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Iron ore supply is recovering, but China's stimulus plans are not working.

Iron ore supply is recovering, but China's stimulus plans are not working.

Iron ore futures were traded in a narrow range on Tuesday as investors weighed the recovery of shipments from Australia, a major supplier, against the expectations that China, whose top consumer, would increase its stimulus, which might boost demand.

As of 0241 GMT, the most traded May iron ore contract at China's Dalian Commodity Exchange rose 0.75% to 804 yuan ($110.59).

The benchmark March Iron Ore at the Singapore Exchange fell 0.38%, to $105.3 per ton, as of 0234 GMT. This was due to a stronger U.S. Dollar, which made commodities priced in greenbacks more expensive for those who hold other currencies.

After the tropical cyclone Zelia passed, major ports were reopened and prices pushed up.

Analysts at ANZ said that the market's focus is now on the broader dynamics of demand.

According to GF Futures hot metal production, a measure of iron ore consumption, is likely to hover around 2,28 million tonnes by the end of February, which is close to the most recent assessment from Mysteel as at February 14.

The market saw a gradual improvement as more steel mills began production following the Lunar New Year holiday in China.

"A slow recovery of ore demand will limit the price increase," GF Futures said.

Analysts at ANZ noted that there is speculation about the upcoming "Two Sessions", in China, which will offer more proactive policies aimed to stimulate consumption.

Two parallel sessions of "Two Sessions" will be held in Beijing, China next month.

Coking coal and coke, which are both steelmaking ingredients, have also advanced on the DCE. They rose by 0.28% and 0.5%, respectively.

The Shanghai Futures Exchange saw a rise in most steel benchmarks. Rebar gained 0.7%, hot-rolled coil rose 0.74%, and wire rod gained by 0.11%. Stainless steel declined 0.04%. Reporting by Amy Lv, Lewis Jackson and Sumana Nandy; Editing by Sumana Niandy.

(source: Reuters)