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Shrinking international palm oil products, strong biodiesel demand to improve rates

Stagnating worldwide palm oil production and higher biodiesel mandates are most likely to curb supplies of the world's most utilized grease this year, setting the phase for further gains in costs, which are trading at their highest in seven months.

Palm oil output in Indonesia and Malaysia, which account for a bulk of international production, is most likely to either increase partially in 2024 or decline from in 2015's level, as aging plantations and a lack of expansion caps output, experts told an industry conference in Kuala Lumpur on Wednesday.

Vegetable oil costs will be supported by the prospective international production deficit, leading market analyst Thomas Mielke said.

Palm oil inventories worldwide's No. 1 manufacturer Indonesia are low and stockpiles in the second-largest producer Malaysia are declining, he added.

The benchmark Malaysian palm oil contact jumped on Wednesday to its greatest since late July at 4,075 ringgit per metric heap, taking the gains in 2024 to nearly 10%. The market dropped for the last two years.

Palm oil, which represents majority of around 90 million metric tons of edible oils shipped worldwide, is used in a series of products from chocolates, pizzas to cosmetics and as a biofuel.

LOWER PRODUCTION DEVELOPMENT

Yearly palm oil production growth in 2023/24 is expected to be the smallest in 4 years at around 0.2-0.3 million metric heaps, Mielke said, forecasting a 3,800-4,300 ringgit cost variety in the next three months.

While Indonesia's 2024 palm oil production will be at least one million tons lower than 2023, Malaysia's production is likely to be the same, analyst Dorab Mistry stated.

We are unable to expand acreage anymore. And the age profile of the trees is unfavorable, Mistry said at the end of the widely-watched occasion.

The fresh fruit lots' yields are falling and The application of innovation in the palm If you look at the entire world,( industry) has been the slowest oil scene and oil complex.

The decrease in palm oil production development comes as Indonesia is most likely to step up mandatory use of the tropical product in making biodiesel.

There is a possibility of the brand-new incoming federal government increasing B35 to B40, Fadhil Hasan, of the Indonesia Palm Oil Association (GAPKI), said, describing the obligatory bio-content mix that presently stands at 35% of biodiesel.

One of the programs by the prospect likely to be chosen is objective to raise to B50, however that is possibly for after 2025, he included.

If, even Malaysia's biodiesel production could increase in 2024 the 20% biodiesel necessary program is implemented in more areas, the Malaysian Biodiesel Association stated.

(source: Reuters)