall; yen firms after the intervention
?Signs of U.S.-Iran relations easing once again have set Wall Street on a positive course for August. Crude prices are up and stock futures are rising, as investors prepare for another week stuffed with economic and earnings data. S&P Futures were up 0.6% and Nasdaq Futures 0.4% in pre-market trading. The oil prices dropped sharply, while European stock exchanges continued to climb. The yen strengthened to its highest level in three months after the U.S. confirmed a joint intervention by Japan and the U.S. Brent crude futures fell $4.40 or more than 5% to $83.52 per barrel after U.S. president Donald Trump announced that talks with Iran will take place on Monday. He had previously called off an assault on Iran in order to pursue a plan to reopen Strait of Hormuz. European stocks rose by 0.4% in the first week of August. The German DAX set an intraday record, and last closed 1.4% higher. Bruno Schneller is the managing partner of multi-family office Erlen Capital Management. He said that "for equity markets, fundamentally, the picture remains positive". "Earnings are generally holding up well and companies with strong price power and resilient business models continue outperforming." Florian Ielpo's research from Monday, the head of macro for?Lombard Odier Investment Managers noted that over half of S&P 500 companies had reported earnings, and 86% of them exceeded earnings expectations. Investors have also considered possible consolidation in the healthcare industry, following a report that Bristol Myers Squibb, AstraZeneca and others had begun preliminary merger discussions about creating the largest drugmaker in the world, valued at nearly $400 billion. AstraZeneca's shares dropped almost 7% at one point on the reports of a possible tie-up. Asian stocks have struggled to start the month after a turbulent and wild July, when investors worried about massive capital expenditure on AI. Japan's Nikkei closed down 1%, while South Korea KOSPI fell more than 5%. The MSCI world stock index was flat as a result. YEN BEAR COWER FOLLOWING JOINT INTERVENTION The Japanese yen gained over 0.5%, reaching 156.77 against the U.S. Dollar after earlier that day it had reached its highest level since early May (155.2), putting traders on high alert for another round of intervention. Japan's Finance Ministry confirmed on Monday that the U.S. and Japan have conducted coordinated yen buying and will not hesitate to continue. This rare bilateral measure was taken to stop the yen from falling to its lowest level in 40 years. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said that the United States will consider in the coming months increasing the size of Federal Reserve's temporary dollar liquidity repurchase facility, describing the tool as an "important backup". Matt Simpson, a senior market analyst with StoneX, said that Besent's comments carry more weight than his intervention. It?feels safe to bet that the Japanese currency has reached its trough for the year. In these?markets, the words 'joint interventions' are a very important term. Trump said that the United States helped Japan support the yen on Sunday as a gesture of friendship and in order to benefit the global economy. Tokyo's unilateral intervention between late April to early May only caused a?brief yen recovery, while the Bank of Japan rate hike in the month of June provided little support. This highlights the challenges policymakers are facing due to rising oil prices, and the widening interest rate differential with other major economies. Before the recent interventions, the yen was anchored near 40-year lows at around 164 dollars per yen in recent weeks. Data from a US regulator showed that net short yen position had reached?roughly $12,5 billion, which is the highest level in two years. The regulator revealed. Bessent has repeatedly called for the Bank of Japan to increase interest rates. As oil prices dropped, yields on U.S. Treasury bonds fell elsewhere. The 30-year bond yield fell by over 5 basis points, to about 5.22%. This is a slight decline from the 19-year peak it reached last week. Investors were confused by the Iran War and the Federal Reserve's policy outlook in July. Reporting by Nell Mackenzie and Ankur Banerjee from London; Editing by Barbara Lewis, Kevin Liffey
Trump's call for more AI datacenters is met with opposition from his own voters
Residents wore camouflage hats, red shirts and other signs of unity to a meeting of a rural Pennsylvania planning committee. They were there to protest the proposed data center that they feared could rip up their farmland or disrupt the tranquil rhythms of their valley. The majority of the residents were loyal supporters who voted for President Donald Trump in 2024, winning their county by 20 percentage points. They were angry at Washington for its push to accelerate artificial intelligence infrastructure. This has led to the growth of data centers in rural areas across the U.S., where land is inexpensive.
Residents of this county, which has 18,000 residents, stepped up to the microphone one evening in November and asked Talen Energy officials how their proposed data center would increase residents' utility costs, reduce farmland and stress local water and resources.
Two women sang a riff of Woody Guthrie’s folk song “This Land Is Your Land”: "Say no rezoning so that water will keep flowing and crops will continue to grow." Politicians across the U.S. urge a rapid expansion in data-center capacity, and new energy production to keep AI competitive. Trump, a Republican politician, has urged his administration to ignore environmental regulations and permits that would give local communities a say. In Pennsylvania, Democratic Gov. Josh Shapiro (Democrat) and Republican Sen. Dave McCormick (Republican) are wooing developers to invest in the rapidly-growing industry with incentives and upgrades of infrastructure.
Some communities are happy to see the economic boost. The backlash in Montour County in central Pennsylvania is a reflection of a growing coalition between farmers, environmentalists, and homeowners who are united to oppose data-center expansion.
Data Center Watch published a report earlier this year that found $64 billion in data center projects were blocked or delayed due to local opposition from states such as Texas, Oregon, and Tennessee. Pennsylvania critics worry that the region will become "data center Alley" in northern Virginia, with its sprawling, vast complexes.
The pushback, if successful, could slow down efforts by the administration to build AI infrastructure quickly enough to keep up with global competitors. Politicians say that anger over these projects could also add to Republicans' affordability concerns as they prepare for the midterm elections in 2026.
Chris Borick is a professor of political science at Muhlenberg College, in Allentown, Pennsylvania.
He added that the politics of AI infrastructure remain unresolved: "The technology is still evolving and politicians are still figuring out their position." Like social media, everyone jumped in without understanding the consequences.
SAVE CULTURE
Talen Energy has requested to rezone approximately 1,300 acres of land in Montour County, from agricultural to industrial uses. This is the first step towards building a large and complex data center with 12-15 buildings. The site is located in the shadows of Talen Energy's 1,528 megawatt natural gas-fired power station, nestled among farmland, dirt roads and the Amish community.
Talen Energy said that the project would require 350 acres of farmland used for soybeans, livestock and corn. Residents are concerned that losing the land will weaken local agriculture, and a nearby facility that processes soybeans to produce regional food and feed.
Rebecca Dressler, Republican Montour County commissioner, stated that the concerns were less about ideology and more about preserving the character of the region. Dressler stated that "small-town character is what defines our community." People aren't against development - they simply want growth that suits who we are.
The county planning commission voted 6-1 against the rezoning at its November meeting. This decision was met with thunderous applause. Dressler and two other county commissioners will make a final decision on the issue in mid-December.
Residents are not blaming Trump but rather the billion-dollar data-center companies that have the money to buy up farmland and reshape rural areas, leaving locals to pay higher utility bills.
Theresa McCollum (70), a Trump supporter, said: "I believe it's a culture that has forgotten the little person, the people living here, the farmers struggling with the economic situation."
The shift of power from Washington to a region that takes pride in local control is not well received.
"Stay out. Craig High, a 39-year-old Trump supporter, said that without federal involvement, we wouldn't be having this discussion. Both (political parties) are pushing data centres and giving regulatory relief - water permits, permitting, everything.
PENNSYLVANIA BOOM Pennsylvania's plentiful, stable electricity makes it a hotspot for data centers. It has attracted tens billions of dollars in investments from Amazon.com and Alphabet's Google. Microsoft is also interested, while Constellation Energy wants to use the old Three Mile Island Nuclear Power Plant to power new server farm.
Residents fear that they will end up paying the price.
Pennsylvania utilities predict a dramatic increase in electricity demand by data centers at the end of this decade - enough power to supply several million more homes.
According to federal data, electricity prices in Pennsylvania have increased by 15% over the last year. This is roughly twice the national average. This surge has already rippled through the grid in the region. Recent auctions have seen a spike in capacity prices, which determine how much power plants get paid to supply the grid during times of peak demand. Utilities have also begun to raise rates to pay for growing infrastructure.
Analysts warn of a significant increase in customer bills over the next few years.
Many families are already feeling the strain. Since 2022, the amount of overdue utility bills has risen faster than the inflation rate. According to the Century Foundation a progressive research group, Pennsylvania is among the states that have the highest household energy debt.
These pressures on the wallet are beginning to change politics in certain parts of America. Alicia Johnson was elected as one of only two Democrats to Georgia's utility boards since 2007, after her campaign focused on frustration with rising power bills and the unchecked expansion of data centers. She said that the issues she raised in her campaign are a preview of the challenges states such as Pennsylvania could face during next year's midterm elections in the United States. In recent years, power prices in Georgia have risen dramatically due to massive cost overruns in the new Vogtle Nuclear Plant.
Johnson said that data centers and utility costs were two of the most important issues in the election. People are angry. They don't like data centers that don't have guardrails and they don’t want to pay for them. In 2026, this will be a part of the national debate on affordability.
Ginny Markille-Kerslake is an organizer for Food and Water Watch. This environmental non-profit group has spent many months organizing opposition to data centres in places such as Montour County. She predicted that there would be a political reckoning in the next year.
She said that "communities, red, blue and everything in-between, are united in their opposition", referring to the so-called red regions dominated by Republicans, and blue regions controlled by Democrats. This issue brings people together at a time we are so divided.
(source: Reuters)