Latest News

Iron ore prices on the rise as investors weigh up stimulus plans against falling demand

Iron ore futures were traded in a narrow range on Tuesday as investors weighed the hopes for fresh stimulus coming from Beijing in the next month with signs of a softening in demand in China, which is regarded as arguably its biggest consumer.

As of 0235 GMT, the most traded January iron ore contract at China's Dalian Commodity Exchange increased by 0.46% to $765 yuan (US$107.40) per metric ton.

As of 0225 GMT, the benchmark December iron ore traded on Singapore Exchange was down 0.12% to $102.05 per ton.

Steven Yu, senior analyst at Mysteel, stated that the recent price drop had caused a divergence in the market outlook. This has led to a convergence in prices.

Yu said that bulls believed that a fall in crude steel production year-to date would reduce the pressure to cut production in the remainder of the year. Also, there is hope for stimulus measures which will be announced at the politburo in December.

Last month, data from China showed that the country's crude steel production fell by 2.9% in the nine months leading up to September. October figures are due this Friday.

Beijing announced in March that it would restructure the vast steel industry by cutting output.

As part of its goals to reduce carbon emissions, China has set a cap on the growth in crude steel production every year since 2021.

Mysteel’s Yu stated that bears are betting on lower production as some mills continue reducing their production.

Steelmakers are cutting back production due to a decline in steel demand, and high raw material costs.

The coke and coal used in steelmaking are largely unchanged.

The Shanghai Futures Exchange steel benchmarks were mixed. Rebar rose by 0.13%. Hot-rolled coil increased by 0.52%. Wire rod fell 0.03%. Stainless steel dropped 0.4%. ($1 = 7.1230 Chinese Yuan) (Reporting and editing by Sumana Niandy; Amy Lv, Lewis Jackson)

(source: Reuters)