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UN weather agency: Arctic warming to be three times the global average in coming years

A new report from the U.N.'s weather agency on Wednesday predicted that the world will continue to see record temperatures in the coming five years. The Arctic is expected warm at a rate three times greater than the global average.

According to a report from the World Meteorological Organization, there is a 80% chance of at least one record year in the next five. The likelihood of average warming exceeding 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 degree Fahrenheit), above pre-industrial temperatures, is high.

The Paris Climate Agreement of 2015, which obligated countries to prevent global warming exceeding 1.5 C, was breached for the first time last year.

The WMO stated that the global mean near-surface temperatures are expected to rise between 1.2 C - 1.9 C from this year through 2029 compared to pre-industrial levels in the years 1850-1900. This will lead more extreme weather.

In a press release, it stated that "every fractional degree more of warming leads to more heatwaves and extreme rain events, intense dry spells, melting ice sheets and sea ice and glaciers. It also causes ocean heating and sea level rise."

The Arctic will experience a rapid melting of ice due to the projected above-average warming.

The report stated that Arctic warming is predicted to be over three-and-a half times the global average. This means the temperature will rise by 2.4 C higher than the 30-year average for the next five winters.

The WMO said that global temperatures would remain near or at record levels through the end of this decade.

The weather agency predicts above-average rainfall in the Sahel region, northern Europe, Alaska, and northern Siberia between May and September 2025-2029. Meanwhile, the Amazon is expected to be drier than average this season. (Reporting and editing by Helen Popper; Olivia Le Poidevin)

(source: Reuters)